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Avalanche at Oilers
NHL

Colorado Avalanche at Edmonton Oilers

NHL scoreboard
Colorado Avalanche
▸6
Edmonton Oilers
5
Final/OTTV TNT, CBC·Rogers Place

Recap

written from the game data

The Colorado Avalanche beat the Edmonton Oilers 6-5 in overtime, Artturi Lehkonen scoring at 1:19. The Avalanche came back from two goals down. The Oilers led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Artturi Lehkonen's goal at 1:19 of overtime, which took the Avalanche's chances from 48% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Oilers, 3.7 to 3.4; shots on goal were COL 42, EDM 35. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Oilers win a replay of these chances 53% of the time. Pavel Francouz stopped 30 of 35 (.857), 1.3 goals below expected; Mike Smith stopped 36 of 42 (.857), 2.6 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Leon Draisaitl (4 A), 2. Cale Makar (1 G, 4 A), 3. Connor McDavid (1 G, 2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    EDM
    L. Draisaitl4 A
  2. ★★
    COL
    C. Makar1 G, 4 A
  3. ★★★
    EDM
    C. McDavid1 G, 2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
COLCOL11601041412642
EDMEDM0123821500535

Scoring

11 goals

1st period

  1. COL
    C. Makar(5)PPG
    A. Lehkonen (4)
    wristxG 0.02win prob +9 pts
    1-0
    3:46

2nd period

  1. EDM
    Z. Hyman(10)
    L. Draisaitl (22), D. Nurse (4)
    backhandxG 0.16win prob +18 pts
    1-1
    7:39
  2. EDM
    R. Nugent-Hopkins(6)
    Unassisted
    backhandxG 0.11win prob +21 pts
    1-2
    16:57
  3. EDM
    C. McDavid(10)PPG
    L. Draisaitl (23), T. Barrie (4)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +12 pts
    1-3
    18:54

3rd period

  1. COL
    D. Toews(5)
    G. Landeskog (8), C. Makar (14)
    wristxG 0.02win prob +15 pts
    2-3
    0:31
  2. EDM
    Z. Hyman(11)
    L. Draisaitl (24), C. McDavid (22)
    snapxG 0.04win prob +15 pts
    2-4
    3:55
  3. COL
    G. Landeskog(8)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.31win prob +13 pts
    3-4
    8:58
  4. COL
    N. MacKinnon(11)
    A. Lehkonen (5), C. Makar (15)
    wristxG 0.14win prob +35 pts
    4-4
    13:30
  5. COL
    M. Rantanen(5)PPG
    C. Makar (16), G. Landeskog (9)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +31 pts
    5-4
    14:47
  6. EDM
    Z. Kassian(2)
    L. Draisaitl (25), C. McDavid (23)
    wristxG 0.34win prob +41 pts
    5-5
    16:38

Overtime

  1. COL
    A. Lehkonen(6)
    C. Makar (17), D. Helm (2)
    wristxG 0.24win prob +52 pts
    6-5
    1:19

Penalties

COL 10 PIM·EDM 4 PIM

1st

  • 2:53EDMZack Kassian · Slashingdrawn by Jack Johnson2 min
  • 10:19COLDarren Helm · Holding the stickdrawn by Zack Kassian2 min
  • 16:00COLErik Johnson · Trippingdrawn by Zach Hyman2 min

2nd

  • 8:06COLGabriel Landeskog · Holdingdrawn by Zack Kassian2 min
  • 18:02COLAlex Newhook · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

3rd

  • 11:02COLNathan MacKinnon · Trippingdrawn by Zach Hyman2 min
  • 14:06EDMDerek Ryan · Holdingdrawn by Mikko Rantanen2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
EDM goalCOL goalFinal: EDM 0%

Biggest swing: Artturi Lehkonen, OT 1:19 — COL 48% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
Z. Kassian · Goal · xG 0.34Z. Hyman · On goal · xG 0.29C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.26R. McLeod · Missed · xG 0.17Z. Hyman · Goal · xG 0.16L. Draisaitl · Missed · xG 0.16Z. Hyman · Missed · xG 0.15B. Malone · Missed · xG 0.14L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.13W. Foegele · On goal · xG 0.11R. Nugent-Hopkins · Goal · xG 0.11L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.11Z. Hyman · On goal · xG 0.11Z. Hyman · Missed · xG 0.10C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.09R. Nugent-Hopkins · Missed · xG 0.09C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.09C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.09C. McDavid · Goal · xG 0.07W. Foegele · On goal · xG 0.06Z. Hyman · Missed · xG 0.06B. Malone · Missed · xG 0.05W. Foegele · Missed · xG 0.05J. Puljujarvi · On goal · xG 0.05L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.05Z. Hyman · On goal · xG 0.05W. Foegele · On goal · xG 0.04D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.04E. Bouchard · On goal · xG 0.04E. Bouchard · On goal · xG 0.04T. Barrie · Missed · xG 0.04E. Bouchard · Missed · xG 0.04R. McLeod · Missed · xG 0.04Z. Hyman · Goal · xG 0.03D. Ryan · Missed · xG 0.03L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.03C. McDavid · Missed · xG 0.02D. Keith · On goal · xG 0.02B. Kulak · On goal · xG 0.02R. McLeod · On goal · xG 0.02R. McLeod · On goal · xG 0.02T. Barrie · Missed · xG 0.02R. Nugent-Hopkins · On goal · xG 0.01D. Keith · On goal · xG 0.01D. Keith · On goal · xG 0.01Z. Hyman · Missed · xG 0.01R. McLeod · Missed · xG 0.01D. Keith · On goal · xG 0.01D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.01R. Nugent-Hopkins · On goal · xG 0.01E. Bouchard · On goal · xG 0.00E. Bouchard · On goal · xG 0.00
EDM5 G · 3.7 xG · 52 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

COLvsEDM
3.46 G
All situations
5 G3.7
3.14 G
Even strength
4 G2.8
0.32 G
Power play
1 G0.9
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 106 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
COL47%53%EDM

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.35 – 3.57

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

COLvsEDM
42
Shots on goal
35
41%
Faceoffs
59%
2/2
Power play
1/5
10
Penalty minutes
4
30
Hits
44
21
Blocked shots
10
11
Giveaways
15
11
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Colorado Avalanche skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8C. MakarD145-140.27110—29:03
7D. ToewsD101-150.07130—28:08
4B. ByramD000010.02120—21:43
13V. NichushkinR000020.07310—19:40
29N. MacKinnonC101+170.851125019:16
92G. LandeskogL123+130.643025619:05
6E. JohnsonD000+110.03312—18:06
37J. CompherL000-110.290304417:48
62A. LehkonenL123+160.64000—15:58
96M. RantanenR101-210.174003815:49
42J. MansonD000+110.06330—14:33
95A. BurakovskyL000-100.00120—14:15
43D. HelmC011+130.034122913:25
25L. O'ConnorR000020.05010—12:29
11A. CoglianoC000020.04020011:54
3J. JohnsonD000000.00200—09:48
16N. Aube-KubelR000020.11300—09:03
18A. NewhookC000010.10002008:03
Colorado Avalanche goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
39P. Francouz(W)35305.8573.69-1.3160:56

Series

COL leads 4-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).