Boston Bruins at Florida Panthers
Recap
written from the game dataThe Florida Panthers beat the Boston Bruins 4-1. The Bruins scored first; the Panthers answered. The Panthers led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Eetu Luostarinen's goal at 2:06 of the second period, which took the Panthers' chances from 53% to 69%. Expected goals favored the Panthers, 3.3 to 2.7; shots on goal were BOS 31, FLA 27. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Bruins win a replay of these chances 59% of the time. Linus Ullmark stopped 23 of 26 (.885), 1.0 goals below expected; Sergei Bobrovsky stopped 30 of 31 (.968), 1.8 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Sergei Bobrovsky (30 saves, .968), 2. Eetu Luostarinen (1 G), 3. Anthony Duclair (1 G).
Three stars
- ★S. Bobrovsky30 saves, .968

- ★★E. Luostarinen1 G

- ★★★A. Duclair1 G

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
5 goals1st period
1-010:37
1-114:16
2nd period
1-22:06
3rd period
1-312:40
1-419:34
Penalties
1st
- 2:32
Mason Marchment · Holdingdrawn by Charlie Coyle2 min
2nd
- 3:55
Joe Thornton · Cross checkingdrawn by Erik Haula2 min
- 5:13
Brad Marchand · Hookingdrawn by Sam Bennett2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Eetu Luostarinen, 2nd 2:06 — 53% → 69%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 2.71 G
- All situations
- 3 G3.3
- 1.41 G
- Even strength
- 3 G1.9
- 1.40 G
- Power play
- 0 G0.0
- 0.00 G
- Shorthanded
- 0 G0.0
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 80 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 2.46 – 2.00
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 31
- Shots on goal
- 27
- 66%
- Faceoffs
- 34%
- 0/2
- Power play
- 0/1
- 2
- Penalty minutes
- 4
- 37
- Hits
- 34
- 13
- Blocked shots
- 17
- 10
- Giveaways
- 17
- 13
- Takeaways
- 17
Box score
every player line
Season series
BOS leads 2-1
1@
4this game
2@
3SOFinal
2@
4Final
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
