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Vancouver Canucks at Dallas Stars

FinalTV BSSW, SNP·American Airlines Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Vancouver Canucks beat the Dallas Stars 4-1. The Stars scored first; the Canucks answered. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Elias Pettersson's goal at 1:15 of the third period, which took the Canucks' chances from 48% to 72%. Expected goals favored the Canucks, 3.4 to 3.0; shots on goal were VAN 31, DAL 36. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Stars win a replay of these chances 52% of the time. Thatcher Demko stopped 35 of 36 (.972), 2.0 goals saved above expected; Jake Oettinger stopped 27 of 30 (.900). Three stars: 1. Elias Pettersson (2 G), 2. Thatcher Demko (35 saves, .972), 3. Jacob Peterson (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    VAN
    E. Pettersson2 G
  2. ★★
    VAN
    T. Demko35 saves, .972
  3. ★★★
    DAL
    J. Peterson1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
VANVAN0911339431
DALDAL01417015136

Scoring

5 goals

2nd period

  1. DAL
    J. Benn (22)
    backhandxG 0.07win prob +17 pts
    0-1
    5:42
  2. VAN
    Q. Hughes (48), J. Miller (52)
    slapxG 0.07win prob +16 pts
    1-1
    15:25

3rd period

  1. VAN
    wristxG 0.01win prob +25 pts
    2-1
    1:15
  2. VAN
    B. Horvat(26)EN
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.56win prob +7 pts
    3-1
    18:54
  3. VAN
    backhandxG 0.28
    4-1
    19:21

Penalties

VAN 6 PIM·DAL 4 PIM

2nd

  • 15:10DALJani Hakanpää · Holdingdrawn by Conor Garland2 min
  • 16:59VANLuke Schenn · Interferencedrawn by Joe Pavelski2 min

3rd

  • 1:45VANJuho Lammikko · Trippingdrawn by Vladislav Namestnikov2 min
  • 6:38DALAlexander Radulov · Holding the stickdrawn by Tyler Myers2 min
  • 10:11VANBrock Boeser · Hookingdrawn by Joe Pavelski2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
DAL goalVAN goalFinal: DAL 0%

Biggest swing: Elias Pettersson, 3rd 1:15 — VAN 48% → 72%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Pavelski · Missed · xG 0.30J. Benn · On goal · xG 0.18V. Namestnikov · On goal · xG 0.16A. Radulov · On goal · xG 0.15E. Lindell · Missed · xG 0.14J. Robertson · Missed · xG 0.14T. Harley · Missed · xG 0.13E. Lindell · On goal · xG 0.12J. Pavelski · Missed · xG 0.11A. Radulov · On goal · xG 0.11V. Namestnikov · Missed · xG 0.11L. Glendening · On goal · xG 0.10J. Pavelski · On goal · xG 0.09J. Robertson · On goal · xG 0.08J. Benn · On goal · xG 0.08L. Glendening · On goal · xG 0.07J. Peterson · Goal · xG 0.07A. Radulov · On goal · xG 0.07R. Faksa · On goal · xG 0.07J. Peterson · On goal · xG 0.06A. Radulov · Missed · xG 0.06D. Gurianov · On goal · xG 0.06E. Lindell · On goal · xG 0.05R. Hintz · On goal · xG 0.05J. Pavelski · On goal · xG 0.05J. Robertson · On goal · xG 0.04D. Gurianov · On goal · xG 0.04T. Seguin · On goal · xG 0.04J. Klingberg · On goal · xG 0.03T. Seguin · On goal · xG 0.03T. Seguin · On goal · xG 0.03T. Seguin · On goal · xG 0.02T. Seguin · On goal · xG 0.02J. Benn · Missed · xG 0.02D. Gurianov · Missed · xG 0.02J. Hakanpää · Missed · xG 0.02J. Hanley · Missed · xG 0.01R. Hintz · On goal · xG 0.01T. Harley · Missed · xG 0.01E. Lindell · On goal · xG 0.01E. Lindell · Missed · xG 0.01J. Hanley · On goal · xG 0.01J. Klingberg · On goal · xG 0.01J. Pavelski · On goal · xG 0.01E. Lindell · On goal · xG 0.01E. Lindell · On goal · xG 0.00L. Glendening · On goal · xG 0.00J. Hakanpää · On goal · xG 0.00L. Glendening · On goal · xG 0.00
DAL1 G · 3.0 xG · 49 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

VANvsDAL
3.43 G
All situations
1 G3.0
2.52 G
Even strength
1 G2.5
0.31 G
Power play
0 G0.5
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 100 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
VAN48%52%DAL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.86 – 2.99

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

VANvsDAL
31
Shots on goal
36
50%
Faceoffs
50%
1/2
Power play
0/3
6
Penalty minutes
4
19
Hits
18
10
Blocked shots
14
7
Giveaways
15
6
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Vancouver Canucks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
57T. MyersD000+220.04220—25:01
23O. Ekman-LarssonD011+230.03120—23:36
43Q. HughesD011030.16000—23:19
9J. MillerC112+160.760004822:16
53B. HorvatC101+220.951006319:12
2L. SchennD011010.02502—19:04
40E. PetterssonC202+240.39110018:38
6B. BoeserR000+220.15102—18:37
70T. PearsonL000+110.23100—18:05
8C. GarlandR011+120.09000—15:29
24T. DermottD000000.00000—14:44
91J. LammikkoC000-100.002124213:31
92V. PodkolzinR000-110.01000—13:28
77B. HuntD000020.12000—12:13
39A. ChiassonR000-110.340205011:18
13B. RichardsonR000010.080107508:48
7N. PetanC000000.00210008:37
58W. LockwoodR000000.07300—08:04
Vancouver Canucks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35T. Demko(W)36351.9723.03+2.0360:00

Season series

VAN leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).