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New Jersey Devils at Utah Mammoth

FinalTV BSAZX, MSG+·Gila River Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The New Jersey Devils beat the Utah Mammoth 6-2. The lead changed hands 2 times. The Devils led 4-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Tomas Tatar's goal at 19:14 of the second period, which took the Devils' chances from 47% to 71%. Expected goals favored the Devils, 4.2 to 2.2; shots on goal were NJD 38, ARI 21. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Devils win a replay of these chances 80% of the time. Nico Daws stopped 19 of 21 (.905); Karel Vejmelka stopped 32 of 38 (.842), 1.8 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Yegor Sharangovich (2 G, 1 A), 2. Fabian Zetterlund (1 G, 1 A), 3. Nick Schmaltz (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NJD
    Y. Sharangovich2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    NJD
    F. Zetterlund1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    ARI
    N. Schmaltz1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NJDNJD18317213638
ARIARI181607221

Scoring

8 goals

1st period

  1. ARI
    wristxG 0.07win prob +11 pts
    0-1
    1:13
  2. NJD
    wristxG 0.21win prob +13 pts
    1-1
    10:51

2nd period

  1. NJD
    slapxG 0.01win prob +17 pts
    2-1
    5:24
  2. ARI
    wristxG 0.05win prob +17 pts
    2-2
    18:36
  3. NJD
    wristxG 0.20win prob +24 pts
    3-2
    19:14
  4. NJD
    wristxG 0.17win prob +17 pts
    4-2
    19:36

3rd period

  1. NJD
    wristxG 0.29win prob +2 pts
    5-2
    15:36
  2. NJD
    backhandxG 0.19
    6-2
    17:05

Penalties

NJD 10 PIM·ARI 12 PIM

1st

  • 2:44NJDMichael McLeod · Interferencedrawn by Cam Dineen2 min
  • 7:11ARIDysin Mayo · High stickingdrawn by Pavel Zacha2 min
  • 16:34NJDTomas Tatar · Interferencedrawn by Nate Smith2 min

2nd

  • 2:25ARIAndrew Ladd · Hookingdrawn by Dawson Mercer2 min
  • 11:13ARINate Smith · Interferencedrawn by Ty Smith2 min
  • 18:01NJDTy Smith · Slashingdrawn by Barrett Hayton2 min

3rd

  • 3:19NJDTy Smith · High stickingdrawn by Travis Boyd2 min
  • 10:51ARIKyle Capobianco · Trippingdrawn by Nico Hischier2 min
  • 16:03ARIMichael Carcone · Trippingdrawn by Ty Smith2 min
  • 16:03NJDTy Smith · Embellishment2 min
  • 18:55ARINick Ritchie · Roughingdrawn by A.J. Greer2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
ARI goalNJD goalFinal: ARI 0%

Biggest swing: Tomas Tatar, 2nd 19:14 — NJD 47% → 71%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
T. Boyd · On goal · xG 0.31L. Eriksson · Missed · xG 0.30T. Boyd · On goal · xG 0.17L. Eriksson · On goal · xG 0.12T. Boyd · On goal · xG 0.12A. Galchenyuk · On goal · xG 0.10T. Boyd · Missed · xG 0.10N. Ritchie · Missed · xG 0.09B. Hayton · On goal · xG 0.09N. Schmaltz · Missed · xG 0.07N. Schmaltz · On goal · xG 0.07B. Hayton · Missed · xG 0.07T. Boyd · Goal · xG 0.07M. Maccelli · On goal · xG 0.05P. Kessel · Missed · xG 0.05N. Schmaltz · Goal · xG 0.05A. Galchenyuk · Missed · xG 0.05A. Galchenyuk · On goal · xG 0.04A. Ladd · On goal · xG 0.04K. Capobianco · Missed · xG 0.03C. Dineen · Missed · xG 0.03D. Mayo · On goal · xG 0.03K. Capobianco · Missed · xG 0.02N. Smith · On goal · xG 0.02M. Carcone · On goal · xG 0.02S. Gostisbehere · Missed · xG 0.01S. Gostisbehere · Missed · xG 0.01K. Capobianco · Missed · xG 0.01C. Dineen · Missed · xG 0.01A. Stralman · On goal · xG 0.01D. Mayo · Missed · xG 0.01D. Mayo · Missed · xG 0.01C. Dineen · On goal · xG 0.01C. Dineen · On goal · xG 0.01D. Mayo · Missed · xG 0.01J. Moser · On goal · xG 0.00N. Schmaltz · On goal · xG 0.00A. Stralman · On goal · xG 0.00
ARI2 G · 2.2 xG · 38 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NJDvsARI
4.26 G
All situations
2 G2.2
2.86 G
Even strength
1 G1.5
1.30 G
Power play
1 G0.7
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 90 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NJD80%20%ARI

Flurry-adjusted xG 4.16 – 2.17

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NJDvsARI
38
Shots on goal
21
49%
Faceoffs
51%
0/5
Power play
1/4
10
Penalty minutes
12
30
Hits
23
14
Blocked shots
12
8
Giveaways
20
4
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
New Jersey Devils skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
7D. HamiltonD000+210.13220—21:23
13N. HischierC033+310.130005821:03
28D. SeversonD000+130.08210—21:01
33R. GravesD000+210.04160—20:46
17Y. SharangovichC213+340.69000019:34
37P. ZachaC000+140.23300018:53
24T. SmithD000+110.04106—18:32
18D. MercerC000050.720104318:21
63J. BrattL011020.18000—16:20
76P. SubbanD011+300.00100—16:20
49F. ZetterlundL112+210.22200—15:57
88K. BahlD112+120.03410—15:06
90T. TatarL101020.612123314:26
70J. BoqvistC101+130.221004413:33
59J. KuokkanenC011+110.08010012:55
14N. BastianR011+110.364105010:47
20M. McLeodC000+110.083027108:17
42A. GreerL011+150.36400—08:11
New Jersey Devils goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
50N. Daws(W)21192.9052.22+0.2260:00

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).