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Dallas Stars at Vancouver Canucks

FinalTV BSSWX, SN·Rogers Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Vancouver Canucks beat the Dallas Stars 6-2. The Canucks scored first and never trailed. The Canucks led 4-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jason Dickinson's goal at 10:33 of the second period, which took the Canucks' chances from 72% to 87%. Expected goals favored the Canucks, 4.1 to 2.2; shots on goal were DAL 30, VAN 31. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Canucks win a replay of these chances 55% of the time. Jake Oettinger stopped 15 of 19 (.789), 2.1 goals below expected; Thatcher Demko stopped 28 of 30 (.933). Three stars: 1. Jason Dickinson (1 G, 2 A), 2. Brock Boeser (1 G, 2 A), 3. Elias Pettersson (2 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    VAN
    J. Dickinson1 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    VAN
    B. Boeser1 G, 2 A
  3. ★★★
    VAN
    E. Pettersson2 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
DALDAL1131908230
VANVAN2921725631

Scoring

8 goals

1st period

  1. VAN
    slapxG 0.02win prob +13 pts
    0-1
    7:28
  2. DAL
    R. Hintz(33)PPG
    wristxG 0.11win prob +9 pts
    1-1
    8:12
  3. VAN
    wristxG 0.17win prob +14 pts
    1-2
    15:09

2nd period

  1. VAN
    wristxG 0.14win prob +15 pts
    1-3
    1:23
  2. DAL
    R. Hintz(34)SHG
    wristxG 0.17win prob +15 pts
    2-3
    4:45
  3. VAN
    B. Boeser (20), B. Hunt (12)
    tip-inxG 0.04win prob +15 pts
    2-4
    10:33

3rd period

  1. VAN
    wristxG 0.02win prob +5 pts
    2-5
    0:49
  2. VAN
    wristxG 0.44
    2-6
    16:59

Penalties

DAL 9 PIM·VAN 7 PIM

1st

  • 7:58VANBrock Boeser · Cross checkingdrawn by Ryan Suter2 min

2nd

  • 3:43DALTyler Seguin · Holdingdrawn by Elias Pettersson2 min
  • 17:46DALJamie Benn · Fightingdrawn by Luke Schenn5 min
  • 17:46VANLuke Schenn · Fightingdrawn by Jamie Benn5 min

3rd

  • 18:06DALAlexander Radulov · Holdingdrawn by Travis Dermott2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
VAN goalDAL goalFinal: VAN 100%

Biggest swing: Jason Dickinson, 2nd 10:33 — VAN 72% → 87%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Dickinson · Missed · xG 0.64B. Boeser · Missed · xG 0.58E. Pettersson · Goal · xG 0.44E. Pettersson · Goal · xG 0.17J. Miller · On goal · xG 0.16B. Boeser · Goal · xG 0.14C. Garland · On goal · xG 0.14J. Dickinson · Missed · xG 0.13J. Lammikko · Missed · xG 0.11B. Boeser · Missed · xG 0.10B. Boeser · On goal · xG 0.09C. Garland · Missed · xG 0.09O. Ekman-Larsson · Missed · xG 0.09T. Myers · On goal · xG 0.08J. Miller · On goal · xG 0.08J. Dickinson · On goal · xG 0.08C. Garland · Missed · xG 0.07J. Lammikko · On goal · xG 0.07T. Myers · On goal · xG 0.06B. Hunt · On goal · xG 0.06N. Petan · On goal · xG 0.06J. Miller · Missed · xG 0.06B. Boeser · On goal · xG 0.06J. Dickinson · Goal · xG 0.04N. Petan · On goal · xG 0.04C. Garland · Missed · xG 0.04J. Dickinson · On goal · xG 0.03B. Hunt · On goal · xG 0.03N. Petan · Missed · xG 0.03B. Boeser · Missed · xG 0.03N. Petan · On goal · xG 0.03B. Richardson · On goal · xG 0.03O. Ekman-Larsson · On goal · xG 0.03Q. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.02T. Dermott · Missed · xG 0.02J. Miller · Missed · xG 0.02C. Garland · Goal · xG 0.02L. Schenn · On goal · xG 0.02C. Garland · On goal · xG 0.02M. Highmore · On goal · xG 0.02V. Podkolzin · Goal · xG 0.02M. Highmore · On goal · xG 0.01B. Hunt · On goal · xG 0.01T. Myers · On goal · xG 0.01B. Richardson · Missed · xG 0.01M. Highmore · Missed · xG 0.00J. Dickinson · Missed · xG 0.00B. Hunt · On goal · xG 0.00
VAN6 G · 4.1 xG · 48 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

DALvsVAN
2.22 G
All situations
5 G4.1
1.60 G
Even strength
5 G2.2
0.41 G
Power play
0 G0.2
0.21 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 85 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
DAL45%55%VAN

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.13 – 2.42

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

DALvsVAN
30
Shots on goal
31
55%
Faceoffs
45%
1/1
Power play
0/2
9
Penalty minutes
7
30
Hits
25
11
Blocked shots
14
9
Giveaways
7
6
Takeaways
9

Box score

every player line
Dallas Stars skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
20R. SuterD000000.00020—23:05
4M. HeiskanenD000010.02110—22:46
3J. KlingbergD000-410.05100—22:33
44J. HanleyD000-310.08020—20:08
91T. SeguinC000-450.452227719:13
16J. PavelskiC011-310.172205018:15
21J. RobertsonL000-330.13300—17:57
24R. HintzC202-240.432005816:59
18M. RafflL000-200.00400—16:46
2J. HakanpääD011-220.02100—16:23
12R. FaksaC011+100.062105516:01
11L. GlendeningC000030.241003315:27
5A. SekeraD000-140.07110—14:58
14J. BennL000-120.044055014:03
34D. GurianovR000-110.15300—11:17
43M. StudenicR000-120.24100—11:10
47A. RadulovR011-100.00002—10:45
25J. KivirantaL000000.01200—10:12
Dallas Stars goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
29J. Oettinger(L)19154.7891.85-2.1530:33
41S. Wedgewood11101.9090.58-0.4227:35

Season series

VAN leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).