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Predators at Sharks
NHL

Nashville Predators at San Jose Sharks

NHL scoreboard
Nashville Predators
▸8
San Jose Sharks
0
FinalTV NBCSCA, BSSO·SAP Center at San Jose

Recap

written from the game data

The Nashville Predators beat the San Jose Sharks 8-0. The Predators scored first and never trailed. The Predators led 4-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Matt Duchene's goal at 18:30 of the first period, which took the Predators' chances from 62% to 78%. Expected goals favored the Predators, 3.3 to 2.2; shots on goal were NSH 36, SJS 20. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Predators win a replay of these chances 68% of the time. Juuse Saros stopped 20 of 20 (1.000), 2.2 goals saved above expected; Alex Stalock stopped 22 of 28 (.786), 3.3 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Michael McCarron (2 G, 2 A), 2. Roman Josi (4 A), 3. Matt Duchene (2 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NSH
    M. McCarron2 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    NSH
    R. Josi4 A
  3. ★★★
    NSH
    M. Duchene2 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NSHNSH211215410836
SJSSJS050906020

Scoring

8 goals

1st period

  1. NSH
    M. McCarron(3)
    P. Tomasino (11), D. Fabbro (15)
    wristxG 0.02win prob +14 pts
    1-0
    10:43
  2. NSH
    M. Duchene(26)
    R. Josi (42), R. Johansen (26)
    wristxG 0.02win prob +16 pts
    2-0
    18:30

2nd period

  1. NSH
    M. Luff(2)
    P. Tomasino (12), R. Josi (43)
    wristxG 0.26win prob +11 pts
    3-0
    2:43
  2. NSH
    M. Luff(3)
    P. Tomasino (13), M. McCarron (4)
    slapxG 0.26win prob +3 pts
    4-0
    19:30

3rd period

  1. NSH
    M. Duchene(27)
    F. Forsberg (19), M. Ekholm (13)
    backhandxG 0.08
    5-0
    4:43
  2. NSH
    M. McCarron(4)
    M. Luff (3), R. Josi (44)
    tip-inxG 0.10
    6-0
    6:07
  3. NSH
    Y. Trenin(13)
    Unassisted
    slapxG 0.08
    7-0
    11:13
  4. NSH
    M. Granlund(9)PPG
    M. McCarron (5), R. Josi (45)
    backhandxG 0.16
    8-0
    13:06

Penalties

NSH 20 PIM·SJS 22 PIM

1st

  • 1:49NSHLuke Kunin · Roughingdrawn by Timo Meier2 min
  • 1:49SJSTimo Meier · Roughingdrawn by Luke Kunin2 min
  • 16:04NSHRoman Josi · Trippingdrawn by Matt Nieto2 min

2nd

  • 4:34SJSTimo Meier · Interferencedrawn by Eeli Tolvanen2 min
  • 5:08NSHFilip Forsberg · Unsportsmanlike conductdrawn by Logan Couture2 min
  • 12:42SJSNicolas Meloche · Holdingdrawn by Luke Kunin2 min
  • 16:03NSHTanner Jeannot · Boardingdrawn by Tomas Hertl2 min
  • 16:03SJSTomas Hertl · Delaying game face off violation2 min

3rd

  • 6:34NSHColton Sissons · Holdingdrawn by Matt Nieto2 min
  • 12:57SJSJonah Gadjovich · Roughingdrawn by Mikael Granlund2 min
  • 16:41SJSJonah Gadjovich · Fightingdrawn by Ben Harpur5 min
  • 16:41NSHBen Harpur · Fightingdrawn by Jonah Gadjovich5 min
  • 18:21SJSJake Middleton · Fightingdrawn by Luke Kunin5 min
  • 18:21NSHLuke Kunin · Fightingdrawn by Jake Middleton5 min
  • 18:21SJSJake Middleton · Cross checkingdrawn by Luke Kunin2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
SJS goalNSH goalFinal: SJS 0%

Biggest swing: Matt Duchene, 1st 18:30 — NSH 62% → 78%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
R. Dzingel · Missed · xG 0.23R. Dzingel · On goal · xG 0.18B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.16T. Meier · On goal · xG 0.13T. Meier · Missed · xG 0.12T. Hertl · On goal · xG 0.12M. Nieto · On goal · xG 0.12T. Meier · On goal · xG 0.10S. Reedy · On goal · xG 0.10T. Hertl · Missed · xG 0.10L. Couture · Missed · xG 0.10R. Balcers · On goal · xG 0.10A. Barabanov · Missed · xG 0.08T. Meier · Missed · xG 0.08J. Middleton · On goal · xG 0.07R. Dzingel · Missed · xG 0.07A. Barabanov · On goal · xG 0.06T. Meier · On goal · xG 0.05B. Burns · Missed · xG 0.05T. Meier · On goal · xG 0.02J. Middleton · On goal · xG 0.02R. Merkley · On goal · xG 0.02N. Gregor · On goal · xG 0.02N. Gregor · On goal · xG 0.01L. Couture · Missed · xG 0.01N. Meloche · Missed · xG 0.01R. Simek · On goal · xG 0.01R. Simek · On goal · xG 0.01T. Hertl · On goal · xG 0.00L. Couture · On goal · xG 0.00
SJS0 G · 2.2 xG · 30 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NSHvsSJS
3.38 G
All situations
0 G2.2
2.57 G
Even strength
0 G1.5
0.71 G
Power play
0 G0.6
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 80 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NSH68%32%SJS

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.19 – 2.16

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NSHvsSJS
36
Shots on goal
20
52%
Faceoffs
48%
1/4
Power play
0/3
20
Penalty minutes
22
31
Hits
42
18
Blocked shots
6
5
Giveaways
10
7
Takeaways
10

Box score

every player line
Nashville Predators skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
14M. EkholmD011+320.14120—23:55
59R. JosiD044+670.35002—21:44
45A. CarrierD000+100.00130—20:35
57D. FabbroD011+420.06030—20:05
64M. GranlundC101030.491305017:56
13Y. TreninC101+130.0921010016:30
84T. JeannotL000020.12412—16:30
10C. SissonsC000+110.314126716:27
5M. BenningD000010.04110—16:02
17B. HarpurD000010.03215—15:47
95M. DucheneC202+220.16200015:16
92R. JohansenC011+220.331004314:55
28E. TolvanenR000020.17710—14:46
11L. KuninC000000.0220710013:28
9F. ForsbergL011+230.27102—13:08
26P. TomasinoR033+510.05000—11:27
47M. McCarronC224+420.110103611:16
24M. LuffR213+420.52200—10:08
Nashville Predators goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
74J. Saros(W)202001.0002.16+2.1660:00

Season series

NSH leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).