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Panthers at Capitals
NHL

Florida Panthers at Washington Capitals

NHL scoreboard
Florida Panthers
1
Washington Capitals
▸6
FinalTV ESPN, NBCSWA·Capital One Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Washington Capitals beat the Florida Panthers 6-1. The Panthers scored first; the Capitals answered. The Capitals led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Marcus Johansson's goal at 9:51 of the second period, which took the Capitals' chances from 53% to 72%. Expected goals favored the Capitals, 3.1 to 2.6; shots on goal were FLA 30, WSH 31. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Panthers win a replay of these chances 51% of the time. Sergei Bobrovsky stopped 25 of 30 (.833), 2.5 goals below expected; Ilya Samsonov stopped 29 of 30 (.967), 1.6 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Ilya Samsonov (29 saves, .967), 2. Marcus Johansson (1 G, 1 A), 3. Trevor van Riemsdyk (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    WSH
    I. Samsonov29 saves, .967
  2. ★★
    WSH
    M. Johansson1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    WSH
    T. van Riemsdyk1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
FLAFLA1901308130
WSHWSH11127313631

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. FLA
    J. Huberdeau(1)
    A. Duclair (2), A. Ekblad (1)
    wristxG 0.02win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    2:45
  2. WSH
    T. Oshie(2)PPG
    A. Ovechkin (3), J. Carlson (2)
    tip-inxG 0.15win prob +11 pts
    1-1
    19:34

2nd period

  1. WSH
    M. Johansson(1)
    A. Mantha (2), N. Backstrom (2)
    backhandxG 0.17win prob +18 pts
    1-2
    9:51
  2. WSH
    T. van Riemsdyk(1)
    M. Johansson (1), N. Backstrom (3)
    slapxG 0.05win prob +16 pts
    1-3
    18:49

3rd period

  1. WSH
    A. Ovechkin(1)PPG
    C. Sheary (1), A. Mantha (3)
    slapxG 0.14win prob +3 pts
    1-4
    10:25
  2. WSH
    J. Carlson(1)EN
    L. Eller (1)
    wristxG 0.54
    1-5
    15:40
  3. WSH
    G. Hathaway(1)
    J. Larsson (1), N. Dowd (1)
    wristxG 0.14
    1-6
    19:18

Penalties

FLA 14 PIM·WSH 8 PIM

1st

  • 6:53FLAEetu Luostarinen · Holdingdrawn by John Carlson2 min
  • 17:30WSHAnthony Mantha · Cross checkingdrawn by Mason Marchment2 min
  • 19:27FLAMacKenzie Weegar · Holding the stickdrawn by Garnet Hathaway2 min

2nd

  • 2:42WSHMartin Fehérváry · Trippingdrawn by Noel Acciari2 min
  • 5:01WSHJustin Schultz · Interferencedrawn by Mason Marchment2 min
  • 11:45FLAAnthony Duclair · Interferencedrawn by Lars Eller2 min
  • 19:34WSHAnthony Mantha · Roughingdrawn by Sam Bennett2 min
  • 19:34FLASam Bennett · Trippingdrawn by Anthony Mantha2 min
  • 19:34FLASam Bennett · Roughingdrawn by Anthony Mantha2 min

3rd

  • 8:52FLAJonathan Huberdeau · Interferencedrawn by Nic Dowd2 min
  • 16:53FLAserved by M. Marchment · Too many men on the ice2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
WSH goalFLA goalFinal: WSH 100%

Biggest swing: Marcus Johansson, 2nd 9:51 — WSH 53% → 72%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Carlson · Goal · xG 0.54M. Johansson · Goal · xG 0.17N. Backstrom · On goal · xG 0.17E. Kuznetsov · On goal · xG 0.15A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.15T. Oshie · Goal · xG 0.15A. Ovechkin · Goal · xG 0.14G. Hathaway · Goal · xG 0.14L. Eller · On goal · xG 0.13M. Johansson · On goal · xG 0.11C. Sheary · Missed · xG 0.11T. Oshie · Missed · xG 0.10J. Larsson · On goal · xG 0.09A. Mantha · Missed · xG 0.08C. McMichael · Missed · xG 0.07G. Hathaway · Missed · xG 0.07N. Dowd · On goal · xG 0.06N. Dowd · On goal · xG 0.06T. Oshie · Missed · xG 0.06N. Backstrom · On goal · xG 0.06A. Ovechkin · Missed · xG 0.05L. Eller · On goal · xG 0.05A. Mantha · On goal · xG 0.05T. van Riemsdyk · Goal · xG 0.05A. Mantha · On goal · xG 0.04A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.04N. Backstrom · On goal · xG 0.03A. Mantha · On goal · xG 0.02J. Schultz · On goal · xG 0.02N. Backstrom · Missed · xG 0.02N. Backstrom · On goal · xG 0.02L. Eller · On goal · xG 0.02E. Kuznetsov · On goal · xG 0.02J. Larsson · On goal · xG 0.02N. Backstrom · On goal · xG 0.01J. Schultz · On goal · xG 0.01E. Kuznetsov · On goal · xG 0.01A. Mantha · On goal · xG 0.01T. Oshie · On goal · xG 0.00
WSH6 G · 3.1 xG · 39 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

FLAvsWSH
2.61 G
All situations
5 G3.1
2.01 G
Even strength
3 G1.8
0.60 G
Power play
2 G0.7
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 90 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
FLA51%49%WSH

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.58 – 2.50

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

FLAvsWSH
30
Shots on goal
31
55%
Faceoffs
45%
0/3
Power play
2/6
14
Penalty minutes
8
49
Hits
44
12
Blocked shots
14
5
Giveaways
9
6
Takeaways
14

Box score

every player line
Florida Panthers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
5A. EkbladD011-110.08200—24:23
42G. ForslingD000000.14010—20:03
62B. MontourD000-230.27110—19:46
13S. ReinhartC000-150.401003319:36
52M. WeegarD000030.11912—19:28
16A. BarkovC000040.312004219:10
11J. HuberdeauL101-120.20302—17:10
7R. GudasD000010.03420—17:09
17M. MarchmentL000-230.31710—16:28
28C. GirouxR000-300.051104215:44
9S. BennettC000-110.115046314:55
8B. ChiarotD000-210.01120—14:37
15A. LundellC000-110.161208014:23
23C. VerhaegheC000-210.05100013:11
10A. DuclairL011+100.00212—11:59
27E. LuostarinenC000-100.001028011:42
55N. AcciariC000010.192006711:14
70P. HornqvistR000030.19600—09:59
Florida Panthers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
72S. Bobrovsky(L)30255.8332.52-2.4859:31

Series

FLA leads 4-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).