Skip to content

Minnesota Wild at Montréal Canadiens

FinalTV BSN, BSWI·Centre Bell

Recap

written from the game data

The Minnesota Wild beat the Montréal Canadiens 3-1. The Wild scored first and never trailed. The Wild led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Brandon Duhaime's goal at 12:48 of the second period, which took the Wild's chances from 47% to 67%. Expected goals favored the Wild, 4.2 to 2.8; shots on goal were MIN 31, MTL 27. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Wild win a replay of these chances 58% of the time. Marc-Andre Fleury stopped 26 of 27 (.963), 1.8 goals saved above expected; Jake Allen stopped 28 of 30 (.933), 1.3 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Brandon Duhaime (1 G, 1 A), 2. David Savard, 3. Frederick Gaudreau (1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    MIN
    B. Duhaime1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    MTL
    D. Savard
  3. ★★★
    MIN
    F. Gaudreau1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
MINMIN11111416331
MTLMTL0619012127

Scoring

4 goals

1st period

  1. MIN
    wristxG 0.06win prob +13 pts
    1-0
    5:52

2nd period

  1. MTL
    wristxG 0.03win prob +16 pts
    1-1
    1:07
  2. MIN
    wristxG 0.15win prob +20 pts
    2-1
    12:48

3rd period

  1. MIN
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.88win prob +5 pts
    3-1
    19:29

Penalties

MIN 10 PIM·MTL 10 PIM

1st

  • 1:35MINCalen Addison · Hookingdrawn by Evgenii Dadonov2 min
  • 17:57MTLKirby Dach · Roughingdrawn by Ryan Hartman2 min
  • 17:57MINRyan Hartman · Roughingdrawn by Kirby Dach2 min
  • 18:29MTLKaiden Guhle · Hookingdrawn by Kirill Kaprizov2 min

2nd

  • 2:39MINJon Merrill · Holdingdrawn by Evgenii Dadonov2 min
  • 5:44MTLRem Pitlick · Hookingdrawn by Kirill Kaprizov2 min
  • 9:08MINSam Steel · Kneeingdrawn by Jonathan Drouin2 min
  • 9:58MTLChris Wideman · Interferencedrawn by Marcus Foligno2 min
  • 13:15MINBrandon Duhaime · Hookingdrawn by Chris Wideman2 min
  • 13:15MTLArber Xhekaj · Roughingdrawn by Ryan Hartman2 min

3rd

  • 5:50MINJon Merrill · Ps holding on breakawaydrawn by Mike Hoffman0 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
MTL goalMIN goalFinal: MTL 0%

Biggest swing: Brandon Duhaime, 2nd 12:48 — MIN 47% → 67%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
K. Guhle · On goal · xG 0.32M. Hoffman · On goal · xG 0.29C. Dvorak · On goal · xG 0.21M. Hoffman · On goal · xG 0.18E. Dadonov · On goal · xG 0.15M. Hoffman · Missed · xG 0.14C. Dvorak · On goal · xG 0.14J. Kovacevic · On goal · xG 0.12K. Dach · Missed · xG 0.10J. Anderson · On goal · xG 0.10J. Evans · On goal · xG 0.10J. Anderson · On goal · xG 0.10C. Wideman · Missed · xG 0.09M. Hoffman · Missed · xG 0.09J. Evans · On goal · xG 0.09C. Dvorak · On goal · xG 0.08J. Evans · On goal · xG 0.06M. Hoffman · On goal · xG 0.05J. Drouin · On goal · xG 0.04K. Dach · On goal · xG 0.04M. Hoffman · On goal · xG 0.04B. Gallagher · On goal · xG 0.03C. Caufield · Goal · xG 0.03A. Xhekaj · Missed · xG 0.03C. Dvorak · On goal · xG 0.03A. Xhekaj · On goal · xG 0.02E. Dadonov · On goal · xG 0.02J. Kovacevic · Missed · xG 0.02J. Evans · On goal · xG 0.02S. Monahan · On goal · xG 0.02J. Anderson · Missed · xG 0.02K. Guhle · Missed · xG 0.02C. Dvorak · Missed · xG 0.01A. Xhekaj · On goal · xG 0.01N. Suzuki · On goal · xG 0.01C. Dvorak · On goal · xG 0.01
MTL1 G · 2.8 xG · 36 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

MINvsMTL
4.22 G
All situations
1 G2.8
1.82 G
Even strength
1 G2.1
1.50 G
Power play
0 G0.8

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 73 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
MIN58%42%MTL

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.24 – 2.76

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

MINvsMTL
31
Shots on goal
27
48%
Faceoffs
52%
0/3
Power play
0/3
10
Penalty minutes
10
19
Hits
10
21
Blocked shots
19
20
Giveaways
22
5
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
Minnesota Wild skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
5J. MiddletonD011+140.31130—21:08
46J. SpurgeonD000+200.00010—20:50
14J. Eriksson EkC202+251.174103820:29
97K. KaprizovL000020.53000—20:26
24M. DumbaD000000.00440—19:55
12M. BoldyL000081.12100—19:05
36M. ZuccarelloR000-100.08000—17:39
2C. AddisonD000010.08012—17:34
25J. BrodinD000+100.00030—17:17
38R. HartmanR000+310.021022916:41
4J. MerrillD000000.00032—16:24
89F. GaudreauC011+220.040008915:22
17M. FolignoL000-110.19200—14:54
23M. RossiC000-110.090104613:06
21B. DuhaimeL112+230.35222—11:43
10T. JostC000020.15110009:35
13S. SteelC000000.001124009:11
26C. DewarC000010.06200008:57
Minnesota Wild goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
29M. Fleury(W)27261.9632.83+1.8359:44

Season series

MIN leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).