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Florida Panthers at Boston Bruins

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Recap

written from the game data

The Boston Bruins beat the Florida Panthers 4-2. The lead changed hands 2 times. The Bruins led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jake DeBrusk's goal at 4:59 of the second period, which took the Bruins' chances from 53% to 70%. Expected goals favored the Bruins, 4.0 to 1.9; shots on goal were FLA 21, BOS 38. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Bruins win a replay of these chances 73% of the time. Sergei Bobrovsky stopped 34 of 37 (.919); Linus Ullmark stopped 19 of 21 (.905). Three stars: 1. Jake DeBrusk (1 G), 2. Taylor Hall (1 G, 1 A), 3. David Pastrnak (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    BOS
    J. DeBrusk1 G
  2. ★★
    BOS
    T. Hall1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    BOS
    D. Pastrnak2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
FLAFLA2110703221
BOSBOS21319116438

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. FLA
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.02win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    8:00
  2. BOS
    D. Pastrnak (35), T. Hall (40)
    snapxG 0.15win prob +15 pts
    1-1
    16:18
  3. BOS
    wristxG 0.14win prob +15 pts
    1-2
    16:24
  4. FLA
    wristxG 0.07win prob +15 pts
    2-2
    19:59

2nd period

  1. BOS
    wristxG 0.11win prob +17 pts
    2-3
    4:59

3rd period

  1. BOS
    wristxG 0.79win prob +8 pts
    2-4
    16:55

Penalties

FLA 10 PIM·BOS 8 PIM

1st

  • 5:41BOSErik Haula · Cross checkingdrawn by Anthony Duclair2 min
  • 18:22FLAJoe Thornton · Roughingdrawn by Tomas Nosek2 min
  • 18:22BOSTomas Nosek · Roughingdrawn by Joe Thornton2 min
  • 18:22BOSDerek Forbort · Roughingdrawn by Patric Hornqvist2 min
  • 18:22FLAPatric Hornqvist · Roughingdrawn by Derek Forbort2 min
  • 19:50BOSBrandon Carlo · Slashingdrawn by Anthony Duclair2 min

2nd

  • 11:49FLAJoe Thornton · Trippingdrawn by Charlie McAvoy2 min

3rd

  • 6:46FLAGustav Forsling · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 8:49FLASam Bennett · Hookingdrawn by Hampus Lindholm2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
BOS goalFLA goalFinal: BOS 100%

Biggest swing: Jake DeBrusk, 2nd 4:59 — BOS 53% → 70%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
B. Marchand · Goal · xG 0.79C. McAvoy · On goal · xG 0.25E. Haula · Goal · xG 0.16P. Bergeron · On goal · xG 0.15C. Coyle · Missed · xG 0.14T. Hall · Goal · xG 0.14P. Bergeron · On goal · xG 0.12B. Marchand · On goal · xG 0.11J. DeBrusk · Goal · xG 0.11C. Smith · On goal · xG 0.11C. Coyle · On goal · xG 0.10P. Bergeron · On goal · xG 0.10N. Foligno · On goal · xG 0.10C. Smith · Missed · xG 0.08T. Frederic · On goal · xG 0.08P. Bergeron · Missed · xG 0.08B. Marchand · On goal · xG 0.07P. Bergeron · Missed · xG 0.07T. Hall · On goal · xG 0.07T. Hall · On goal · xG 0.06C. Lazar · Missed · xG 0.06C. Smith · Missed · xG 0.06J. DeBrusk · On goal · xG 0.06T. Frederic · On goal · xG 0.06C. Clifton · On goal · xG 0.06T. Hall · On goal · xG 0.06E. Haula · Missed · xG 0.06J. DeBrusk · Missed · xG 0.06T. Nosek · Missed · xG 0.05C. Smith · Missed · xG 0.05C. McAvoy · Missed · xG 0.05D. Pastrnak · On goal · xG 0.05P. Bergeron · On goal · xG 0.04D. Pastrnak · Missed · xG 0.04E. Haula · On goal · xG 0.04C. Smith · On goal · xG 0.03P. Bergeron · On goal · xG 0.03H. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.03P. Bergeron · On goal · xG 0.02D. Pastrnak · On goal · xG 0.02T. Hall · On goal · xG 0.02H. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.02C. McAvoy · On goal · xG 0.02B. Marchand · On goal · xG 0.02C. McAvoy · On goal · xG 0.02P. Bergeron · Missed · xG 0.02H. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.02H. Lindholm · Missed · xG 0.01P. Bergeron · On goal · xG 0.01C. Smith · Missed · xG 0.01P. Bergeron · On goal · xG 0.01T. Hall · Missed · xG 0.01B. Marchand · On goal · xG 0.01E. Haula · On goal · xG 0.00
BOS4 G · 4.0 xG · 54 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

FLAvsBOS
1.92 G
All situations
3 G4.0
1.51 G
Even strength
3 G2.4
0.21 G
Power play
0 G0.7
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 87 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
FLA27%73%BOS

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.85 – 3.22

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

FLAvsBOS
21
Shots on goal
38
45%
Faceoffs
55%
1/2
Power play
0/3
10
Penalty minutes
8
29
Hits
27
5
Blocked shots
12
9
Giveaways
5
13
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Florida Panthers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
52M. WeegarD000-120.08400—24:28
42G. ForslingD101020.05212—23:04
62B. MontourD000-110.02300—22:16
8B. ChiarotD000-100.05110—20:18
13S. ReinhartC101-110.090005018:54
28C. GirouxR011-120.181005418:23
23C. VerhaegheC000030.39000018:22
11J. HuberdeauL000-210.13300—18:19
9S. BennettC000030.081024318:09
16A. BarkovC000-210.072004617:45
18R. HaggD000-110.09310—14:41
10A. DuclairL011-130.41200—14:35
55N. AcciariC000010.032003314:24
27E. LuostarinenC000-200.181002513:03
70P. HornqvistR000-200.0011210012:19
19J. ThorntonC000-100.002145010:38
7R. GudasD000-100.00100—10:06
15A. LundellC000+100.000005006:14
Florida Panthers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
72S. Bobrovsky(L)37343.9193.25+0.2558:02

Season series

BOS leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).