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Capitals at Panthers
NHL

Washington Capitals at Florida Panthers

NHL scoreboard
Washington Capitals
1
Florida Panthers
▸5
FinalTV TBS, NBCSWA·FLA Live Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Florida Panthers beat the Washington Capitals 5-1. The Panthers scored first and never trailed. The Panthers led 5-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Mason Marchment's goal at 3:11 of the second period, which took the Panthers' chances from 67% to 83%. Expected goals favored the Panthers, 3.2 to 2.2; shots on goal were WSH 27, FLA 36. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Panthers win a replay of these chances 67% of the time. Vitek Vanecek stopped 14 of 19 (.737), 3.3 goals below expected; Sergei Bobrovsky stopped 26 of 27 (.963), 1.2 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Aleksander Barkov (1 G, 1 A), 2. Aaron Ekblad (1 G), 3. Sergei Bobrovsky (26 saves, .963).

Three stars

  1. ★
    FLA
    A. Barkov1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    FLA
    A. Ekblad1 G
  3. ★★★
    FLA
    S. Bobrovsky26 saves, .963

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
WSHWSH01111303127
FLAFLA27312017536

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. FLA
    A. Ekblad(1)
    A. Barkov (1)
    slapxG 0.03win prob +14 pts
    0-1
    16:20
  2. FLA
    A. Barkov(1)
    J. Huberdeau (1), A. Duclair (1)
    wristxG 0.20win prob +15 pts
    0-2
    17:58

2nd period

  1. WSH
    N. Backstrom(1)PPG
    A. Ovechkin (2), J. Carlson (1)
    wristxG 0.08win prob +15 pts
    1-2
    2:44
  2. FLA
    M. Marchment(1)
    B. Montour (2), C. Giroux (1)
    wristxG 0.03win prob +16 pts
    1-3
    3:11
  3. FLA
    A. Lundell(1)
    S. Reinhart (1), C. Verhaeghe (2)
    snapxG 0.29win prob +8 pts
    1-4
    15:24
  4. FLA
    C. Verhaeghe(1)
    R. Gudas (2), G. Forsling (1)
    wristxG 0.11win prob +3 pts
    1-5
    17:32

Penalties

WSH 20 PIM·FLA 8 PIM

1st

  • 10:15WSHNicklas Backstrom · Hookingdrawn by Jonathan Huberdeau2 min
  • 18:06WSHVitek Vanecek · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

2nd

  • 0:38FLARadko Gudas · Roughingdrawn by Garnet Hathaway2 min
  • 0:38WSHGarnet Hathaway · Roughingdrawn by Radko Gudas2 min
  • 2:07FLAAnton Lundell · Hookingdrawn by T.J. Oshie2 min
  • 5:58FLAMason Marchment · Roughingdrawn by Nick Jensen2 min
  • 5:58FLAMason Marchment · Slashingdrawn by Nick Jensen2 min

3rd

  • 9:54WSHGarnet Hathaway · Boardingdrawn by Patric Hornqvist2 min
  • 15:44WSHNic Dowd · Slashingdrawn by Gustav Forsling2 min
  • 17:40WSHGarnet Hathaway · Misconduct10 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
FLA goalWSH goalFinal: FLA 100%

Biggest swing: Mason Marchment, 2nd 3:11 — FLA 67% → 83%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Lundell · Goal · xG 0.29A. Barkov · Goal · xG 0.20S. Bennett · Missed · xG 0.17M. Marchment · On goal · xG 0.15J. Huberdeau · On goal · xG 0.15P. Hornqvist · On goal · xG 0.14M. Marchment · Missed · xG 0.14B. Montour · On goal · xG 0.13A. Barkov · On goal · xG 0.12P. Hornqvist · Missed · xG 0.12C. Verhaeghe · Goal · xG 0.11S. Reinhart · On goal · xG 0.11J. Huberdeau · On goal · xG 0.10J. Huberdeau · On goal · xG 0.10M. Marchment · On goal · xG 0.10S. Bennett · Missed · xG 0.09P. Hornqvist · On goal · xG 0.09P. Hornqvist · On goal · xG 0.08C. Verhaeghe · On goal · xG 0.07S. Reinhart · On goal · xG 0.07M. Weegar · On goal · xG 0.06E. Luostarinen · On goal · xG 0.06A. Ekblad · On goal · xG 0.04S. Reinhart · Missed · xG 0.04M. Weegar · On goal · xG 0.04B. Montour · On goal · xG 0.04M. Weegar · On goal · xG 0.04A. Ekblad · Goal · xG 0.03N. Acciari · Missed · xG 0.03C. Verhaeghe · On goal · xG 0.03M. Marchment · Missed · xG 0.03M. Marchment · Goal · xG 0.03B. Montour · Missed · xG 0.03G. Forsling · On goal · xG 0.02A. Barkov · On goal · xG 0.02A. Barkov · On goal · xG 0.02S. Reinhart · Missed · xG 0.02C. Verhaeghe · On goal · xG 0.02G. Forsling · On goal · xG 0.02S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.01B. Chiarot · Missed · xG 0.01C. Giroux · On goal · xG 0.01S. Reinhart · On goal · xG 0.01B. Chiarot · On goal · xG 0.01B. Montour · Missed · xG 0.01B. Montour · On goal · xG 0.01B. Chiarot · On goal · xG 0.00
FLA5 G · 3.2 xG · 47 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

WSHvsFLA
2.21 G
All situations
5 G3.2
1.50 G
Even strength
5 G2.6
0.41 G
Power play
0 G0.5
0.30 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 84 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
WSH33%67%FLA

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.19 – 3.18

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

WSHvsFLA
27
Shots on goal
36
47%
Faceoffs
53%
1/3
Power play
0/4
20
Penalty minutes
8
60
Hits
39
21
Blocked shots
13
21
Giveaways
6
3
Takeaways
11

Box score

every player line
Washington Capitals skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
3N. JensenD000-330.04330—22:42
74J. CarlsonD011-210.00420—22:11
9D. OrlovD000-300.02330—20:34
77T. OshieR000030.485107519:24
42M. FehérváryD000-200.00500—18:51
19N. BackstromC101-130.202023118:06
20L. EllerC000-210.065204517:52
57T. van RiemsdykD000000.00130—16:55
73C. ShearyL000-130.102005016:13
92E. KuznetsovC000-130.171105015:49
39A. ManthaR000-210.09410—15:08
2J. SchultzD000000.03210—15:03
8A. OvechkinL011-150.35600—14:54
90M. JohanssonL000-110.023005014:08
21G. HathawayR000-320.679314—13:35
26N. DowdC000-110.001024310:40
22J. LarssonL000-100.0031010009:49
49B. LeasonR000-100.00100—08:17
Washington Capitals goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
41V. Vanecek(L)19145.7371.69-3.3139:49
30I. Samsonov171701.0001.53+1.5320:00

Series

FLA leads 4-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).