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Utah Mammoth at New Jersey Devils

FinalTV BSAZ, MSG+·Prudential Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Utah Mammoth beat the New Jersey Devils 4-1. The Devils scored first; the Coyotes answered. The Coyotes led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Lawson Crouse's goal at 11:32 of the second period, which took the Coyotes' chances from 47% to 67%. Expected goals favored the Coyotes, 3.9 to 2.5; shots on goal were ARI 17, NJD 36. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Devils win a replay of these chances 56% of the time. Karel Vejmelka stopped 35 of 36 (.972), 1.5 goals saved above expected; Mackenzie Blackwood stopped 13 of 17 (.765), 1.8 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Karel Vejmelka (35 saves, .972), 2. Dysin Mayo (1 G), 3. Lawson Crouse (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    ARI
    K. Vejmelka35 saves, .972
  2. ★★
    ARI
    D. Mayo1 G
  3. ★★★
    ARI
    L. Crouse1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
ARIARI013719417
NJDNJD11201509136

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. NJD
    J. Bratt (23), J. Hughes (12)
    wristxG 0.11win prob +10 pts
    0-1
    6:09

2nd period

  1. ARI
    slapxG 0.03win prob +17 pts
    1-1
    6:50
  2. ARI
    snapxG 0.44win prob +20 pts
    2-1
    11:32
  3. ARI
    tip-inxG 0.08win prob +17 pts
    3-1
    14:13

3rd period

  1. ARI
    L. Crouse (10), P. Kessel (22)
    snapxG 0.04win prob +5 pts
    4-1
    8:27

Penalties

ARI 4 PIM·NJD 4 PIM

1st

  • 5:22ARIChristian Fischer · Holdingdrawn by Janne Kuokkanen2 min
  • 15:31ARIShayne Gostisbehere · Trippingdrawn by Janne Kuokkanen2 min

2nd

  • 9:05NJDJesper Bratt · High stickingdrawn by Shayne Gostisbehere2 min

3rd

  • 1:52NJDNathan Bastian · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NJD goalARI goalFinal: NJD 0%

Biggest swing: Lawson Crouse, 2nd 11:32 — ARI 47% → 67%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
N. Bastian · On goal · xG 0.17Y. Sharangovich · Missed · xG 0.12J. Bratt · On goal · xG 0.12J. Hughes · Missed · xG 0.12D. Mercer · On goal · xG 0.11D. Mercer · On goal · xG 0.11N. Hischier · Goal · xG 0.11D. Mercer · On goal · xG 0.10A. Johnsson · On goal · xG 0.09J. Vesey · On goal · xG 0.08A. Johnsson · On goal · xG 0.08T. Tatar · On goal · xG 0.07N. Hischier · On goal · xG 0.07J. Bratt · On goal · xG 0.07T. Tatar · Missed · xG 0.06P. Subban · On goal · xG 0.06Y. Sharangovich · Missed · xG 0.06N. Hischier · On goal · xG 0.06D. Severson · On goal · xG 0.06D. Mercer · On goal · xG 0.05A. Johnsson · On goal · xG 0.05J. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.05N. Hischier · Missed · xG 0.04T. Tatar · Missed · xG 0.04J. Vesey · Missed · xG 0.04P. Zacha · On goal · xG 0.04P. Zacha · Missed · xG 0.04D. Severson · On goal · xG 0.03J. Bratt · On goal · xG 0.03P. Subban · Missed · xG 0.03P. Subban · Missed · xG 0.03D. Severson · On goal · xG 0.03N. Bastian · Missed · xG 0.02N. Hischier · Missed · xG 0.02T. Tatar · On goal · xG 0.02J. Siegenthaler · On goal · xG 0.02J. Siegenthaler · On goal · xG 0.02J. Siegenthaler · On goal · xG 0.02T. Tatar · On goal · xG 0.02T. Tatar · Missed · xG 0.02T. Smith · On goal · xG 0.02D. Severson · On goal · xG 0.02J. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.01R. Graves · Missed · xG 0.01J. Vesey · On goal · xG 0.01T. Tatar · On goal · xG 0.01C. Jaros · On goal · xG 0.01N. Bastian · On goal · xG 0.01D. Severson · On goal · xG 0.00J. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.00
NJD1 G · 2.5 xG · 50 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

ARIvsNJD
3.94 G
All situations
1 G2.5
1.84 G
Even strength
0 G1.7
0.40 G
Power play
1 G0.7
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 84 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
ARI44%56%NJD

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.16 – 2.49

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

ARIvsNJD
17
Shots on goal
36
52%
Faceoffs
48%
0/2
Power play
1/2
4
Penalty minutes
4
24
Hits
16
16
Blocked shots
9
17
Giveaways
14
10
Takeaways
17

Box score

every player line
Utah Mammoth skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
14S. GostisbehereD000+200.01122—22:34
86A. StralmanD011+100.00330—21:36
61D. MayoD101+320.12610—20:34
6J. ChychrunD011+120.64120—20:20
22J. LarssonL101+120.253105918:23
67L. CrouseL112+220.79210—18:06
9C. KellerR011+110.68000—17:28
16A. LaddL000010.04010—16:39
62J. MoserD000000.00010—16:39
72T. BoydC101+120.210004016:11
46I. LyubushkinD000+110.04210—16:09
36C. FischerR000010.30112—15:14
20R. NashC000000.450105414:48
81P. KesselR011+100.04010—14:46
8N. SchmaltzC000+100.1000010014:44
21L. ErikssonL022+220.14100—11:45
17A. GalchenyukC011+210.131006711:11
38L. O'BrienC000+100.00300010:06
Utah Mammoth goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
70K. Vejmelka(W)36351.9722.49+1.4960:00

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).