Skip to content
Golden Knights at Blues
NHL

Vegas Golden Knights at St. Louis Blues

NHL scoreboard
Vegas Golden Knights
▸7
St. Louis Blues
4
FinalTV NHLN, ATTSN-RM·Enterprise Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Vegas Golden Knights beat the St. Louis Blues 7-4. The lead changed hands 3 times. It was tied 3-3 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was William Karlsson's goal at 3:20 of the third period, which took the Golden Knights' chances from 48% to 74%. Expected goals favored the Golden Knights, 5.3 to 2.5; shots on goal were VGK 45, STL 18. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Golden Knights win a replay of these chances 72% of the time. Logan Thompson stopped 14 of 18 (.778), 1.5 goals below expected; Ville Husso stopped 38 of 44 (.864), 2.1 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Jack Eichel (2 G, 1 A), 2. Ryan O'Reilly (2 G, 1 A), 3. Jonathan Marchessault (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    VGK
    J. Eichel2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    STL
    R. O'Reilly2 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    VGK
    J. Marchessault1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
VGKVGK19220416745
STLSTL152815418

Scoring

11 goals

1st period

  1. VGK
    M. Stone(9)PPG
    A. Pietrangelo (31), M. Pacioretty (18)
    wristxG 0.22win prob +11 pts
    1-0
    13:41
  2. STL
    D. Perron(27)
    T. Krug (33)
    wristxG 0.15win prob +15 pts
    1-1
    16:05

2nd period

  1. STL
    R. O'Reilly(20)
    T. Krug (34)
    tip-inxG 0.09win prob +17 pts
    1-2
    4:40
  2. VGK
    J. Eichel(13)
    Z. Whitecloud (11), B. Hutton (10)
    tip-inxG 0.06win prob +18 pts
    2-2
    9:08
  3. STL
    J. Kyrou(27)PPG
    B. Saad (25), R. O'Reilly (37)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +15 pts
    2-3
    12:24
  4. VGK
    Z. Whitecloud(8)
    J. Eichel (11), E. Dadonov (22)
    wristxG 0.04win prob +21 pts
    3-3
    15:32

3rd period

  1. VGK
    W. Karlsson(12)
    J. Marchessault (36)
    wristxG 0.03win prob +26 pts
    4-3
    3:20
  2. VGK
    J. Marchessault(30)
    W. Karlsson (23)
    tip-inxG 0.07win prob +17 pts
    5-3
    6:41
  3. STL
    R. O'Reilly(21)PPG
    J. Kyrou (48), D. Perron (30)
    snapxG 0.18win prob +9 pts
    5-4
    13:20
  4. VGK
    J. Eichel(14)
    E. Dadonov (23), N. Roy (24)
    snapxG 0.15win prob +11 pts
    6-4
    15:48
  5. VGK
    M. Pacioretty(19)EN
    S. Theodore (38)
    backhandxG 0.94win prob +1 pts
    7-4
    17:44

Penalties

VGK 6 PIM·STL 4 PIM

1st

  • 3:30VGKMax Pacioretty · Cross checkingdrawn by Robert Thomas2 min
  • 6:09STLLogan Brown · Slashingdrawn by Dylan Coghlan2 min
  • 12:43STLLogan Brown · Slashingdrawn by Jonathan Marchessault2 min

2nd

  • 11:59VGKJonathan Marchessault · Slashingdrawn by Robert Bortuzzo2 min

3rd

  • 13:13VGKNicolas Roy · Hookingdrawn by Brandon Saad2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
STL goalVGK goalFinal: STL 0%

Biggest swing: William Karlsson, 3rd 3:20 — VGK 48% → 74%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
R. O'Reilly · Goal · xG 0.18I. Barbashev · Missed · xG 0.16D. Perron · Goal · xG 0.15R. Thomas · On goal · xG 0.13D. Perron · On goal · xG 0.12A. Toropchenko · Missed · xG 0.12R. O'Reilly · Missed · xG 0.11R. Thomas · Missed · xG 0.11R. O'Reilly · Missed · xG 0.11R. Thomas · Missed · xG 0.10J. Kyrou · Goal · xG 0.10T. Bozak · Missed · xG 0.09R. O'Reilly · Goal · xG 0.09J. Kyrou · Missed · xG 0.07A. Toropchenko · On goal · xG 0.07T. Bozak · On goal · xG 0.07P. Buchnevich · Missed · xG 0.06A. Toropchenko · Missed · xG 0.06D. Perron · On goal · xG 0.06V. Tarasenko · On goal · xG 0.06D. Perron · Missed · xG 0.06J. Faulk · On goal · xG 0.05R. Thomas · On goal · xG 0.05P. Buchnevich · Missed · xG 0.04C. Rosen · On goal · xG 0.04C. Parayko · On goal · xG 0.04T. Bozak · Missed · xG 0.04J. Kyrou · On goal · xG 0.03A. Toropchenko · On goal · xG 0.03C. Rosen · Missed · xG 0.02A. Toropchenko · On goal · xG 0.01N. Leddy · Missed · xG 0.01T. Krug · On goal · xG 0.01
STL4 G · 2.5 xG · 33 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

VGKvsSTL
5.36 G
All situations
4 G2.5
3.55 G
Even strength
2 G2.0
0.41 G
Power play
2 G0.5

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 94 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
VGK72%28%STL

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.86 – 2.43

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

VGKvsSTL
45
Shots on goal
18
54%
Faceoffs
46%
1/2
Power play
2/3
6
Penalty minutes
4
6
Hits
11
12
Blocked shots
14
4
Giveaways
13
10
Takeaways
12

Box score

every player line
Vegas Golden Knights skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
20C. StephensonC000+100.000005621:26
3B. McNabbD000+210.32020—19:53
7A. PietrangeloD011+140.16010—19:07
9J. EichelC213+260.660005819:01
27S. TheodoreD011030.05030—18:52
61M. StoneR101020.81000—18:45
23A. MartinezD000010.02110—18:22
67M. PaciorettyL112+131.34002—17:44
71W. KarlssonC112+150.380105716:59
17B. HuttonD011+320.04020—16:08
10N. RoyC011+320.170024416:00
22M. AmadioR000+120.352005015:38
81J. MarchessaultR112+160.69002—15:31
26M. JanmarkC000030.05000013:51
2Z. WhitecloudD112+220.05210—13:18
63E. DadonovL022+200.00100—13:09
28W. CarrierL000010.06000—12:48
52D. CoghlanD000020.17010—11:18
Vegas Golden Knights goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
36L. Thompson(W)18144.7782.46-1.5459:38

Season series

STL leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).