Minnesota Wild at Montréal Canadiens
Recap
written from the game dataThe Minnesota Wild beat the Montréal Canadiens 3-1. The Wild scored first and never trailed. The Wild led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Brandon Duhaime's goal at 12:48 of the second period, which took the Wild's chances from 47% to 67%. Expected goals favored the Wild, 4.2 to 2.8; shots on goal were MIN 31, MTL 27. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Wild win a replay of these chances 58% of the time. Marc-Andre Fleury stopped 26 of 27 (.963), 1.8 goals saved above expected; Jake Allen stopped 28 of 30 (.933), 1.3 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Brandon Duhaime (1 G, 1 A), 2. David Savard, 3. Frederick Gaudreau (1 A).
Three stars
- ★B. Duhaime1 G, 1 A

- ★★D. Savard

- ★★★F. Gaudreau1 A

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
4 goals1st period
1-05:52
2nd period
1-11:07
2-112:48
3rd period
3-119:29
Penalties
1st
- 1:35
Calen Addison · Hookingdrawn by Evgenii Dadonov2 min
- 17:57
Kirby Dach · Roughingdrawn by Ryan Hartman2 min
- 17:57
Ryan Hartman · Roughingdrawn by Kirby Dach2 min
- 18:29
Kaiden Guhle · Hookingdrawn by Kirill Kaprizov2 min
2nd
- 2:39
Jon Merrill · Holdingdrawn by Evgenii Dadonov2 min
- 5:44
Rem Pitlick · Hookingdrawn by Kirill Kaprizov2 min
- 9:08
Sam Steel · Kneeingdrawn by Jonathan Drouin2 min
- 9:58
Chris Wideman · Interferencedrawn by Marcus Foligno2 min
- 13:15
Brandon Duhaime · Hookingdrawn by Chris Wideman2 min
- 13:15
Arber Xhekaj · Roughingdrawn by Ryan Hartman2 min
3rd
- 5:50
Jon Merrill · Ps holding on breakawaydrawn by Mike Hoffman0 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Brandon Duhaime, 2nd 12:48 — 47% → 67%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 4.22 G
- All situations
- 1 G2.8
- 1.82 G
- Even strength
- 1 G2.1
- 1.50 G
- Power play
- 0 G0.8
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 73 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 3.24 – 2.76
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 31
- Shots on goal
- 27
- 48%
- Faceoffs
- 52%
- 0/3
- Power play
- 0/3
- 10
- Penalty minutes
- 10
- 19
- Hits
- 10
- 21
- Blocked shots
- 19
- 20
- Giveaways
- 22
- 5
- Takeaways
- 8
Box score
every player line
Season series
MIN leads 2-0
3@
1this game
1@
4Final
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
