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Avalanche at Kings
NHL

Colorado Avalanche at Los Angeles Kings

NHL scoreboard
Colorado Avalanche
▸4
Los Angeles Kings
1
FinalTV ESPN·Crypto.com Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Colorado Avalanche beat the Los Angeles Kings 4-1. The Avalanche scored first and never trailed. The Avalanche led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Nicolas Aube-Kubel's goal at 4:11 of the third period, which took the Avalanche's chances from 74% to 91%. Expected goals favored the Kings, 3.4 to 2.5; shots on goal were COL 27, LAK 41. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Kings win a replay of these chances 72% of the time. Darcy Kuemper stopped 40 of 41 (.976), 2.4 goals saved above expected; Jonathan Quick stopped 23 of 26 (.885), 1.0 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Darcy Kuemper (40 saves, .976), 2. Nicolas Aube-Kubel (1 G), 3. Quinton Byfield.

Three stars

  1. ★
    COL
    D. Kuemper40 saves, .976
  2. ★★
    COL
    N. Aube-Kubel1 G
  3. ★★★
    LAK
    Q. Byfield

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
COLCOL1718212427
LAKLAK01511907141

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. COL
    M. Rantanen(21)PPG
    N. MacKinnon (32), C. Makar (22)
    wristxG 0.17win prob +10 pts
    1-0
    9:43

2nd period

  1. COL
    K. Sherwood(1)
    Unassisted
    slapxG 0.17win prob +16 pts
    2-0
    3:06
  2. LAK
    A. Kopitar(13)PPG
    A. Iafallo (14), D. Doughty (17)
    wristxG 0.28win prob +13 pts
    2-1
    8:58

3rd period

  1. COL
    N. Aube-Kubel(6)
    L. O'Connor (9), J. Compher (7)
    wristxG 0.14win prob +17 pts
    3-1
    4:11
  2. COL
    D. Toews(8)EN
    M. Rantanen (27), N. MacKinnon (33)
    wristxG 0.49win prob +1 pts
    4-1
    18:25

Penalties

COL 10 PIM·LAK 2 PIM

1st

  • 8:30LAKCarl Grundstrom · Hookingdrawn by Nicolas Aube-Kubel2 min
  • 10:33COLLogan O'Connor · Holding the stickdrawn by Matt Roy2 min
  • 15:53COLNathan MacKinnon · Holdingdrawn by Viktor Arvidsson2 min

2nd

  • 7:54COLDevon Toews · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

3rd

  • 2:03COLNicolas Aube-Kubel · High stickingdrawn by Dustin Brown2 min
  • 6:57COLMikko Rantanen · Trippingdrawn by Mikey Anderson2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
LAK goalCOL goalFinal: LAK 0%

Biggest swing: Nicolas Aube-Kubel, 3rd 4:11 — COL 74% → 91%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Kopitar · Goal · xG 0.28Q. Byfield · On goal · xG 0.21Q. Byfield · On goal · xG 0.14T. Bjornfot · On goal · xG 0.13S. Fagemo · On goal · xG 0.12A. Iafallo · On goal · xG 0.12C. Grundstrom · On goal · xG 0.12D. Doughty · On goal · xG 0.12D. Doughty · On goal · xG 0.11A. Iafallo · On goal · xG 0.11D. Brown · On goal · xG 0.10Q. Byfield · On goal · xG 0.10D. Brown · Missed · xG 0.09B. Lemieux · On goal · xG 0.09D. Brown · On goal · xG 0.08S. Durzi · On goal · xG 0.08T. Moore · On goal · xG 0.08A. Iafallo · On goal · xG 0.07A. Kopitar · On goal · xG 0.07M. Roy · On goal · xG 0.07V. Arvidsson · Missed · xG 0.07V. Arvidsson · Missed · xG 0.06Q. Byfield · Missed · xG 0.06T. Moore · On goal · xG 0.05A. Kaliyev · On goal · xG 0.05T. Moore · On goal · xG 0.05V. Arvidsson · Missed · xG 0.05T. Moore · On goal · xG 0.05T. Moore · On goal · xG 0.04M. Anderson · Missed · xG 0.04B. Lemieux · On goal · xG 0.04T. Moore · Missed · xG 0.04A. Kaliyev · Missed · xG 0.04A. Iafallo · Missed · xG 0.04P. Danault · Missed · xG 0.03V. Arvidsson · On goal · xG 0.03A. Kopitar · Missed · xG 0.03A. Kopitar · On goal · xG 0.03T. Moore · On goal · xG 0.03A. Kopitar · On goal · xG 0.02M. Roy · Missed · xG 0.02S. Fagemo · On goal · xG 0.02M. Roy · On goal · xG 0.02V. Arvidsson · On goal · xG 0.02B. Lemieux · On goal · xG 0.02M. Anderson · On goal · xG 0.02D. Doughty · On goal · xG 0.02A. Kaliyev · On goal · xG 0.01M. Anderson · On goal · xG 0.01V. Arvidsson · On goal · xG 0.01A. Kopitar · Missed · xG 0.01M. Roy · On goal · xG 0.01D. Doughty · On goal · xG 0.01M. Roy · On goal · xG 0.01M. Anderson · Missed · xG 0.00
LAK1 G · 3.4 xG · 55 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

COLvsLAK
2.53 G
All situations
1 G3.4
1.52 G
Even strength
0 G2.3
0.41 G
Power play
1 G1.1
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 85 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
COL28%72%LAK

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.00 – 3.31

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

COLvsLAK
27
Shots on goal
41
46%
Faceoffs
54%
1/1
Power play
1/5
10
Penalty minutes
2
29
Hits
19
20
Blocked shots
14
7
Giveaways
12
2
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Colorado Avalanche skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8C. MakarD011+230.31220—26:27
7D. ToewsD101+120.49322—26:10
91N. KadriC000010.211005320:55
6E. JohnsonD000000.00750—20:14
49S. GirardD000020.03120—18:20
96M. RantanenR112+130.33012—17:39
29N. MacKinnonC022+110.001125517:37
3J. JohnsonD000+210.02100—17:34
92G. LandeskogL000+130.092102517:17
25L. O'ConnorR011+130.02032—16:49
37J. CompherL011+110.110206315:00
95A. BurakovskyL000000.00100—14:18
17T. JostC000020.3011010013:13
18A. NewhookC000000.00000012:21
11M. MaltsevL000+120.185004010:37
56K. MacDermidL000+100.00000—10:02
16N. Aube-KubelR101+220.24302—09:19
44K. SherwoodL101+110.17100—07:04
Colorado Avalanche goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35D. Kuemper(W)41401.9763.36+2.3660:00

Season series

COL leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).