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Golden Knights at Blues
NHL

Vegas Golden Knights at St. Louis Blues

NHL scoreboard
Vegas Golden Knights
2
St. Louis Blues
▸5
FinalTV NHLN, ATTSN-RM·Enterprise Center

Recap

written from the game data

The St. Louis Blues beat the Vegas Golden Knights 5-2. The Blues came back from two goals down. The Blues led 4-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Ryan O'Reilly's goal at 10:15 of the first period, which took the Blues' chances from 25% to 41%. Expected goals favored the Golden Knights, 2.8 to 2.4; shots on goal were VGK 34, STL 31. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Golden Knights win a replay of these chances 56% of the time. Robin Lehner stopped 26 of 31 (.839), 2.5 goals below expected; Jordan Binnington stopped 32 of 34 (.941), 0.8 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Justin Faulk (1 G, 1 A), 2. Jordan Binnington (32 saves, .941), 3. Ryan O'Reilly (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    STL
    J. Faulk1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    STL
    J. Binnington32 saves, .941
  3. ★★★
    STL
    R. O'Reilly1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
VGKVGK21107016234
STLSTL31311315531

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. VGK
    C. Stephenson(6)
    A. Pietrangelo (8)
    wristxG 0.29win prob +11 pts
    1-0
    0:36
  2. VGK
    R. Smith(8)
    B. Hutton (2)
    wristxG 0.15win prob +15 pts
    2-0
    6:50
  3. STL
    R. O'Reilly(3)
    D. Perron (10), C. Parayko (7)
    snapxG 0.04win prob +15 pts
    2-1
    10:15
  4. STL
    T. Bozak(1)
    K. Kostin (3), J. Faulk (4)
    wristxG 0.22win prob +13 pts
    2-2
    11:57
  5. STL
    J. Faulk(3)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.23win prob +13 pts
    2-3
    12:30

2nd period

  1. STL
    B. Saad(8)PPG
    V. Tarasenko (8), D. Perron (11)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +11 pts
    2-4
    1:28

3rd period

  1. STL
    N. Mikkola(1)
    R. Thomas (15), V. Tarasenko (9)
    wristxG 0.05win prob +4 pts
    2-5
    9:37

Penalties

VGK 4 PIM·STL 6 PIM

1st

  • 14:25VGKMattias Janmark · Holdingdrawn by Pavel Buchnevich2 min

2nd

  • 1:19VGKBen Hutton · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 15:59STLOskar Sundqvist · Illegal check to headdrawn by Ben Hutton2 min

3rd

  • 2:04STLJustin Faulk · Cross checkingdrawn by Jonas Rondbjerg2 min
  • 15:04STLPavel Buchnevich · Interference goalkeeperdrawn by Robin Lehner2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
STL goalVGK goalFinal: STL 100%

Biggest swing: Ryan O'Reilly, 1st 10:15 — STL 25% → 41%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Faulk · Goal · xG 0.23T. Bozak · Goal · xG 0.22R. Thomas · On goal · xG 0.17T. Bozak · On goal · xG 0.15V. Tarasenko · On goal · xG 0.13R. Thomas · On goal · xG 0.12I. Barbashev · Missed · xG 0.12K. Kostin · On goal · xG 0.11J. Kyrou · On goal · xG 0.11R. O'Reilly · On goal · xG 0.10B. Saad · Goal · xG 0.10R. O'Reilly · On goal · xG 0.08M. Scandella · On goal · xG 0.08T. Bozak · On goal · xG 0.07J. Neal · On goal · xG 0.07R. O'Reilly · On goal · xG 0.05P. Buchnevich · On goal · xG 0.05D. Perron · On goal · xG 0.05P. Buchnevich · On goal · xG 0.05N. Mikkola · Goal · xG 0.05R. O'Reilly · Goal · xG 0.04D. Perron · On goal · xG 0.04R. Thomas · Missed · xG 0.03D. Perron · On goal · xG 0.03J. Kyrou · On goal · xG 0.03C. Parayko · On goal · xG 0.03S. Perunovich · Missed · xG 0.02J. Neal · On goal · xG 0.02J. Faulk · On goal · xG 0.02J. Faulk · On goal · xG 0.02D. Perron · On goal · xG 0.02C. Parayko · On goal · xG 0.02J. Kyrou · On goal · xG 0.01M. Scandella · On goal · xG 0.01
STL5 G · 2.4 xG · 34 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

VGKvsSTL
2.82 G
All situations
5 G2.4
2.32 G
Even strength
4 G2.3
0.50 G
Power play
1 G0.1
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 83 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
VGK56%44%STL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.77 – 2.42

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

VGKvsSTL
34
Shots on goal
31
44%
Faceoffs
56%
0/3
Power play
1/2
4
Penalty minutes
6
16
Hits
24
14
Blocked shots
6
9
Giveaways
12
6
Takeaways
12

Box score

every player line
Vegas Golden Knights skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
27S. TheodoreD000-120.18010—22:35
7A. PietrangeloD011040.12110—21:33
10N. RoyC000-110.170104020:00
19R. SmithR101-120.21000—19:44
61M. StoneR000020.20000—19:32
14N. HagueD000040.26130—19:09
63E. DadonovL000-110.10100—18:25
2Z. WhitecloudD000-140.08320—18:22
20C. StephensonC101010.540004718:21
17B. HuttonD011-130.05022—17:46
3B. McNabbD000-110.04100—17:17
26M. JanmarkC000020.23002016:25
24A. BrooksC000010.101006313:56
55K. KolesarR000000.002105013:43
43P. CotterL000-120.05400—10:40
64B. JonesC000-110.04210010:31
15J. LeschyshynC000-110.100203810:08
46J. RondbjergR000020.39000—09:44
Vegas Golden Knights goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
90R. Lehner(L)31265.8392.45-2.5560:00

Season series

STL leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).