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Kings at Wild
NHL

Los Angeles Kings at Minnesota Wild

NHL scoreboard
Los Angeles Kings
3
Minnesota Wild
▸6
FinalTV BSWIX, BSNX·Xcel Energy Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Minnesota Wild beat the Los Angeles Kings 6-3. The Wild came back from three goals down. The Wild led 5-3 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Mats Zuccarello's goal at 9:46 of the second period, which took the Wild's chances from 53% to 71%. Expected goals were close — LAK 2.8, MIN 2.6; shots on goal were LAK 34, MIN 33. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Kings win a replay of these chances 53% of the time. Cal Petersen stopped 27 of 33 (.818), 3.4 goals below expected; Marc-Andre Fleury stopped 31 of 34 (.912). Three stars: 1. Jared Spurgeon (1 G, 1 A), 2. Matt Boldy (1 G, 1 A), 3. Jake Middleton (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    MIN
    J. Spurgeon1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    MIN
    M. Boldy1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    MIN
    J. Middleton2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
LAKLAK31101607334
MINMIN210313110633

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. LAK
    R. Kupari(5)SHG
    T. Moore (30)
    wristxG 0.22win prob +13 pts
    1-0
    1:33
  2. LAK
    C. Grundstrom(9)
    Unassisted
    backhandxG 0.08win prob +15 pts
    2-0
    8:22
  3. LAK
    A. Kempe(32)PPG
    S. Durzi (23), P. Danault (23)
    slapxG 0.02win prob +9 pts
    3-0
    10:17
  4. MIN
    K. Kaprizov(42)PPG
    M. Boldy (16), J. Spurgeon (29)
    deflectedxG 0.18win prob +9 pts
    3-1
    16:04
  5. MIN
    M. Boldy(13)
    K. Fiala (39), J. Middleton (7)
    slapxG 0.08win prob +16 pts
    3-2
    16:54

2nd period

  1. MIN
    J. Spurgeon(7)
    Unassisted
    backhandxG 0.11win prob +16 pts
    3-3
    1:39
  2. MIN
    M. Zuccarello(22)
    R. Hartman (27)
    wristxG 0.05win prob +18 pts
    3-4
    9:46
  3. MIN
    M. Foligno(21)
    J. Benn (4), J. Greenway (15)
    tip-inxG 0.04win prob +16 pts
    3-5
    13:59

3rd period

  1. MIN
    N. Bjugstad(6)
    J. Middleton (8)
    wristxG 0.04win prob +6 pts
    3-6
    3:16

Penalties

LAK 11 PIM·MIN 11 PIM

1st

  • 0:28LAKTroy Stecher · Trippingdrawn by Kevin Fiala2 min
  • 9:31MINJonas Brodin · Holdingdrawn by Alex Iafallo2 min
  • 15:49LAKCal Petersen · Trippingdrawn by Mats Zuccarello2 min

2nd

  • 14:41MINMats Zuccarello · Trippingdrawn by Phillip Danault2 min
  • 17:22MINserved by M. Zuccarello · Too many men on the ice2 min

3rd

  • 3:16LAKBrendan Lemieux · Fightingdrawn by Brandon Duhaime5 min
  • 3:16MINBrandon Duhaime · Fightingdrawn by Brendan Lemieux5 min
  • 13:26LAKBrendan Lemieux · Trippingdrawn by Dmitry Kulikov2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
MIN goalLAK goalFinal: MIN 100%

Biggest swing: Mats Zuccarello, 2nd 9:46 — MIN 53% → 71%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Boldy · On goal · xG 0.28F. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.20K. Kaprizov · Goal · xG 0.18K. Kaprizov · On goal · xG 0.14M. Zuccarello · On goal · xG 0.12M. Zuccarello · On goal · xG 0.12M. Boldy · On goal · xG 0.12J. Spurgeon · Goal · xG 0.11K. Kaprizov · On goal · xG 0.09J. Middleton · On goal · xG 0.08T. Jost · On goal · xG 0.08M. Boldy · Goal · xG 0.08B. Duhaime · On goal · xG 0.07F. Gaudreau · Missed · xG 0.07J. Middleton · Missed · xG 0.07M. Boldy · On goal · xG 0.07N. Bjugstad · Missed · xG 0.05B. Duhaime · On goal · xG 0.05A. Goligoski · On goal · xG 0.05M. Zuccarello · Goal · xG 0.05A. Goligoski · On goal · xG 0.05N. Bjugstad · Goal · xG 0.04M. Foligno · Goal · xG 0.04J. Benn · On goal · xG 0.04J. Brodin · On goal · xG 0.04D. Kulikov · On goal · xG 0.04M. Foligno · Missed · xG 0.03A. Goligoski · On goal · xG 0.03J. Spurgeon · On goal · xG 0.03T. Jost · Missed · xG 0.03M. Foligno · On goal · xG 0.03J. Eriksson Ek · On goal · xG 0.02K. Fiala · On goal · xG 0.02M. Boldy · On goal · xG 0.02J. Greenway · On goal · xG 0.02K. Fiala · Missed · xG 0.02K. Kaprizov · On goal · xG 0.02N. Bjugstad · On goal · xG 0.01J. Greenway · On goal · xG 0.01
MIN6 G · 2.6 xG · 39 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

LAKvsMIN
2.83 G
All situations
6 G2.6
1.61 G
Even strength
5 G2.3
1.01 G
Power play
1 G0.3
0.21 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 89 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
LAK53%47%MIN

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.78 – 2.58

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

LAKvsMIN
34
Shots on goal
33
44%
Faceoffs
56%
1/3
Power play
1/3
11
Penalty minutes
11
25
Hits
11
14
Blocked shots
15
1
Giveaways
5
9
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Los Angeles Kings skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
3M. RoyD000-110.03210—22:31
50S. DurziD011-230.11020—21:24
53J. SpenceD000+110.10110—21:04
51T. StecherD000-220.02212—20:51
11A. KopitarC000-310.070205618:57
24P. DanaultC011-110.151004718:23
9A. KempeR101-250.29210—17:24
33V. ArvidssonL000-160.40110—17:07
19A. IafalloL000-230.47000—17:01
6O. MaattaD000000.00230—17:00
12T. MooreL011+120.41200—15:58
13G. VilardiC000030.22110015:10
55Q. ByfieldR000010.090004314:50
7T. BjornfotD000-210.09000—12:49
89R. KupariC101020.26300012:31
91C. GrundstromR101010.08210—12:14
48B. LemieuxL000-200.00407—10:28
46B. LizotteC000010.062004310:03
Los Angeles Kings goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
40C. Petersen(L)33276.8182.63-3.3760:00

Season series

MIN leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).