Philadelphia Flyers at Toronto Maple Leafs
Recap
written from the game dataThe Toronto Maple Leafs beat the Philadelphia Flyers 5-2. The Maple Leafs scored first and never trailed. The Maple Leafs led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was James van Riemsdyk's goal at 8:07 of the second period, which took the Flyers' chances from 29% to 47%. Expected goals favored the Maple Leafs, 3.0 to 2.5; shots on goal were PHI 39, TOR 29. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Flyers win a replay of these chances 56% of the time. Martin Jones stopped 24 of 28 (.857), 1.9 goals below expected; Jack Campbell stopped 37 of 39 (.949), 0.5 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. William Nylander (1 G, 1 A), 2. Jack Campbell (37 saves, .949), 3. Travis Konecny (2 A).
Three stars
- ★W. Nylander1 G, 1 A

- ★★J. Campbell37 saves, .949

- ★★★T. Konecny2 A

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
7 goals2nd period
0-11:35
1-18:07
1-213:39
1-319:35
3rd period
1-410:11
2-417:24
2-518:27
Penalties
1st
- 6:37
Keith Yandle · Hookingdrawn by Pierre Engvall2 min
- 13:01
Zack MacEwen · Hookingdrawn by Alexander Kerfoot2 min
- 15:05
David Kampf · Holdingdrawn by Ivan Provorov2 min
2nd
- 12:49
Ivan Provorov · Holdingdrawn by David Kampf2 min
- 15:39
Nick Abruzzese · Trippingdrawn by Travis Sanheim2 min
- 15:52
Kevin Hayes · Hookingdrawn by David Kampf2 min
3rd
- 2:18
Travis Sanheim · Cross checkingdrawn by Colin Blackwell2 min
- 5:26
TJ Brodie · Cross checkingdrawn by Joel Farabee2 min
- 18:56
Ilya Lyubushkin · Fightingdrawn by Zack MacEwen5 min
- 18:56
Zack MacEwen · Fightingdrawn by Ilya Lyubushkin5 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: James van Riemsdyk, 2nd 8:07 — 29% → 47%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 2.52 G
- All situations
- 4 G3.0
- 2.02 G
- Even strength
- 3 G1.6
- 0.50 G
- Power play
- 1 G0.3
- 0.00 G
- Shorthanded
- 0 G0.2
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 88 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 2.40 – 2.09
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 39
- Shots on goal
- 29
- 47%
- Faceoffs
- 53%
- 0/3
- Power play
- 1/5
- 15
- Penalty minutes
- 11
- 58
- Hits
- 33
- 13
- Blocked shots
- 8
- 13
- Giveaways
- 20
- 8
- Takeaways
- 10
Box score
every player line
Season series
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
