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Edmonton Oilers at Los Angeles Kings

FinalTV TBS, BSW·Crypto.com Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Edmonton Oilers beat the Los Angeles Kings 4-2. The Oilers scored first and never trailed. The Oilers led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Tyson Barrie's goal at 14:50 of the third period, which took the Oilers' chances from 48% to 88%. Expected goals favored the Oilers, 4.0 to 2.5; shots on goal were EDM 37, LAK 32. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Oilers win a replay of these chances 53% of the time. Mike Smith stopped 30 of 32 (.938); Jonathan Quick stopped 33 of 36 (.917). Three stars: 1. Connor McDavid (1 G, 2 A), 2. Matt Roy (1 A), 3. Tyson Barrie (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    EDM
    C. McDavid1 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    LAK
    M. Roy1 A
  3. ★★★
    EDM
    T. Barrie1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
EDMEDM11511329437
LAKLAK01218112232

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. EDM
    E. Kane (2), C. Ceci (4)
    wrap-aroundxG 0.04win prob +11 pts
    1-0
    1:40

2nd period

  1. EDM
    B. Kulak (2), C. Ceci (5)
    tip-inxG 0.10win prob +17 pts
    2-0
    1:50
  2. LAK
    S. Durzi(1)PPG
    slapxG 0.04win prob +13 pts
    2-1
    13:59

3rd period

  1. LAK
    snapxG 0.15win prob +24 pts
    2-2
    0:29
  2. EDM
    snapxG 0.06win prob +40 pts
    3-2
    14:50
  3. EDM
    E. Kane(7)EN
    wristxG 0.92win prob +7 pts
    4-2
    19:00

Penalties

EDM 8 PIM·LAK 2 PIM

1st

  • 8:21EDMKailer Yamamoto · Interference goalkeeperdrawn by Jonathan Quick2 min
  • 14:04EDMMike Smith · Slashingdrawn by Andreas Athanasiou2 min

2nd

  • 13:49EDMRyan Nugent-Hopkins · Cross checkingdrawn by Carl Grundstrom2 min
  • 16:25LAKAndreas Athanasiou · High stickingdrawn by Zack Kassian2 min

3rd

  • 16:23EDMKailer Yamamoto · Kneeingdrawn by Alex Iafallo2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
LAK goalEDM goalFinal: LAK 0%

Biggest swing: Tyson Barrie, 3rd 14:50 — EDM 48% → 88%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
C. Grundstrom · Goal · xG 0.16A. Athanasiou · On goal · xG 0.14A. Kempe · On goal · xG 0.13A. Kaliyev · Missed · xG 0.10P. Danault · On goal · xG 0.10D. Brown · On goal · xG 0.10A. Kempe · On goal · xG 0.10D. Brown · On goal · xG 0.10M. Roy · On goal · xG 0.09T. Moore · On goal · xG 0.09A. Kaliyev · On goal · xG 0.09A. Iafallo · On goal · xG 0.09P. Danault · Missed · xG 0.08A. Kopitar · On goal · xG 0.08A. Kopitar · On goal · xG 0.08A. Kopitar · On goal · xG 0.07A. Athanasiou · Missed · xG 0.07C. Grundstrom · Missed · xG 0.07S. Durzi · Missed · xG 0.06A. Kaliyev · On goal · xG 0.06S. Durzi · On goal · xG 0.06M. Anderson · Missed · xG 0.06D. Brown · On goal · xG 0.05A. Kempe · Missed · xG 0.05A. Kaliyev · On goal · xG 0.04S. Durzi · Goal · xG 0.04A. Edler · Missed · xG 0.04T. Stecher · On goal · xG 0.03A. Kempe · On goal · xG 0.02D. Brown · On goal · xG 0.02O. Maatta · On goal · xG 0.01A. Edler · Missed · xG 0.01A. Kaliyev · On goal · xG 0.01T. Stecher · Missed · xG 0.01B. Lemieux · On goal · xG 0.01M. Roy · On goal · xG 0.01A. Iafallo · Missed · xG 0.01B. Lemieux · On goal · xG 0.01P. Danault · On goal · xG 0.01A. Kaliyev · Missed · xG 0.01T. Stecher · On goal · xG 0.01C. Grundstrom · Missed · xG 0.01A. Athanasiou · Missed · xG 0.01A. Kempe · Missed · xG 0.01D. Brown · On goal · xG 0.01A. Kopitar · On goal · xG 0.01M. Anderson · Missed · xG 0.00A. Edler · On goal · xG 0.00
LAK2 G · 2.5 xG · 48 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

EDMvsLAK
4.03 G
All situations
2 G2.5
2.43 G
Even strength
1 G1.6
0.20 G
Power play
1 G0.8

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 99 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
EDM53%47%LAK

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.61 – 2.45

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

EDMvsLAK
37
Shots on goal
32
54%
Faceoffs
46%
0/1
Power play
1/4
8
Penalty minutes
2
26
Hits
30
14
Blocked shots
13
6
Giveaways
11
0
Takeaways
1

Box score

every player line
Edmonton Oilers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
97C. McDavidC123+360.682104724:02
5C. CeciD022+210.01010—23:06
93R. Nugent-HopkinsC000030.051328521:49
27B. KulakD011+220.03300—21:19
2D. KeithD000020.02110—20:26
56K. YamamotoR000+110.25204—19:19
29L. DraisaitlC011020.381006718:25
22T. BarrieD101+230.13020—18:25
18Z. HymanL000+220.35200—17:38
75E. BouchardD000-110.08100—17:36
91E. KaneL213+361.28400—17:24
15J. ArchibaldR000010.62510—15:27
10D. RyanC000010.031005414:41
6K. RussellD000+120.02040—14:31
71R. McLeodC000030.071002813:59
44Z. KassianR000010.02000—06:57
13J. PuljujarviR000000.00200—05:30
86P. BrobergD000000.00010—03:16
Edmonton Oilers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
41M. Smith(W)32302.9382.45+0.4560:00

Series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).