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Kings at Avalanche
NHL

Los Angeles Kings at Colorado Avalanche

NHL scoreboard
Los Angeles Kings
3
Colorado Avalanche
▸9
FinalTV TNT, TVAS·Ball Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Colorado Avalanche beat the Los Angeles Kings 9-3. The Avalanche scored first and never trailed. The Avalanche led 6-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Valeri Nichushkin's goal at 3:33 of the first period, which took the Avalanche's chances from 66% to 79%. Expected goals favored the Avalanche, 3.0 to 2.0; shots on goal were LAK 32, COL 35. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Avalanche win a replay of these chances 68% of the time. Cal Petersen stopped 19 of 25 (.760), 3.5 goals below expected; Darcy Kuemper stopped 29 of 32 (.906), 1.0 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Nathan MacKinnon (3 G, 2 A), 2. Nicolas Aube-Kubel (2 G), 3. Cale Makar (1 G, 3 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    COL
    N. MacKinnon3 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    COL
    N. Aube-Kubel2 G
  3. ★★★
    COL
    C. Makar1 G, 3 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
LAKLAK0821618332
COLCOL41429312935

Scoring

12 goals

1st period

  1. COL
    N. Aube-Kubel(10)
    E. Johnson (16), B. Byram (8)
    tip-inxG 0.05win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    2:54
  2. COL
    V. Nichushkin(20)
    B. Byram (9), A. Lehkonen (17)
    backhandxG 0.05win prob +13 pts
    0-2
    3:33
  3. COL
    N. MacKinnon(27)PPG
    C. Makar (53), M. Rantanen (52)
    slapxG 0.08win prob +8 pts
    0-3
    10:15
  4. COL
    N. Aube-Kubel(11)
    A. Newhook (17), D. Toews (42)
    wristxG 0.03win prob +6 pts
    0-4
    10:56

2nd period

  1. LAK
    A. Kempe(33)
    A. Kaliyev (12), T. Stecher (2)
    backhandxG 0.13win prob +4 pts
    1-4
    1:43
  2. LAK
    A. Iafallo(16)
    J. Spence (5), B. Lizotte (12)
    tip-inxG 0.06win prob +8 pts
    2-4
    10:40
  3. COL
    A. Burakovsky(21)
    N. MacKinnon (52)
    slapxG 0.14win prob +8 pts
    2-5
    13:05
  4. COL
    C. Makar(26)PPG
    N. MacKinnon (53), A. Lehkonen (18)
    slapxG 0.11win prob +2 pts
    2-6
    18:22

3rd period

  1. COL
    N. MacKinnon(28)
    C. Makar (54)
    wristxG 0.18
    2-7
    1:18
  2. COL
    V. Nichushkin(21)
    C. Makar (55)
    wristxG 0.14
    2-8
    6:11
  3. COL
    N. MacKinnon(29)
    A. Burakovsky (34)
    wristxG 0.10
    2-9
    9:52
  4. LAK
    P. Danault(23)
    V. Arvidsson (25), J. Spence (6)
    snapxG 0.29
    3-9
    15:09

Penalties

LAK 4 PIM·COL 4 PIM

1st

  • 8:51LAKAdrian Kempe · Hookingdrawn by Nathan MacKinnon2 min

2nd

  • 5:42COLNathan MacKinnon · Hookingdrawn by Sean Durzi2 min
  • 14:44COLErik Johnson · Roughingdrawn by Matt Roy2 min
  • 16:30LAKSean Durzi · Slashingdrawn by Cale Makar2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
COL goalLAK goalFinal: COL 100%

Biggest swing: Valeri Nichushkin, 1st 3:33 — COL 66% → 79%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
N. MacKinnon · Goal · xG 0.18C. Makar · On goal · xG 0.18A. Burakovsky · Missed · xG 0.16N. Sturm · On goal · xG 0.15A. Burakovsky · Goal · xG 0.14V. Nichushkin · Goal · xG 0.14N. Aube-Kubel · On goal · xG 0.12A. Cogliano · On goal · xG 0.12C. Makar · Goal · xG 0.11N. MacKinnon · Goal · xG 0.10B. Byram · Missed · xG 0.10V. Nichushkin · On goal · xG 0.10N. Sturm · On goal · xG 0.10D. Helm · On goal · xG 0.09E. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.09N. MacKinnon · Goal · xG 0.08D. Helm · Missed · xG 0.08N. MacKinnon · Missed · xG 0.08N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.07N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.07A. Lehkonen · Missed · xG 0.07A. Burakovsky · Missed · xG 0.06N. Aube-Kubel · Goal · xG 0.05V. Nichushkin · Goal · xG 0.05M. Rantanen · Missed · xG 0.05C. Makar · On goal · xG 0.04C. Makar · On goal · xG 0.04A. Newhook · On goal · xG 0.03N. Aube-Kubel · Goal · xG 0.03L. O'Connor · Missed · xG 0.03N. Aube-Kubel · On goal · xG 0.03A. Burakovsky · On goal · xG 0.02A. Lehkonen · Missed · xG 0.02C. Makar · On goal · xG 0.02J. Manson · Missed · xG 0.02J. Manson · On goal · xG 0.02N. Aube-Kubel · Missed · xG 0.02D. Helm · Missed · xG 0.02D. Toews · On goal · xG 0.01N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.01L. O'Connor · Missed · xG 0.01E. Johnson · Missed · xG 0.01A. Lehkonen · On goal · xG 0.01D. Toews · On goal · xG 0.01B. Byram · Missed · xG 0.01E. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.01N. Sturm · On goal · xG 0.00D. Toews · On goal · xG 0.00N. Sturm · On goal · xG 0.00N. Sturm · On goal · xG 0.00
COL9 G · 3.0 xG · 50 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

LAKvsCOL
2.03 G
All situations
9 G3.0
1.93 G
Even strength
7 G2.3
0.20 G
Power play
2 G0.5
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 96 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
LAK32%68%COL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.00 – 2.98

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

LAKvsCOL
32
Shots on goal
35
52%
Faceoffs
48%
0/2
Power play
2/2
4
Penalty minutes
4
18
Hits
12
13
Blocked shots
10
5
Giveaways
3
4
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
Los Angeles Kings skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
50S. DurziD000-150.17112—23:58
3M. RoyD000-110.03310—21:35
53J. SpenceD022-230.10000—18:51
6O. MaattaD000-200.02020—18:22
19A. IafalloL101040.19000—17:18
51T. StecherD011-120.02020—17:09
9A. KempeR101-120.25212—17:02
24P. DanaultC101-120.481005816:59
2A. EdlerD000-110.04140—16:27
12T. MooreL000-120.19010—16:26
11A. KopitarC000-230.152006716:03
46B. LizotteC011010.032005015:32
23D. BrownR000020.14200—14:41
33V. ArvidssonL011-120.11100—14:27
13G. VilardiC000-100.001005013:21
55Q. ByfieldR000-100.001103013:19
34A. KaliyevR011-220.11000—13:02
89R. KupariC000-200.00100012:12
Los Angeles Kings goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
40C. Petersen(L)25196.7602.46-3.5449:45
32J. Quick1073.7000.54-2.4610:15

Season series

COL leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).