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Hurricanes at Rangers
NHL

Carolina Hurricanes at New York Rangers

NHL scoreboard
Carolina Hurricanes
▸4
New York Rangers
2
FinalTV BSSO, MSG·Madison Square Garden

Recap

written from the game data

The Carolina Hurricanes beat the New York Rangers 4-2. The Rangers scored first; the Hurricanes answered. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Seth Jarvis's goal at 1:02 of the third period, which took the Hurricanes' chances from 48% to 72%. Expected goals were close — CAR 2.9, NYR 2.9; shots on goal were CAR 25, NYR 30. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Rangers win a replay of these chances 65% of the time. Frederik Andersen stopped 28 of 30 (.933), 0.9 goals saved above expected; Igor Shesterkin stopped 21 of 24 (.875), 1.0 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Sebastian Aho (1 G, 2 A), 2. Seth Jarvis (1 G, 1 A), 3. Chris Kreider (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CAR
    S. Aho1 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    CAR
    S. Jarvis1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    NYR
    C. Kreider1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CARCAR081938425
NYRNYR0141719230

Scoring

6 goals

2nd period

  1. NYR
    K. Miller(7)
    M. Zibanejad (48), F. Vatrano (13)
    snapxG 0.20win prob +16 pts
    0-1
    1:03
  2. CAR
    A. Svechnikov(29)
    S. Jarvis (19), S. Aho (40)
    backhandxG 0.03win prob +20 pts
    1-1
    13:38

3rd period

  1. CAR
    S. Jarvis(14)
    S. Aho (41), B. Skjei (23)
    backhandxG 0.14win prob +25 pts
    2-1
    1:02
  2. CAR
    J. Staal(14)
    B. Skjei (24), J. Fast (18)
    wristxG 0.17win prob +17 pts
    3-1
    6:42
  3. NYR
    C. Kreider(50)
    A. Copp (30), R. Strome (31)
    wristxG 0.15win prob +6 pts
    3-2
    18:22
  4. CAR
    S. Aho(34)EN
    A. Svechnikov (37), T. Teravainen (40)
    wristxG 0.94win prob +6 pts
    4-2
    19:54

Penalties

CAR 8 PIM·NYR 4 PIM

1st

  • 7:28CARBrady Skjei · Cross checkingdrawn by Barclay Goodrow2 min
  • 14:24CARBrett Pesce · Hookingdrawn by Chris Kreider2 min

2nd

  • 2:21NYRFrank Vatrano · Holdingdrawn by Vincent Trocheck2 min
  • 9:49CARBrendan Smith · Roughingdrawn by Barclay Goodrow2 min

3rd

  • 8:42CARTony DeAngelo · Slashingdrawn by K'Andre Miller2 min
  • 9:21NYRRyan Strome · Hookingdrawn by Jordan Staal2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NYR goalCAR goalFinal: NYR 0%

Biggest swing: Seth Jarvis, 3rd 1:02 — CAR 48% → 72%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
R. Strome · Missed · xG 0.28K. Miller · Goal · xG 0.20R. Strome · Missed · xG 0.17F. Vatrano · On goal · xG 0.16K. Miller · On goal · xG 0.15C. Kreider · Goal · xG 0.15K. Miller · Missed · xG 0.15R. Reaves · On goal · xG 0.13M. Zibanejad · On goal · xG 0.11M. Zibanejad · On goal · xG 0.10A. Fox · On goal · xG 0.10K. Kakko · Missed · xG 0.10C. Kreider · Missed · xG 0.09M. Zibanejad · On goal · xG 0.09K. Rooney · On goal · xG 0.09F. Vatrano · On goal · xG 0.08F. Vatrano · On goal · xG 0.07A. Lafrenière · Missed · xG 0.07M. Zibanejad · On goal · xG 0.07A. Lafrenière · Missed · xG 0.05A. Panarin · Missed · xG 0.05D. Hunt · On goal · xG 0.04J. Trouba · On goal · xG 0.04F. Vatrano · On goal · xG 0.04A. Fox · On goal · xG 0.03J. Braun · On goal · xG 0.03A. Fox · Missed · xG 0.03F. Vatrano · On goal · xG 0.02A. Panarin · On goal · xG 0.02R. Reaves · Missed · xG 0.02A. Lafrenière · On goal · xG 0.02K. Miller · On goal · xG 0.02B. Schneider · Missed · xG 0.02F. Vatrano · Missed · xG 0.02R. Lindgren · On goal · xG 0.02M. Zibanejad · On goal · xG 0.02A. Fox · On goal · xG 0.01A. Lafrenière · On goal · xG 0.01C. Kreider · On goal · xG 0.01A. Fox · On goal · xG 0.01B. Goodrow · On goal · xG 0.01A. Lafrenière · On goal · xG 0.01
NYR2 G · 2.9 xG · 42 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CARvsNYR
2.93 G
All situations
2 G2.9
1.73 G
Even strength
2 G1.6
0.20 G
Power play
0 G1.3
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 80 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CAR35%65%NYR

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.98 – 2.80

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CARvsNYR
25
Shots on goal
30
55%
Faceoffs
45%
0/2
Power play
0/4
8
Penalty minutes
4
19
Hits
19
11
Blocked shots
15
19
Giveaways
27
11
Takeaways
16

Box score

every player line
Carolina Hurricanes skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
74J. SlavinD000+220.08000—23:44
76B. SkjeiD022010.07202—23:14
22B. PesceD000010.01022—22:11
77T. DeAngeloD000030.09122—18:08
28I. ColeD000+200.00250—17:53
20S. AhoC123+221.090004117:21
86T. TeravainenC011+110.11000016:45
11J. StaalC101010.173105016:37
16V. TrocheckC000020.312007816:23
71J. FastR011000.0320010016:23
88M. NecasC000020.0320010015:58
21N. NiederreiterR000010.01200—14:54
37A. SvechnikovR112+240.40200—14:31
7B. SmithD000000.03102—13:48
24S. JarvisR112+120.3601010013:40
48J. MartinookL000000.00000—10:40
78S. LorentzC000020.12000010:16
13M. DomiC000010.020005009:50
Carolina Hurricanes goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31F. Andersen(W)30282.9332.90+0.9059:44

Season series

CAR leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).