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San Jose Sharks at Nashville Predators

Final/OTTV NBCSCA, BSSO·Bridgestone Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Nashville Predators beat the San Jose Sharks 1-0 in overtime, Ryan Johansen scoring at 3:18. The Predators scored first and never trailed. It was tied 0-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Ryan Johansen's goal at 3:18 of overtime, which took the Predators' chances from 51% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Predators, 2.9 to 2.0; shots on goal were SJS 25, NSH 41. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Predators win a replay of these chances 66% of the time. Kaapo Kahkonen stopped 40 of 41 (.976), 1.9 goals saved above expected; Juuse Saros stopped 25 of 25 (1.000), 2.0 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Juuse Saros (25 saves, 1.000), 2. Ryan Johansen (1 G), 3. Mark Borowiecki.

Three stars

  1. ★
    NSH
    J. Saros25 saves, 1.000
  2. ★★
    NSH
    R. Johansen1 G
  3. ★★★
    NSH
    M. Borowiecki

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
SJSSJS05080903025
NSHNSH01101501411141

Scoring

1 goal

Overtime

  1. NSH
    wristxG 0.06win prob +49 pts
    0-1
    3:18

Penalties

SJS 18 PIM·NSH 16 PIM

1st

  • 2:03SJSJeffrey Viel · Fightingdrawn by Mark Borowiecki5 min
  • 2:03NSHMark Borowiecki · Fightingdrawn by Jeffrey Viel5 min
  • 11:17SJSTomas Hertl · Roughingdrawn by Mark Borowiecki2 min
  • 11:17NSHMark Borowiecki · Roughingdrawn by Tomas Hertl2 min
  • 11:17NSHMark Borowiecki · Interferencedrawn by Noah Gregor2 min
  • 14:21SJSBrent Burns · Trippingdrawn by Filip Forsberg2 min
  • 19:41SJSTimo Meier · High stickingdrawn by Dante Fabbro2 min
  • 19:41SJSTimo Meier · Roughingdrawn by Dante Fabbro2 min
  • 19:41NSHDante Fabbro · Roughingdrawn by Timo Meier2 min

2nd

  • 7:27SJSNicolas Meloche · Fightingdrawn by Nick Cousins5 min
  • 7:27NSHNick Cousins · Fightingdrawn by Nicolas Meloche5 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NSH goalSJS goalFinal: NSH 100%

Biggest swing: Ryan Johansen, OT 3:18 — NSH 51% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
C. Sissons · Missed · xG 0.17P. Tomasino · On goal · xG 0.16M. Luff · Missed · xG 0.15F. Forsberg · Missed · xG 0.14M. Duchene · On goal · xG 0.13F. Forsberg · On goal · xG 0.13M. Duchene · On goal · xG 0.11C. Sissons · On goal · xG 0.09F. Forsberg · Missed · xG 0.08M. Luff · On goal · xG 0.08M. Luff · On goal · xG 0.07F. Forsberg · Missed · xG 0.07M. Duchene · Missed · xG 0.07R. Johansen · Goal · xG 0.06F. Forsberg · On goal · xG 0.06L. Kunin · On goal · xG 0.06T. Jeannot · Missed · xG 0.06F. Forsberg · On goal · xG 0.06T. Jeannot · Missed · xG 0.06F. Forsberg · On goal · xG 0.05P. Tomasino · On goal · xG 0.05R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.05M. Granlund · On goal · xG 0.05M. Duchene · On goal · xG 0.05C. Sissons · Missed · xG 0.04R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.04M. Luff · Missed · xG 0.04P. Tomasino · On goal · xG 0.04M. Ekholm · On goal · xG 0.04R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.04J. Lauzon · On goal · xG 0.04F. Forsberg · On goal · xG 0.04R. Josi · Missed · xG 0.04E. Tolvanen · Missed · xG 0.04J. Lauzon · On goal · xG 0.04M. Duchene · On goal · xG 0.04M. Ekholm · Missed · xG 0.03D. Fabbro · On goal · xG 0.03M. Luff · Missed · xG 0.03R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.03R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.03M. Duchene · Missed · xG 0.02M. Ekholm · On goal · xG 0.02M. Ekholm · On goal · xG 0.02E. Tolvanen · On goal · xG 0.02M. Duchene · Missed · xG 0.02R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.02R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.02M. Luff · Missed · xG 0.02R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.01R. Josi · Missed · xG 0.01R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.01R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.01M. Borowiecki · On goal · xG 0.01M. Duchene · On goal · xG 0.01A. Carrier · On goal · xG 0.01D. Fabbro · On goal · xG 0.01C. Sissons · On goal · xG 0.01D. Fabbro · On goal · xG 0.00
NSH1 G · 2.9 xG · 59 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

SJSvsNSH
2.00 G
All situations
1 G2.9
1.90 G
Even strength
1 G2.7
0.00 G
Power play
0 G0.2
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 94 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
SJS34%66%NSH

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.99 – 2.91

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

SJSvsNSH
25
Shots on goal
41
43%
Faceoffs
57%
0/1
Power play
0/2
18
Penalty minutes
16
30
Hits
37
19
Blocked shots
9
6
Giveaways
15
6
Takeaways
14

Box score

every player line
San Jose Sharks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
65E. KarlssonD000-110.03110—25:07
88B. BurnsD000020.14032—25:01
24J. MegnaD000010.01320—22:17
94A. BarabanovL000-100.00310—19:54
38M. FerraroD000000.00320—19:36
48T. HertlC000020.501022719:18
13N. BoninoC000-110.122204718:54
28T. MeierR000030.06444—18:22
92R. BalcersL000030.34220—17:34
39L. CoutureC000010.114006517:32
44M. VlasicD000000.02100—16:40
73N. GregorL000020.10010—16:15
83M. NietoL000040.34010—15:48
55S. ChmelevskiC000030.07000015:35
53N. MelocheD000000.00405—13:45
54S. ReedyC000010.001004010:55
76J. DahlenC000000.00000007:33
63J. VielL000010.14105—05:48
San Jose Sharks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
34K. Kahkonen(O)41401.9762.94+1.9463:18

Season series

NSH leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).