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Islanders at Panthers
NHL

New York Islanders at Florida Panthers

NHL scoreboard
New York Islanders
2
Florida Panthers
▸3
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Recap

written from the game data

The Florida Panthers beat the New York Islanders 3-2. The Panthers scored first and never trailed. The Panthers led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Anders Lee's goal at 9:07 of the third period, which took the Islanders' chances from 7% to 23%. Expected goals favored the Panthers, 2.8 to 1.7; shots on goal were NYI 26, FLA 32. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Panthers win a replay of these chances 64% of the time. Semyon Varlamov stopped 29 of 32 (.906), 0.6 goals below expected; Spencer Knight stopped 24 of 26 (.923). Three stars: 1. Ryan Lomberg (1 G), 2. Anders Lee (2 G), 3. Anton Lundell (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    FLA
    R. Lomberg1 G
  2. ★★
    NYI
    A. Lee2 G
  3. ★★★
    FLA
    A. Lundell1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NYINYI0817111226
FLAFLA21501017332

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. FLA
    A. Lundell(1)
    Unassisted
    snapxG 0.07win prob +11 pts
    0-1
    0:39
  2. FLA
    E. Luostarinen(2)
    Unassisted
    snapxG 0.20win prob +14 pts
    0-2
    9:13

2nd period

  1. NYI
    A. Lee(3)PPG
    M. Barzal (5), N. Dobson (3)
    tip-inxG 0.10win prob +9 pts
    1-2
    4:27

3rd period

  1. FLA
    R. Lomberg(1)
    C. White (3), E. Luostarinen (3)
    slapxG 0.11win prob +16 pts
    1-3
    2:56
  2. NYI
    A. Lee(4)PPG
    M. Barzal (6), B. Nelson (6)
    backhandxG 0.08win prob +16 pts
    2-3
    9:07

Penalties

NYI 8 PIM·FLA 12 PIM

1st

  • 1:15NYIOliver Wahlstrom · Trippingdrawn by Spencer Knight2 min
  • 3:28FLAMatthew Tkachuk · Roughingdrawn by Alexander Romanov2 min
  • 6:45NYIRoss Johnston · Elbowingdrawn by Nick Cousins2 min
  • 13:33FLAJosh Mahura · Holdingdrawn by Oliver Wahlstrom2 min

2nd

  • 3:36FLAMatt Kiersted · High sticking double minordrawn by Matt Martin4 min
  • 9:10NYIKyle Palmieri · Slashingdrawn by Carter Verhaeghe2 min
  • 20:00NYIAnders Lee · Trippingdrawn by Aleksander Barkov2 min

3rd

  • 7:28FLAJosh Mahura · Holdingdrawn by Brock Nelson2 min
  • 8:45FLAEetu Luostarinen · Slashingdrawn by Oliver Wahlstrom2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
FLA goalNYI goalFinal: FLA 100%

Biggest swing: Anders Lee, 3rd 9:07 — NYI 7% → 23%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
C. Verhaeghe · Missed · xG 0.34S. Reinhart · On goal · xG 0.21E. Luostarinen · Goal · xG 0.20G. Forsling · On goal · xG 0.16E. Luostarinen · On goal · xG 0.14R. Lomberg · Goal · xG 0.11M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.10A. Barkov · On goal · xG 0.09C. Verhaeghe · On goal · xG 0.09R. Balcers · On goal · xG 0.09S. Reinhart · On goal · xG 0.08S. Reinhart · On goal · xG 0.08G. Forsling · On goal · xG 0.08M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.08M. Tkachuk · Missed · xG 0.07A. Lundell · Goal · xG 0.07S. Bennett · Missed · xG 0.07C. Verhaeghe · On goal · xG 0.06A. Barkov · On goal · xG 0.06B. Montour · On goal · xG 0.05M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.05C. Verhaeghe · Missed · xG 0.05A. Barkov · Missed · xG 0.05S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.04M. Staal · On goal · xG 0.04M. Tkachuk · Missed · xG 0.04B. Montour · On goal · xG 0.04C. Verhaeghe · On goal · xG 0.03B. Montour · Missed · xG 0.03J. Mahura · On goal · xG 0.03A. Barkov · On goal · xG 0.03A. Barkov · On goal · xG 0.03R. Balcers · On goal · xG 0.02M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.02R. Balcers · On goal · xG 0.02S. Bennett · Missed · xG 0.01N. Cousins · On goal · xG 0.01M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.01M. Staal · On goal · xG 0.00R. Gudas · On goal · xG 0.00
FLA3 G · 2.8 xG · 40 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NYIvsFLA
1.72 G
All situations
3 G2.8
0.60 G
Even strength
3 G1.9
1.12 G
Power play
0 G0.6

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 75 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NYI36%64%FLA

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.70 – 2.42

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NYIvsFLA
26
Shots on goal
32
49%
Faceoffs
51%
2/6
Power play
0/4
8
Penalty minutes
12
29
Hits
9
20
Blocked shots
9
11
Giveaways
8
5
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
New York Islanders skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
29B. NelsonC011-120.380105321:09
3A. PelechD000-110.01420—21:02
28A. RomanovD000030.02020—20:57
21K. PalmieriC000-220.06312020:36
44J. PageauC000-100.042006120:18
13M. BarzalC022-150.321104320:11
8N. DobsonD011-200.13130—18:44
6R. PulockD000-100.00300—18:41
24S. MayfieldD000000.00210—16:17
27A. LeeL202-140.25312—16:02
11Z. PariseL000010.12100—15:59
12J. BaileyR000-140.13000—15:39
26O. WahlstromR000-140.16102—14:36
25S. AhoD000-200.09120—13:20
53C. CizikasC000000.001303011:39
32R. JohnstonL000-100.00312—10:31
15C. ClutterbuckR000000.00220—09:44
17M. MartinL000000.00100—07:59
New York Islanders goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
40S. Varlamov(L)32293.9062.42-0.5858:36

Season series

FLA leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).