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Blues at Avalanche
NHL

St. Louis Blues at Colorado Avalanche

NHL scoreboard
St. Louis Blues
▸5
Colorado Avalanche
3
FinalTV ALT, BSMW·Ball Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The St. Louis Blues beat the Colorado Avalanche 5-3. The Blues scored first and never trailed. The Blues led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Brayden Schenn's goal at 8:35 of the second period, which took the Blues' chances from 65% to 82%. Expected goals were close — STL 3.1, COL 2.9; shots on goal were STL 28, COL 32. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Avalanche win a replay of these chances 63% of the time. Jordan Binnington stopped 29 of 32 (.906); Darcy Kuemper stopped 23 of 27 (.852), 1.8 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. David Perron (2 G), 2. Jordan Binnington (29 saves, .906), 3. Andre Burakovsky (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    STL
    D. Perron2 G
  2. ★★
    STL
    J. Binnington29 saves, .906
  3. ★★★
    COL
    A. Burakovsky1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
STLSTL11125212528
COLCOL05116211332

Scoring

8 goals

1st period

  1. STL
    J. Faulk(1)
    J. Kyrou (1), T. Bozak (1)
    wristxG 0.03win prob +9 pts
    1-0
    4:12

2nd period

  1. STL
    B. Schenn(1)
    J. Kyrou (2), P. Buchnevich (1)
    wristxG 0.13win prob +17 pts
    2-0
    8:35
  2. STL
    D. Perron(1)
    B. Saad (1), C. Parayko (1)
    wristxG 0.01win prob +10 pts
    3-0
    11:37
  3. COL
    A. Burakovsky(1)
    N. Kadri (2), S. Girard (1)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +9 pts
    3-1
    14:09

3rd period

  1. STL
    D. Perron(2)PPG
    I. Barbashev (1), J. Faulk (1)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +5 pts
    4-1
    6:51
  2. COL
    T. Jost(1)
    J. Compher (1), M. Rantanen (2)
    deflectedxG 0.10win prob +1 pts
    4-2
    14:36
  3. COL
    J. Compher(1)
    N. Kadri (3), C. Makar (1)
    wristxG 0.13win prob +9 pts
    4-3
    16:18
  4. STL
    R. O'Reilly(1)EN
    M. Scandella (1)
    wristxG 0.93win prob +5 pts
    5-3
    19:40

Penalties

STL 11 PIM·COL 9 PIM

1st

  • 0:40STLBrayden Schenn · Fightingdrawn by Nazem Kadri5 min
  • 0:40COLNazem Kadri · Fightingdrawn by Brayden Schenn5 min
  • 9:07STLRobert Bortuzzo · Interferencedrawn by Logan O'Connor2 min

3rd

  • 1:31STLIvan Barbashev · Cross checkingdrawn by Mikko Rantanen2 min
  • 4:55COLSampo Ranta · Interferencedrawn by Colton Parayko2 min
  • 13:45COLAndre Burakovsky · Holdingdrawn by Jordan Kyrou2 min
  • 14:04STLTorey Krug · Holdingdrawn by Logan O'Connor2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
COL goalSTL goalFinal: COL 0%

Biggest swing: Brayden Schenn, 2nd 8:35 — STL 65% → 82%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
L. O'Connor · On goal · xG 0.16J. Megna · On goal · xG 0.14M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.13J. Compher · Goal · xG 0.13L. O'Connor · On goal · xG 0.13A. Burakovsky · On goal · xG 0.10M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.10T. Jost · Goal · xG 0.10M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.09M. Rantanen · Missed · xG 0.09A. Burakovsky · On goal · xG 0.09M. Rantanen · Missed · xG 0.09M. Rantanen · Missed · xG 0.09A. Burakovsky · Missed · xG 0.09N. Kadri · Missed · xG 0.08J. Compher · On goal · xG 0.08M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.08D. Helm · Missed · xG 0.07M. Rantanen · Missed · xG 0.07B. Byram · On goal · xG 0.07B. Byram · On goal · xG 0.07A. Burakovsky · Goal · xG 0.07M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.06J. Megna · On goal · xG 0.06C. Makar · Missed · xG 0.05B. Byram · Missed · xG 0.05N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.05T. Jost · On goal · xG 0.04S. Ranta · On goal · xG 0.04C. Makar · Missed · xG 0.03L. O'Connor · On goal · xG 0.03D. Helm · On goal · xG 0.03M. Rantanen · Missed · xG 0.03M. Rantanen · Missed · xG 0.03C. Makar · On goal · xG 0.03C. Makar · On goal · xG 0.03E. Johnson · Missed · xG 0.03N. Kadri · Missed · xG 0.03L. O'Connor · On goal · xG 0.02J. Megna · On goal · xG 0.02S. Girard · On goal · xG 0.02C. Makar · On goal · xG 0.02J. Compher · Missed · xG 0.02A. Burakovsky · On goal · xG 0.02K. MacDermid · On goal · xG 0.02C. Makar · Missed · xG 0.01S. Girard · Missed · xG 0.01E. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.01M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.00
COL3 G · 2.9 xG · 49 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

STLvsCOL
3.14 G
All situations
3 G2.9
1.73 G
Even strength
3 G2.0
0.41 G
Power play
0 G0.7
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 85 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
STL37%63%COL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.18 – 2.94

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

STLvsCOL
28
Shots on goal
32
48%
Faceoffs
52%
1/2
Power play
0/3
11
Penalty minutes
9
14
Hits
11
15
Blocked shots
8
3
Giveaways
5
7
Takeaways
12

Box score

every player line
St. Louis Blues skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
55C. ParaykoD011010.12120—27:26
6M. ScandellaD011-100.00020—26:12
72J. FaulkD112+150.09110—21:47
90R. O'ReillyC101+121.050107520:11
47T. KrugD000000.02022—18:23
89P. BuchnevichL011+230.48200—18:03
57D. PerronL202040.25000—17:07
20B. SaadL011+210.09130—17:00
10B. SchennC101+110.140054415:02
49I. BarbashevL011020.303022514:41
25J. KyrouR022+210.04010—13:59
18R. ThomasC000-100.150002713:34
21T. BozakC011010.000001413:09
41R. BortuzzoD000000.00212—13:03
91V. TarasenkoR000-140.29120—12:57
46J. WalmanD000+110.03000—11:24
81J. NealL000-110.01000—11:02
63J. NeighboursL000010.04300—09:00
St. Louis Blues goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
50J. Binnington(W)32293.9062.95-0.0560:00

Season series

COL leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).