Edmonton Oilers at Minnesota Wild
Recap
written from the game dataThe Minnesota Wild beat the Edmonton Oilers 5-1. The Wild scored first and never trailed. The Wild led 4-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Kevin Fiala's goal at 3:01 of the second period, which took the Wild's chances from 70% to 84%. Expected goals favored the Wild, 2.7 to 1.8; shots on goal were EDM 28, MIN 23. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Wild win a replay of these chances 67% of the time. Mikko Koskinen stopped 18 of 23 (.783), 2.3 goals below expected; Cam Talbot stopped 27 of 28 (.964), 0.8 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Kevin Fiala (2 G), 2. Ryan Hartman (2 G), 3. Jonas Brodin.
Three stars
- ★K. Fiala2 G

- ★★R. Hartman2 G

- ★★★J. Brodin

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
6 goals1st period
0-15:37
2nd period
0-23:01
0-39:40
0-413:12
3rd period
0-53:22
1-55:39
Penalties
1st
- 8:34
served by W. Foegele · Too many men on the ice2 min
2nd
- 13:35
Kailer Yamamoto · Trippingdrawn by Kirill Kaprizov2 min
- 17:49
Matt Boldy · Holding the stickdrawn by Tyson Barrie2 min
3rd
- 4:50
Brandon Duhaime · Trippingdrawn by Jesse Puljujarvi2 min
- 9:15
Evander Kane · Cross checkingdrawn by Kirill Kaprizov2 min
- 9:15
Evander Kane · Roughingdrawn by Ryan Hartman2 min
- 9:15
Ryan Hartman · Roughingdrawn by Evander Kane2 min
- 9:15
Evander Kane · Misconductdrawn by Ryan Hartman10 min
- 9:15
Ryan Hartman · Misconductdrawn by Evander Kane10 min
- 12:06
Jake Middleton · Hookingdrawn by Connor McDavid2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Kevin Fiala, 2nd 3:01 — 70% → 84%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 1.81 G
- All situations
- 5 G2.7
- 1.00 G
- Even strength
- 5 G1.9
- 0.71 G
- Power play
- 0 G0.8
- 0.10 G
- Shorthanded
- 0 G0.0
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 70 unblocked attempts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 1.81 – 2.67
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 28
- Shots on goal
- 23
- 50%
- Faceoffs
- 50%
- 1/3
- Power play
- 0/3
- 18
- Penalty minutes
- 18
- 9
- Hits
- 12
- 9
- Blocked shots
- 21
- 9
- Giveaways
- 10
- 3
- Takeaways
- 7
Box score
every player line
Season series
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
