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Rangers at Hurricanes
NHL

New York Rangers at Carolina Hurricanes

NHL scoreboard
New York Rangers
3
Carolina Hurricanes
▸6
FinalTV BSSO, MSG·PNC Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Carolina Hurricanes beat the New York Rangers 6-3. The Hurricanes scored first and never trailed. The Hurricanes led 5-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Seth Jarvis's goal at 17:21 of the first period, which took the Hurricanes' chances from 68% to 83%. Expected goals favored the Hurricanes, 4.4 to 2.7; shots on goal were NYR 23, CAR 35. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Hurricanes win a replay of these chances 75% of the time. Alexandar Georgiev stopped 29 of 35 (.829), 1.6 goals below expected; Frederik Andersen stopped 20 of 23 (.870). Three stars: 1. Tony DeAngelo (1 G, 2 A), 2. Sebastian Aho (1 G, 2 A), 3. Andrei Svechnikov (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CAR
    T. DeAngelo1 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    CAR
    S. Aho1 G, 2 A
  3. ★★★
    CAR
    A. Svechnikov2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NYRNYR0411029323
CARCAR21131618635

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. CAR
    V. Trocheck(9)PPG
    T. DeAngelo (23), A. Svechnikov (18)
    tip-inxG 0.16win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    13:13
  2. CAR
    S. Jarvis(8)
    S. Aho (24), T. Teravainen (20)
    wristxG 0.23win prob +14 pts
    0-2
    17:21

2nd period

  1. CAR
    J. Fast(9)
    T. DeAngelo (24), S. Lorentz (3)
    slapxG 0.04win prob +9 pts
    0-3
    3:33
  2. NYR
    M. Zibanejad(15)PPG
    A. Panarin (31), C. Kreider (12)
    slapxG 0.17win prob +9 pts
    1-3
    6:35
  3. CAR
    S. Aho(17)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.07win prob +8 pts
    1-4
    14:46
  4. CAR
    N. Niederreiter(11)
    A. Svechnikov (19), I. Cole (7)
    wristxG 0.15win prob +2 pts
    1-5
    19:32

3rd period

  1. NYR
    C. Kreider(26)PPG
    A. Fox (36), M. Zibanejad (24)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +1 pts
    2-5
    5:09
  2. NYR
    G. McKegg(1)
    R. Reaves (7), K. Miller (6)
    wristxG 0.12win prob +4 pts
    3-5
    6:23
  3. CAR
    T. DeAngelo(7)PPG
    S. Aho (25), V. Trocheck (17)
    snapxG 0.06
    3-6
    17:27

Penalties

NYR 6 PIM·CAR 8 PIM

1st

  • 11:44NYRJacob Trouba · Slashingdrawn by Andrei Svechnikov2 min

2nd

  • 6:29CARJesperi Kotkaniemi · Roughingdrawn by Barclay Goodrow2 min
  • 6:29NYRBarclay Goodrow · Roughingdrawn by Jesperi Kotkaniemi2 min
  • 6:29CARJesperi Kotkaniemi · Roughingdrawn by Barclay Goodrow2 min
  • 16:18CARIan Cole · Hookingdrawn by Greg McKegg2 min

3rd

  • 4:36CARSeth Jarvis · Hookingdrawn by Kevin Rooney2 min
  • 16:56NYRAlexis Lafrenière · Slashingdrawn by Andrei Svechnikov2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CAR goalNYR goalFinal: CAR 100%

Biggest swing: Seth Jarvis, 1st 17:21 — CAR 68% → 83%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Leivo · On goal · xG 0.29N. Niederreiter · Missed · xG 0.23S. Jarvis · Goal · xG 0.23D. Stepan · On goal · xG 0.19N. Niederreiter · On goal · xG 0.18J. Leivo · On goal · xG 0.17V. Trocheck · Goal · xG 0.16S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.16N. Niederreiter · Goal · xG 0.15A. Svechnikov · Missed · xG 0.15J. Fast · Missed · xG 0.14D. Stepan · On goal · xG 0.13A. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.12T. Teravainen · On goal · xG 0.12S. Jarvis · On goal · xG 0.12S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.11T. Teravainen · On goal · xG 0.09A. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.09N. Niederreiter · Missed · xG 0.09T. Teravainen · On goal · xG 0.09V. Trocheck · On goal · xG 0.09J. Staal · Missed · xG 0.08S. Lorentz · Missed · xG 0.08A. Svechnikov · Missed · xG 0.08B. Pesce · Missed · xG 0.08J. Slavin · On goal · xG 0.08D. Stepan · Missed · xG 0.07S. Aho · Goal · xG 0.07J. Leivo · On goal · xG 0.06N. Niederreiter · Missed · xG 0.06T. Teravainen · On goal · xG 0.06J. Fast · On goal · xG 0.06V. Trocheck · On goal · xG 0.06T. DeAngelo · Goal · xG 0.06J. Slavin · On goal · xG 0.05T. DeAngelo · On goal · xG 0.05B. Skjei · Missed · xG 0.05D. Stepan · On goal · xG 0.04J. Fast · Goal · xG 0.04A. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.03A. Svechnikov · Missed · xG 0.03J. Fast · On goal · xG 0.03I. Cole · On goal · xG 0.03B. Smith · Missed · xG 0.02B. Pesce · Missed · xG 0.02B. Pesce · On goal · xG 0.01B. Smith · On goal · xG 0.01B. Skjei · On goal · xG 0.01J. Leivo · Missed · xG 0.01V. Trocheck · Missed · xG 0.01D. Stepan · On goal · xG 0.00
CAR6 G · 4.4 xG · 51 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NYRvsCAR
2.73 G
All situations
6 G4.4
2.01 G
Even strength
4 G4.2
0.72 G
Power play
2 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 89 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NYR25%75%CAR

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.62 – 4.32

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NYRvsCAR
23
Shots on goal
35
47%
Faceoffs
53%
2/3
Power play
2/2
6
Penalty minutes
8
39
Hits
23
14
Blocked shots
14
15
Giveaways
16
10
Takeaways
11

Box score

every player line
New York Rangers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8J. TroubaD000020.20702—22:21
79K. MillerD011020.02000—22:11
23A. FoxD011-200.01130—21:32
20C. KreiderL112020.71300—18:41
55R. LindgrenD000-200.01300—17:58
12P. NemethD000-100.00240—17:39
10A. PanarinL011-250.66000—17:34
93M. ZibanejadC112030.192104417:19
45B. SchneiderD000-100.05020—16:08
16R. StromeC000-210.152006015:59
21B. GoodrowC000-100.004125015:51
75R. ReavesR011-120.17100—14:53
24K. KakkoR000010.08020—14:02
29D. HuntL000-200.03700—14:02
17K. RooneyC000010.092104213:54
72F. ChytilC000010.10100013:18
13A. LafrenièreL000010.08102—13:10
14G. McKeggC101-120.12300011:52
New York Rangers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
40A. Georgiev(L)35296.8294.43-1.5759:34

Season series

CAR leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).