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Islanders at Capitals
NHL

New York Islanders at Washington Capitals

NHL scoreboard
New York Islanders
▸4
Washington Capitals
1
FinalTV MSG+ 2, NBCSWA·Capital One Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The New York Islanders beat the Washington Capitals 4-1. The Capitals scored first; the Islanders answered. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Noah Dobson's goal at 2:56 of the third period, which took the Islanders' chances from 52% to 74%. Expected goals were close — NYI 2.4, WSH 2.2; shots on goal were NYI 26, WSH 33. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Islanders win a replay of these chances 54% of the time. Ilya Sorokin stopped 32 of 33 (.970), 1.2 goals saved above expected; Ilya Samsonov stopped 22 of 26 (.846), 1.6 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Ilya Sorokin (32 saves, .970), 2. Noah Dobson (1 G), 3. Casey Cizikas (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NYI
    I. Sorokin32 saves, .970
  2. ★★
    NYI
    N. Dobson1 G
  3. ★★★
    NYI
    C. Cizikas1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NYINYI1130538426
WSHWSH11009014133

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. WSH
    C. Sheary(19)
    M. Johansson (20), N. Jensen (16)
    tip-inxG 0.04win prob +13 pts
    0-1
    10:24
  2. NYI
    R. Pulock(5)PPG
    K. Bellows (13), K. Palmieri (18)
    slapxG 0.05win prob +13 pts
    1-1
    16:18

3rd period

  1. NYI
    N. Dobson(13)PPG
    J. Bailey (29), M. Barzal (40)
    slapxG 0.04win prob +21 pts
    2-1
    2:56
  2. NYI
    C. Cizikas(10)SHG
    Unassisted
    backhandxG 0.07win prob +20 pts
    3-1
    8:42
  3. NYI
    A. Lee(27)
    Unassisted
    slapxG 0.06win prob +2 pts
    4-1
    15:17

Penalties

NYI 8 PIM·WSH 4 PIM

1st

  • 14:42WSHLars Eller · High stickingdrawn by Kieffer Bellows2 min

2nd

  • 8:35NYIMatt Martin · Closing hand on puck2 min
  • 12:13NYIOliver Wahlstrom · High stickingdrawn by Trevor van Riemsdyk2 min

3rd

  • 1:33WSHTom Wilson · Holdingdrawn by Mathew Barzal2 min
  • 7:29NYIAndy Greene · Trippingdrawn by Nick Jensen2 min
  • 9:35NYIAdam Pelech · Hookingdrawn by Tom Wilson2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
WSH goalNYI goalFinal: WSH 0%

Biggest swing: Noah Dobson, 3rd 2:56 — NYI 52% → 74%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
G. Hathaway · On goal · xG 0.15A. Mantha · On goal · xG 0.14G. Hathaway · On goal · xG 0.11J. Schultz · On goal · xG 0.11T. Oshie · Missed · xG 0.10J. Carlson · On goal · xG 0.09J. Larsson · On goal · xG 0.09C. McMichael · On goal · xG 0.08T. Oshie · Missed · xG 0.08E. Kuznetsov · On goal · xG 0.07C. Sheary · On goal · xG 0.07J. Carlson · On goal · xG 0.07T. Oshie · On goal · xG 0.07J. Schultz · On goal · xG 0.06N. Dowd · On goal · xG 0.06M. Johansson · Missed · xG 0.05C. Sheary · Missed · xG 0.05L. Eller · On goal · xG 0.05J. Schultz · Missed · xG 0.05C. Sheary · Missed · xG 0.05C. Sheary · Goal · xG 0.04T. van Riemsdyk · Missed · xG 0.04N. Backstrom · On goal · xG 0.03A. Mantha · On goal · xG 0.03A. Mantha · On goal · xG 0.03T. van Riemsdyk · Missed · xG 0.03N. Jensen · On goal · xG 0.03D. Orlov · Missed · xG 0.03T. van Riemsdyk · On goal · xG 0.03E. Kuznetsov · On goal · xG 0.02J. Carlson · On goal · xG 0.02C. Sheary · Missed · xG 0.02D. Orlov · On goal · xG 0.02D. Orlov · On goal · xG 0.02T. van Riemsdyk · Missed · xG 0.02C. Sheary · On goal · xG 0.02M. Fehérváry · On goal · xG 0.02D. Orlov · Missed · xG 0.02M. Fehérváry · On goal · xG 0.01L. Eller · Missed · xG 0.01J. Carlson · On goal · xG 0.01C. Sheary · Missed · xG 0.01E. Kuznetsov · On goal · xG 0.01D. Orlov · On goal · xG 0.01J. Carlson · On goal · xG 0.01C. McMichael · On goal · xG 0.01C. Sheary · Missed · xG 0.01J. Carlson · On goal · xG 0.01
WSH1 G · 2.2 xG · 48 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NYIvsWSH
2.44 G
All situations
1 G2.2
1.61 G
Even strength
1 G1.5
0.72 G
Power play
0 G0.5
0.11 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 86 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NYI54%46%WSH

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.35 – 2.15

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NYIvsWSH
26
Shots on goal
33
48%
Faceoffs
52%
2/2
Power play
0/4
8
Penalty minutes
4
18
Hits
21
17
Blocked shots
12
8
Giveaways
9
6
Takeaways
11

Box score

every player line
New York Islanders skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
13M. BarzalC011+110.030101424:05
8N. DobsonD101+120.06020—23:03
6R. PulockD101+150.15110—21:49
3A. PelechD000+120.12022—21:33
44J. PageauC000000.016106121:11
4A. GreeneD000000.00052—20:32
12J. BaileyR011+110.190005019:08
25S. AhoD000010.03100—17:46
27A. LeeL101+130.41030—17:39
21K. PalmieriC011040.44000017:30
53C. CizikasC101020.411005016:25
11Z. PariseL000010.05110—15:22
17M. MartinL000-110.15402—14:57
32R. JohnstonL000-100.04300—13:14
2R. SaloD000-110.01010—12:40
20K. BellowsL011+110.19100—08:57
26O. WahlstromR000010.07002—06:09
New York Islanders goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30I. Sorokin(W)33321.9702.17+1.1760:00

Season series

Tied 2-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).