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Los Angeles Kings at Edmonton Oilers

FinalTV ESPN2, BSW·Rogers Place

Recap

written from the game data

The Los Angeles Kings beat the Edmonton Oilers 4-3. The Kings scored first and never trailed. It was tied 3-3 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Phillip Danault's goal at 14:46 of the third period, which took the Kings' chances from 48% to 87%. Expected goals favored the Oilers, 4.4 to 3.6; shots on goal were LAK 35, EDM 39. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Oilers win a replay of these chances 61% of the time. Jonathan Quick stopped 36 of 39 (.923), 1.4 goals saved above expected; Mike Smith stopped 31 of 35 (.886). Three stars: 1. Phillip Danault (1 G, 1 A), 2. Kailer Yamamoto (1 G, 1 A), 3. Trevor Moore (1 G, 2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    LAK
    P. Danault1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    EDM
    K. Yamamoto1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    LAK
    T. Moore1 G, 2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
LAKLAK21614115435
EDMEDM113216010339

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. LAK
    snapxG 0.16win prob +14 pts
    1-0
    11:00
  2. LAK
    snapxG 0.04win prob +16 pts
    2-0
    16:48
  3. EDM
    snapxG 0.13win prob +16 pts
    2-1
    19:17

2nd period

  1. EDM
    tip-inxG 0.12win prob +15 pts
    2-2
    2:39
  2. LAK
    snapxG 0.18win prob +17 pts
    3-2
    3:50
  3. EDM
    snapxG 0.17win prob +14 pts
    3-3
    9:56

3rd period

  1. LAK
    deflectedxG 0.12win prob +39 pts
    4-3
    14:46

Penalties

LAK 10 PIM·EDM 10 PIM

1st

  • 0:50EDMKailer Yamamoto · Roughingdrawn by Alex Iafallo2 min
  • 6:04LAKAlexander Edler · Holdingdrawn by Connor McDavid2 min

2nd

  • 0:47LAKAlex Iafallo · Trippingdrawn by Leon Draisaitl2 min
  • 4:52EDMRyan Nugent-Hopkins · Hookingdrawn by Phillip Danault2 min
  • 8:53LAKAlex Iafallo · Cross checkingdrawn by Zach Hyman2 min
  • 12:31LAKQuinton Byfield · Holdingdrawn by Leon Draisaitl2 min
  • 19:32EDMCody Ceci · Hookingdrawn by Adrian Kempe2 min
  • 19:32LAKserved by A. Kaliyev · Too many men on the ice2 min

3rd

  • 1:50EDMBrett Kulak · Interferencedrawn by Blake Lizotte2 min
  • 5:35EDMDarnell Nurse · Hookingdrawn by Trevor Moore2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
EDM goalLAK goalFinal: EDM 0%

Biggest swing: Phillip Danault, 3rd 14:46 — LAK 48% → 87%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
R. Nugent-Hopkins · On goal · xG 0.45C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.36R. Nugent-Hopkins · On goal · xG 0.36E. Kane · On goal · xG 0.20E. Kane · On goal · xG 0.18L. Draisaitl · Goal · xG 0.17D. Ryan · On goal · xG 0.16L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.14L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.13C. McDavid · Missed · xG 0.13C. McDavid · Goal · xG 0.13Z. Hyman · On goal · xG 0.12K. Yamamoto · Goal · xG 0.12K. Yamamoto · On goal · xG 0.12B. Kulak · On goal · xG 0.11E. Kane · On goal · xG 0.11R. McLeod · On goal · xG 0.11Z. Hyman · On goal · xG 0.10Z. Hyman · Missed · xG 0.09R. Nugent-Hopkins · On goal · xG 0.08C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.07Z. Hyman · Missed · xG 0.07D. Ryan · On goal · xG 0.07R. McLeod · Missed · xG 0.06R. McLeod · On goal · xG 0.06E. Bouchard · On goal · xG 0.06K. Yamamoto · On goal · xG 0.06C. McDavid · Missed · xG 0.06L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.05D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.05L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.05K. Yamamoto · On goal · xG 0.04D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.04E. Kane · Missed · xG 0.04Z. Kassian · On goal · xG 0.04E. Kane · On goal · xG 0.03E. Kane · Missed · xG 0.03D. Keith · Missed · xG 0.02D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.02E. Bouchard · On goal · xG 0.02D. Keith · On goal · xG 0.01E. Kane · On goal · xG 0.01K. Russell · On goal · xG 0.01D. Keith · Missed · xG 0.01D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.01R. McLeod · On goal · xG 0.01B. Kulak · On goal · xG 0.01E. Bouchard · On goal · xG 0.00
EDM3 G · 4.4 xG · 48 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

LAKvsEDM
3.64 G
All situations
3 G4.4
2.24 G
Even strength
1 G1.7
1.40 G
Power play
2 G2.5
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 96 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
LAK39%61%EDM

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.50 – 4.21

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

LAKvsEDM
35
Shots on goal
39
51%
Faceoffs
49%
0/4
Power play
2/4
10
Penalty minutes
10
38
Hits
40
23
Blocked shots
18
8
Giveaways
9
6
Takeaways
14

Box score

every player line
Los Angeles Kings skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
11A. KopitarC000+120.234405525:41
9A. KempeR011+160.46200—24:55
24P. DanaultC112+310.381305222:45
3M. RoyD000+200.00540—22:03
2A. EdlerD011+220.10232—22:00
50S. DurziD011+110.04010—18:49
12T. MooreL123+350.55510—18:47
22A. AthanasiouC000020.131005018:07
44M. AndersonD000+110.03520—17:51
19A. IafalloL112+350.61214—17:47
53J. SpenceD000000.05210—17:08
6O. MaattaD000010.02210—15:20
46B. LizotteC000-110.460004512:51
91C. GrundstromR000-130.17310—10:37
23D. BrownR000-110.01210—10:14
34A. KaliyevR000010.05000—07:42
55Q. ByfieldR000010.08002—05:33
48B. LemieuxL101+120.21200—02:59
Los Angeles Kings goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
32J. Quick(W)39363.9234.39+1.3960:00

Series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).