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Blues at Avalanche
NHL

St. Louis Blues at Colorado Avalanche

NHL scoreboard
St. Louis Blues
3
Colorado Avalanche
▸5
FinalTV ESPN, SN360·Ball Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Colorado Avalanche beat the St. Louis Blues 5-3. The Avalanche scored first and never trailed. The Avalanche led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Valeri Nichushkin's goal at 2:38 of the second period, which took the Avalanche's chances from 53% to 69%. Expected goals favored the Avalanche, 4.3 to 2.4; shots on goal were STL 32, COL 34. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Avalanche win a replay of these chances 60% of the time. Jordan Binnington stopped 29 of 33 (.879), 1.0 goals below expected; Darcy Kuemper stopped 29 of 32 (.906), 0.6 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Valeri Nichushkin (1 G, 1 A), 2. Ryan O'Reilly (2 G, 1 A), 3. Alex Newhook (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    COL
    V. Nichushkin1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    STL
    R. O'Reilly2 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    COL
    A. Newhook2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
STLSTL01115216332
COLCOL011312211534

Scoring

8 goals

2nd period

  1. COL
    V. Nichushkin(25)
    N. MacKinnon (56)
    wristxG 0.03win prob +16 pts
    0-1
    2:38
  2. COL
    E. Johnson(8)
    J. Compher (14), A. Newhook (19)
    wristxG 0.12win prob +15 pts
    0-2
    4:49
  3. COL
    J. Manson(6)
    A. Newhook (20), S. Girard (23)
    snapxG 0.02win prob +8 pts
    0-3
    8:03
  4. STL
    B. Saad(24)PPG
    J. Kyrou (45), R. O'Reilly (36)
    tip-inxG 0.12win prob +7 pts
    1-3
    13:01

3rd period

  1. COL
    A. Lehkonen(18)
    V. Nichushkin (27)
    wristxG 0.34win prob +6 pts
    1-4
    0:09
  2. STL
    R. O'Reilly(18)
    J. Kyrou (46), T. Krug (32)
    slapxG 0.19win prob +1 pts
    2-4
    15:45
  3. STL
    R. O'Reilly(19)
    P. Buchnevich (46), J. Kyrou (47)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +7 pts
    3-4
    16:49
  4. COL
    N. Kadri(27)EN
    J. Compher (15)
    wristxG 0.89win prob +5 pts
    3-5
    19:13

Penalties

STL 6 PIM·COL 8 PIM

1st

  • 3:24COLValeri Nichushkin · Slashingdrawn by Jordan Kyrou2 min
  • 3:41STLRobert Thomas · High stickingdrawn by Andrew Cogliano2 min
  • 12:57STLColton Parayko · Hookingdrawn by Erik Johnson2 min
  • 15:10COLArtturi Lehkonen · Holdingdrawn by Pavel Buchnevich2 min

2nd

  • 11:31COLBowen Byram · Interferencedrawn by Jordan Kyrou2 min

3rd

  • 1:03COLDevon Toews · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 9:52STLJustin Faulk · Slashingdrawn by Nathan MacKinnon2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
COL goalSTL goalFinal: COL 100%

Biggest swing: Valeri Nichushkin, 2nd 2:38 — COL 53% → 69%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
N. Kadri · Goal · xG 0.89J. Compher · Missed · xG 0.47A. Lehkonen · Goal · xG 0.34A. Lehkonen · Missed · xG 0.19J. Compher · On goal · xG 0.19D. Helm · On goal · xG 0.17B. Byram · On goal · xG 0.14A. Lehkonen · Missed · xG 0.14E. Johnson · Goal · xG 0.12A. Newhook · On goal · xG 0.10N. Kadri · Missed · xG 0.10V. Nichushkin · Missed · xG 0.10A. Burakovsky · Missed · xG 0.08J. Compher · Missed · xG 0.07N. Aube-Kubel · Missed · xG 0.07A. Cogliano · Missed · xG 0.07N. Aube-Kubel · On goal · xG 0.06D. Toews · Missed · xG 0.06J. Compher · On goal · xG 0.06D. Helm · Missed · xG 0.06N. MacKinnon · Missed · xG 0.05N. Sturm · On goal · xG 0.05V. Nichushkin · On goal · xG 0.05N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.05N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.05A. Burakovsky · On goal · xG 0.04D. Toews · On goal · xG 0.04J. Manson · Missed · xG 0.04V. Nichushkin · On goal · xG 0.04N. Sturm · On goal · xG 0.03E. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.03S. Girard · On goal · xG 0.03B. Byram · On goal · xG 0.03B. Byram · On goal · xG 0.03N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.03V. Nichushkin · Goal · xG 0.02N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.02C. Makar · Missed · xG 0.02A. Burakovsky · Missed · xG 0.02J. Manson · Goal · xG 0.02C. Makar · On goal · xG 0.02A. Burakovsky · Missed · xG 0.02D. Toews · Missed · xG 0.02E. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.02C. Makar · Missed · xG 0.01N. Kadri · Missed · xG 0.01S. Girard · On goal · xG 0.01A. Lehkonen · On goal · xG 0.01N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.01C. Makar · Missed · xG 0.01A. Newhook · Missed · xG 0.01D. Toews · On goal · xG 0.01D. Toews · On goal · xG 0.01V. Nichushkin · On goal · xG 0.00D. Helm · On goal · xG 0.00N. MacKinnon · Missed · xG 0.00
COL5 G · 4.3 xG · 56 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

STLvsCOL
2.43 G
All situations
4 G4.3
1.22 G
Even strength
4 G2.7
0.81 G
Power play
0 G0.3
0.30 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 96 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
STL40%60%COL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.33 – 2.92

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

STLvsCOL
32
Shots on goal
34
48%
Faceoffs
52%
1/4
Power play
0/3
6
Penalty minutes
8
25
Hits
29
19
Blocked shots
19
8
Giveaways
3
8
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
St. Louis Blues skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
89P. BuchnevichL011040.11310—24:33
72J. FaulkD000000.00102—24:28
18R. ThomasC000000.220027423:31
25J. KyrouR033-120.10100—21:48
55C. ParaykoD000-120.05122—21:13
91V. TarasenkoR000020.31300—20:55
90R. O'ReillyC213-170.772205019:47
4N. LeddyD000-100.02030—19:06
20B. SaadL101-140.40010—17:16
47T. KrugD011030.08210—17:02
49I. BarbashevL000-110.031102514:26
21T. BozakC000-100.001203813:28
6M. ScandellaD000-220.03200—11:50
43C. RosenD000-210.05120—10:20
26N. WalkerL000-120.08220—10:14
22L. BrownC000-100.001001709:32
65A. ToropchenkoR000-210.11310—09:28
77N. MikkolaD000010.04110—08:31
St. Louis Blues goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
50J. Binnington(L)33294.8792.98-1.0256:32

Season series

COL leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).