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Panthers at Islanders
NHL

Florida Panthers at New York Islanders

NHL scoreboard
Florida Panthers
▸3
New York Islanders
1
FinalTV MSGSN, BSFL·UBS Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Florida Panthers beat the New York Islanders 3-1. The Panthers scored first and never trailed. The Panthers led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Patric Hornqvist's goal at 3:43 of the third period, which took the Panthers' chances from 48% to 74%. Expected goals were close — FLA 3.8, NYI 3.7; shots on goal were FLA 29, NYI 33. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Islanders win a replay of these chances 57% of the time. Sergei Bobrovsky stopped 32 of 33 (.970), 2.7 goals saved above expected; Ilya Sorokin stopped 26 of 28 (.929), 1.2 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Eetu Luostarinen (1 G), 2. Matthew Tkachuk (1 G), 3. Noah Dobson (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    FLA
    E. Luostarinen1 G
  2. ★★
    FLA
    M. Tkachuk1 G
  3. ★★★
    NYI
    N. Dobson1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
FLAFLA01011425329
NYINYI01605112133

Scoring

4 goals

2nd period

  1. FLA
    E. Luostarinen(1)
    R. Gudas (1), C. White (1)
    deflectedxG 0.07win prob +20 pts
    1-0
    12:45

3rd period

  1. NYI
    N. Dobson(1)PPG
    B. Nelson (1), M. Barzal (1)
    wristxG 0.03win prob +22 pts
    1-1
    3:13
  2. FLA
    P. Hornqvist(1)
    R. Lomberg (1)
    wrap-aroundxG 0.06win prob +27 pts
    2-1
    3:43
  3. FLA
    M. Tkachuk(1)EN
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.61win prob +7 pts
    3-1
    18:45

Penalties

FLA 8 PIM·NYI 12 PIM

1st

  • 0:22NYIAnders Lee · Hookingdrawn by Sam Reinhart2 min
  • 6:39FLAMarc Staal · Trippingdrawn by Anthony Beauvillier2 min
  • 16:31NYIMatt Martin · Roughingdrawn by Nick Cousins2 min
  • 16:31FLANick Cousins · Roughingdrawn by Matt Martin2 min

2nd

  • 3:22NYIRobin Salo · Trippingdrawn by Sam Reinhart2 min
  • 9:31NYIRobin Salo · Interferencedrawn by Ryan Lomberg2 min
  • 19:05NYIAdam Pelech · Holdingdrawn by Nick Cousins2 min

3rd

  • 2:20FLARadko Gudas · Hookingdrawn by Josh Bailey2 min
  • 4:59NYIAnders Lee · Roughingdrawn by Gustav Forsling2 min
  • 9:48FLARudolfs Balcers · Hookingdrawn by Anthony Beauvillier2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NYI goalFLA goalFinal: NYI 0%

Biggest swing: Patric Hornqvist, 3rd 3:43 — FLA 48% → 74%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Bailey · On goal · xG 0.24M. Barzal · On goal · xG 0.24A. Lee · On goal · xG 0.19M. Barzal · On goal · xG 0.18J. Pageau · On goal · xG 0.17N. Soshnikov · On goal · xG 0.17R. Pulock · On goal · xG 0.17C. Cizikas · On goal · xG 0.16Z. Parise · On goal · xG 0.16K. Palmieri · Missed · xG 0.15J. Bailey · Missed · xG 0.13M. Barzal · Missed · xG 0.13N. Soshnikov · Missed · xG 0.10M. Barzal · On goal · xG 0.10J. Pageau · On goal · xG 0.10C. Cizikas · On goal · xG 0.09N. Dobson · On goal · xG 0.09M. Barzal · On goal · xG 0.09J. Pageau · On goal · xG 0.09N. Dobson · Missed · xG 0.08A. Romanov · On goal · xG 0.08N. Dobson · Missed · xG 0.07R. Salo · On goal · xG 0.07J. Bailey · On goal · xG 0.06Z. Parise · Missed · xG 0.06N. Dobson · Missed · xG 0.05Z. Parise · Missed · xG 0.04Z. Parise · On goal · xG 0.04J. Pageau · On goal · xG 0.04K. Palmieri · Missed · xG 0.04J. Pageau · Missed · xG 0.04B. Nelson · On goal · xG 0.03N. Dobson · On goal · xG 0.03N. Dobson · Goal · xG 0.03R. Pulock · Missed · xG 0.03N. Dobson · On goal · xG 0.02R. Pulock · On goal · xG 0.02A. Pelech · On goal · xG 0.02A. Pelech · Missed · xG 0.01A. Lee · On goal · xG 0.01R. Pulock · On goal · xG 0.01S. Mayfield · On goal · xG 0.01C. Cizikas · Missed · xG 0.01A. Pelech · Missed · xG 0.01N. Dobson · On goal · xG 0.01M. Barzal · Missed · xG 0.01N. Dobson · On goal · xG 0.01N. Soshnikov · On goal · xG 0.01Z. Parise · On goal · xG 0.00
NYI1 G · 3.7 xG · 49 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

FLAvsNYI
3.82 G
All situations
1 G3.7
1.52 G
Even strength
0 G2.4
1.40 G
Power play
1 G0.8
0.30 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.5

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 92 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
FLA43%57%NYI

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.17 – 3.60

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

FLAvsNYI
29
Shots on goal
33
41%
Faceoffs
59%
0/5
Power play
1/3
8
Penalty minutes
12
15
Hits
37
13
Blocked shots
25
13
Giveaways
20
5
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
Florida Panthers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
62B. MontourD000030.36120—24:56
5A. EkbladD000+100.03200—24:39
42G. ForslingD000+110.02210—23:35
19M. TkachukL101+141.3110010022:58
16A. BarkovC000+120.390104221:19
13S. ReinhartC000+140.750005020:51
9S. BennettC000000.021204718:30
7R. GudasD011+220.04502—16:29
23C. VerhaegheC000000.04000016:28
15A. LundellC000+140.140302316:07
18M. StaalD000000.00202—16:00
38R. BalcersL000030.39012—14:02
28J. MahuraD000+200.10000—11:36
27E. LuostarinenC101+110.07010011:33
70P. HornqvistR101+120.09010—10:54
6C. WhiteC011+110.0200010009:04
21N. CousinsC000+100.000025007:24
94R. LombergL011+120.07110—07:03
Florida Panthers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
72S. Bobrovsky(W)33321.9703.68+2.6859:39

Season series

FLA leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).