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Avalanche at Oilers
NHL

Colorado Avalanche at Edmonton Oilers

NHL scoreboard
Colorado Avalanche
▸4
Edmonton Oilers
2
FinalTV TNT, CBC·Rogers Place

Recap

written from the game data

The Colorado Avalanche beat the Edmonton Oilers 4-2. The lead changed hands 2 times. The Avalanche led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was J.T. Compher's goal at 12:42 of the third period, which took the Avalanche's chances from 46% to 84%. Expected goals favored the Avalanche, 4.0 to 3.0; shots on goal were COL 43, EDM 29. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Avalanche win a replay of these chances 55% of the time. Pavel Francouz stopped 27 of 29 (.931), 1.0 goals saved above expected; Mike Smith stopped 39 of 42 (.929). Three stars: 1. Valeri Nichushkin (2 G), 2. Mike Smith (39 saves, .929), 3. Devon Toews (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    COL
    V. Nichushkin2 G
  2. ★★
    EDM
    M. Smith39 saves, .929
  3. ★★★
    COL
    D. Toews2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
COLCOL112119212443
EDMEDM1901317229

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. EDM
    C. McDavid(9)
    Z. Hyman (5), D. Nurse (3)
    wristxG 0.06win prob +11 pts
    0-1
    0:38
  2. COL
    V. Nichushkin(4)
    B. Byram (7), D. Toews (7)
    wristxG 0.02win prob +14 pts
    1-1
    16:12

2nd period

  1. COL
    V. Nichushkin(5)
    D. Toews (8), N. MacKinnon (7)
    snapxG 0.27win prob +17 pts
    2-1
    4:37

3rd period

  1. EDM
    R. McLeod(3)
    B. Kulak (5), D. Ryan (2)
    snapxG 0.03win prob +29 pts
    2-2
    7:34
  2. COL
    J. Compher(5)
    A. Cogliano (1)
    wristxG 0.01win prob +38 pts
    3-2
    12:42
  3. COL
    M. Rantanen(4)EN
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.72win prob +5 pts
    4-2
    19:30

Penalties

COL 4 PIM·EDM 23 PIM

1st

  • 1:06EDMEvander Kane · Boardingdrawn by Nazem Kadri5 min
  • 9:36EDMDarnell Nurse · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 17:33COLNathan MacKinnon · Trippingdrawn by Leon Draisaitl2 min

2nd

  • 14:23EDMRyan Nugent-Hopkins · Holding the stickdrawn by Nathan MacKinnon2 min

3rd

  • 4:05EDMLeon Draisaitl · High stickingdrawn by Cale Makar2 min
  • 10:32COLJ.T. Compher · Trippingdrawn by Leon Draisaitl2 min
  • 19:33EDMBrad Malone · Misconduct10 min
  • 19:33EDMBrad Malone · Cross checkingdrawn by Darren Helm2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
EDM goalCOL goalFinal: EDM 0%

Biggest swing: J.T. Compher, 3rd 12:42 — COL 46% → 84%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.31C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.29W. Foegele · On goal · xG 0.17Z. Kassian · On goal · xG 0.16R. McLeod · On goal · xG 0.16D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.15R. Nugent-Hopkins · Missed · xG 0.15R. Nugent-Hopkins · On goal · xG 0.13Z. Hyman · On goal · xG 0.12L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.11E. Kane · Missed · xG 0.10R. McLeod · On goal · xG 0.09L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.08E. Kane · On goal · xG 0.07Z. Kassian · On goal · xG 0.07C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.07C. McDavid · Missed · xG 0.06J. Puljujarvi · Missed · xG 0.06C. McDavid · Goal · xG 0.06E. Bouchard · Missed · xG 0.06C. Ceci · Missed · xG 0.05E. Kane · Missed · xG 0.04T. Barrie · Missed · xG 0.04C. McDavid · Missed · xG 0.04E. Bouchard · On goal · xG 0.03E. Bouchard · On goal · xG 0.03R. McLeod · Goal · xG 0.03Z. Hyman · On goal · xG 0.03Z. Hyman · On goal · xG 0.03J. Puljujarvi · On goal · xG 0.02T. Barrie · On goal · xG 0.02D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.02B. Kulak · Missed · xG 0.02E. Bouchard · On goal · xG 0.02C. Ceci · On goal · xG 0.01B. Kulak · Missed · xG 0.01C. Ceci · Missed · xG 0.01B. Kulak · Missed · xG 0.01T. Barrie · Missed · xG 0.01E. Kane · On goal · xG 0.01T. Barrie · On goal · xG 0.01E. Bouchard · On goal · xG 0.01B. Kulak · On goal · xG 0.00
EDM2 G · 3.0 xG · 43 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

COLvsEDM
4.03 G
All situations
2 G3.0
1.33 G
Even strength
2 G2.4
1.80 G
Power play
0 G0.5
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 94 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
COL55%45%EDM

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.21 – 2.93

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

COLvsEDM
43
Shots on goal
29
58%
Faceoffs
42%
0/5
Power play
0/2
4
Penalty minutes
23
32
Hits
45
13
Blocked shots
7
8
Giveaways
15
6
Takeaways
11

Box score

every player line
Colorado Avalanche skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8C. MakarD000+140.29120—29:57
7D. ToewsD022+100.00400—26:51
13V. NichushkinR202+250.60210—23:41
92G. LandeskogL000+430.381008523:01
29N. MacKinnonC011+450.482025322:55
96M. RantanenR101081.31210—22:25
62A. LehkonenL000-130.30120—21:03
37J. CompherL101+130.212124419:38
4B. ByramD011+230.11110—19:38
6E. JohnsonD000010.02320—14:10
42J. MansonD000+110.03110—12:46
43D. HelmC000020.044105012:20
11A. CoglianoC011020.12000010:52
18A. NewhookC000-100.0000010010:32
25L. O'ConnorR000-110.02100—10:20
3J. JohnsonD000-100.00400—08:23
78N. SturmC000-120.043107507:10
91N. KadriC000-100.00000000:37
Colorado Avalanche goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
39P. Francouz(W)29272.9312.96+0.9659:41

Series

COL leads 4-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).