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Winnipeg Jets at Philadelphia Flyers

FinalTV NBCSP, TSN3·Wells Fargo Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Philadelphia Flyers beat the Winnipeg Jets 3-1. The Jets scored first; the Flyers answered. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was James van Riemsdyk's goal at 15:51 of the third period, which took the Flyers' chances from 52% to 90%. Expected goals favored the Flyers, 4.2 to 2.0; shots on goal were WPG 33, PHI 36. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Flyers win a replay of these chances 77% of the time. Connor Hellebuyck stopped 33 of 35 (.943), 1.7 goals saved above expected; Carter Hart stopped 32 of 33 (.970), 1.0 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. James van Riemsdyk (1 G), 2. Carter Hart (32 saves, .970), 3. Kyle Connor (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    PHI
    J. van Riemsdyk1 G
  2. ★★
    PHI
    C. Hart32 saves, .970
  3. ★★★
    WPG
    K. Connor1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
WPGWPG17015011133
PHIPHI012110214336

Scoring

4 goals

1st period

  1. WPG
    slapxG 0.08win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    0:48

2nd period

  1. PHI
    Unassisted
    snapxG 0.19win prob +19 pts
    1-1
    10:42

3rd period

  1. PHI
    backhandxG 0.29win prob +39 pts
    1-2
    15:51
  2. PHI
    wristxG 0.48win prob +6 pts
    1-3
    18:46

Penalties

WPG 8 PIM·PHI 4 PIM

1st

  • 15:04WPGBrenden Dillon · Interferencedrawn by Claude Giroux2 min
  • 15:39PHIJames van Riemsdyk · Hookingdrawn by Neal Pionk2 min
  • 17:40WPGNate Schmidt · Cross checkingdrawn by Scott Laughton2 min

2nd

  • 7:02PHIJustin Braun · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 18:43WPGBlake Wheeler · Trippingdrawn by Scott Laughton2 min

3rd

  • 2:23WPGVille Heinola · Interferencedrawn by Gerry Mayhew2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
PHI goalWPG goalFinal: PHI 100%

Biggest swing: James van Riemsdyk, 3rd 15:51 — PHI 52% → 90%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
O. Lindblom · Goal · xG 0.48J. van Riemsdyk · Goal · xG 0.29T. Konecny · On goal · xG 0.28C. Giroux · On goal · xG 0.26O. Lindblom · On goal · xG 0.21O. Lindblom · On goal · xG 0.21T. Konecny · Goal · xG 0.19S. Laughton · Missed · xG 0.16C. Giroux · Missed · xG 0.16O. Lindblom · On goal · xG 0.14J. van Riemsdyk · On goal · xG 0.12C. Atkinson · On goal · xG 0.12C. Giroux · On goal · xG 0.11S. Laughton · On goal · xG 0.09M. Willman · Missed · xG 0.08G. Mayhew · Missed · xG 0.08G. Mayhew · On goal · xG 0.08Z. MacEwen · Missed · xG 0.07J. van Riemsdyk · On goal · xG 0.07I. Ratcliffe · Missed · xG 0.07J. van Riemsdyk · On goal · xG 0.07C. Giroux · Missed · xG 0.06T. Konecny · Missed · xG 0.06S. Laughton · On goal · xG 0.06I. Provorov · On goal · xG 0.05G. Mayhew · Missed · xG 0.05J. van Riemsdyk · On goal · xG 0.05J. van Riemsdyk · On goal · xG 0.05O. Lindblom · On goal · xG 0.04M. Willman · On goal · xG 0.04C. Bunnaman · On goal · xG 0.04I. Provorov · On goal · xG 0.03K. Yandle · On goal · xG 0.03T. Sanheim · On goal · xG 0.03K. Yandle · On goal · xG 0.03C. York · On goal · xG 0.03C. Atkinson · On goal · xG 0.02C. York · On goal · xG 0.02T. Konecny · On goal · xG 0.02K. Yandle · On goal · xG 0.02K. Yandle · On goal · xG 0.02K. Yandle · Missed · xG 0.02C. Giroux · Missed · xG 0.02C. Atkinson · On goal · xG 0.02K. Yandle · Missed · xG 0.01T. Konecny · On goal · xG 0.01J. van Riemsdyk · On goal · xG 0.01C. Bunnaman · On goal · xG 0.00
PHI3 G · 4.2 xG · 48 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

WPGvsPHI
2.01 G
All situations
2 G4.2
1.61 G
Even strength
2 G2.8
0.30 G
Power play
0 G0.9
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 88 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
WPG23%77%PHI

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.94 – 3.63

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

WPGvsPHI
33
Shots on goal
36
41%
Faceoffs
59%
0/2
Power play
0/4
8
Penalty minutes
4
29
Hits
24
9
Blocked shots
17
11
Giveaways
10
2
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Winnipeg Jets skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
4N. PionkD000-110.03100—24:54
44J. MorrisseyD000-110.22210—23:44
88N. SchmidtD000-120.06032—23:12
5B. DillonD000000.01322—22:12
81K. ConnorL101+160.40200—21:05
9A. CoppC000-230.060002219:39
26B. WheelerR000-220.33202—18:55
55M. ScheifeleC000-220.210105418:48
80P. DuboisC011030.262003817:12
91C. PerfettiC011+110.06000015:13
17A. LowryC000000.077005715:12
25P. StastnyC000-220.05010014:27
14V. HeinolaD000-120.03112—12:57
65J. KovacevicD000040.05000—12:12
12J. HarkinsC000-130.12200008:47
93K. VesalainenL000010.01300—08:27
21D. ToninatoC000000.00200007:54
22A. PoganskiR000000.00200—07:19
Winnipeg Jets goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
37C. Hellebuyck(L)35332.9433.69+1.6959:51

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).