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Philadelphia Flyers at Winnipeg Jets

FinalTV NBCSP, SN·Canada Life Centre

Recap

written from the game data

The Winnipeg Jets beat the Philadelphia Flyers 4-0. The Jets scored first and never trailed. The Jets led 3-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Nikolaj Ehlers's goal at 7:33 of the second period, which took the Jets' chances from 72% to 86%. Expected goals favored the Jets, 3.8 to 2.9; shots on goal were PHI 35, WPG 27. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Jets win a replay of these chances 52% of the time. Felix Sandstrom stopped 23 of 26 (.885); Eric Comrie stopped 35 of 35 (1.000), 2.9 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Eric Comrie (35 saves, 1.000), 2. Nikolaj Ehlers (1 G, 1 A), 3. Blake Wheeler (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    WPG
    E. Comrie35 saves, 1.000
  2. ★★
    WPG
    N. Ehlers1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    WPG
    B. Wheeler1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
PHIPHI09010016035
WPGWPG1821118427

Scoring

4 goals

1st period

  1. WPG
    P. Dubois(28)PPG
    wristxG 0.14win prob +9 pts
    0-1
    5:23

2nd period

  1. WPG
    N. Ehlers(28)PPG
    wristxG 0.10win prob +14 pts
    0-2
    7:33
  2. WPG
    tip-inxG 0.12win prob +7 pts
    0-3
    15:15

3rd period

  1. WPG
    K. Connor(46)EN
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.90
    0-4
    19:22

Penalties

PHI 10 PIM·WPG 8 PIM

1st

  • 5:13PHIserved by Z. MacEwen · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 15:46WPGDylan Samberg · High stickingdrawn by Zack MacEwen2 min

2nd

  • 1:28PHITravis Konecny · Hookingdrawn by Josh Morrissey2 min
  • 5:52PHIRonnie Attard · Hookingdrawn by Kyle Connor2 min
  • 5:59PHIIvan Provorov · High stickingdrawn by Neal Pionk2 min
  • 12:09WPGZachary Sanford · Slashingdrawn by Bobby Brink2 min
  • 19:37WPGJansen Harkins · Trippingdrawn by Joel Farabee2 min

3rd

  • 14:44PHINate Thompson · Slashingdrawn by Evgeny Svechnikov2 min
  • 17:20WPGJosh Morrissey · Holdingdrawn by Scott Laughton2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
WPG goalPHI goalFinal: WPG 100%

Biggest swing: Nikolaj Ehlers, 2nd 7:33 — WPG 72% → 86%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
K. Connor · Goal · xG 0.90P. Dubois · On goal · xG 0.26N. Ehlers · Missed · xG 0.19P. Dubois · Goal · xG 0.14A. Lowry · Missed · xG 0.13P. Stastny · On goal · xG 0.13K. Connor · Missed · xG 0.13B. Wheeler · Goal · xG 0.12P. Stastny · Missed · xG 0.11B. Wheeler · On goal · xG 0.11N. Ehlers · Goal · xG 0.10P. Stastny · Missed · xG 0.10B. Wheeler · On goal · xG 0.10K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.09J. Morrissey · Missed · xG 0.09B. Dillon · On goal · xG 0.09M. Barron · On goal · xG 0.08J. Harkins · On goal · xG 0.08P. Stastny · Missed · xG 0.08J. Harkins · On goal · xG 0.08K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.07N. Ehlers · Missed · xG 0.07N. Ehlers · On goal · xG 0.06Z. Sanford · On goal · xG 0.06A. Lowry · Missed · xG 0.06J. Harkins · On goal · xG 0.05P. Dubois · Missed · xG 0.05N. Schmidt · On goal · xG 0.04M. Barron · On goal · xG 0.04J. Morrissey · Missed · xG 0.03D. DeMelo · On goal · xG 0.03M. Appleton · Missed · xG 0.03J. Morrissey · Missed · xG 0.03D. Samberg · Missed · xG 0.03N. Schmidt · On goal · xG 0.02D. Toninato · On goal · xG 0.02N. Schmidt · On goal · xG 0.02N. Ehlers · Missed · xG 0.01K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.01D. Samberg · Missed · xG 0.01A. Lowry · On goal · xG 0.01E. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.01A. Lowry · On goal · xG 0.00J. Harkins · Missed · xG 0.00
WPG4 G · 3.8 xG · 44 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

PHIvsWPG
2.90 G
All situations
3 G3.8
1.90 G
Even strength
1 G1.7
1.00 G
Power play
2 G1.1
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 89 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
PHI48%52%WPG

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.79 – 2.91

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

PHIvsWPG
35
Shots on goal
27
51%
Faceoffs
49%
0/4
Power play
2/5
10
Penalty minutes
8
6
Hits
9
6
Blocked shots
18
7
Giveaways
11
7
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Philadelphia Flyers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
9I. ProvorovD000020.03212—24:12
6T. SanheimD000020.02020—22:31
47R. AttardD000000.00012—19:53
11T. KonecnyR000-140.40002—19:04
13K. HayesR000-140.190005618:31
86J. FarabeeL000-120.10000—17:23
3K. YandleD000-230.36000—16:14
25J. van RiemsdykL000-160.57100—15:47
21S. LaughtonC000000.000005015:45
48M. FrostC000030.350103115:41
84L. HogbergD000000.00000—15:41
74O. TippettR000-150.31000—14:55
46B. BrinkR000010.2700010014:31
54E. ZamulaD000-100.00010—14:04
49N. CatesL000010.17000—13:06
23O. LindblomL000-100.00100—13:04
44N. ThompsonC000-110.092026312:50
17Z. MacEwenR000-110.02000—10:32
Philadelphia Flyers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
32F. Sandstrom(L)26233.8852.94-0.0658:25

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).