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Minnesota Wild at Los Angeles Kings

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Recap

written from the game data

The Los Angeles Kings beat the Minnesota Wild 2-1. The Wild scored first; the Kings answered. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Brendan Lemieux's goal at 9:15 of the third period, which took the Kings' chances from 52% to 82%. Expected goals favored the Kings, 3.7 to 2.5; shots on goal were MIN 31, LAK 37. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Kings win a replay of these chances 69% of the time. Kaapo Kahkonen stopped 35 of 37 (.946), 1.7 goals saved above expected; Jonathan Quick stopped 30 of 31 (.968), 1.5 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Jonathan Quick (30 saves, .968), 2. Phillip Danault (1 G), 3. Drew Doughty (1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    LAK
    J. Quick30 saves, .968
  2. ★★
    LAK
    P. Danault1 G
  3. ★★★
    LAK
    D. Doughty1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
MINMIN0818015131
LAKLAK013112112237

Scoring

3 goals

2nd period

  1. MIN
    M. Foligno(12)PPG
    M. Dumba (11), K. Fiala (14)
    tip-inxG 0.09win prob +20 pts
    1-0
    13:11
  2. LAK
    wristxG 0.06win prob +21 pts
    1-1
    14:29

3rd period

  1. LAK
    slapxG 0.14win prob +30 pts
    1-2
    9:15

Penalties

MIN 10 PIM·LAK 4 PIM

1st

  • 2:57MINKirill Kaprizov · Hookingdrawn by Drew Doughty2 min
  • 7:37MINJoel Eriksson Ek · Slashingdrawn by Sean Durzi2 min
  • 16:10MINKaapo Kahkonen · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

2nd

  • 2:45LAKDrew Doughty · Interferencedrawn by Brandon Duhaime2 min
  • 5:15MINAlex Goligoski · Slashingdrawn by Adrian Kempe2 min
  • 11:14LAKDrew Doughty · Interferencedrawn by Kevin Fiala2 min

3rd

  • 2:31MINMathew Dumba · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
LAK goalMIN goalFinal: LAK 100%

Biggest swing: Brendan Lemieux, 3rd 9:15 — LAK 52% → 82%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
V. Arvidsson · On goal · xG 0.22P. Danault · On goal · xG 0.19P. Danault · On goal · xG 0.16P. Danault · On goal · xG 0.15B. Lemieux · Goal · xG 0.15V. Arvidsson · On goal · xG 0.14A. Kopitar · On goal · xG 0.14A. Kempe · On goal · xG 0.14R. Kupari · Missed · xG 0.14V. Arvidsson · On goal · xG 0.13C. Grundstrom · On goal · xG 0.13A. Kempe · On goal · xG 0.12P. Danault · On goal · xG 0.12A. Kopitar · Missed · xG 0.11P. Danault · On goal · xG 0.10A. Kopitar · On goal · xG 0.09A. Kempe · On goal · xG 0.09T. Moore · Missed · xG 0.09A. Athanasiou · On goal · xG 0.08D. Doughty · On goal · xG 0.08T. Moore · Missed · xG 0.08A. Kopitar · Missed · xG 0.08P. Danault · Missed · xG 0.07A. Kopitar · Missed · xG 0.06V. Arvidsson · Missed · xG 0.06A. Athanasiou · On goal · xG 0.06P. Danault · Goal · xG 0.06C. Grundstrom · On goal · xG 0.05S. Durzi · On goal · xG 0.05T. Moore · On goal · xG 0.04D. Doughty · On goal · xG 0.04A. Kempe · Missed · xG 0.04S. Durzi · On goal · xG 0.03T. Moore · Missed · xG 0.03A. Kaliyev · Missed · xG 0.02A. Kaliyev · On goal · xG 0.02S. Durzi · Missed · xG 0.02V. Arvidsson · On goal · xG 0.02S. Durzi · On goal · xG 0.02A. Kaliyev · On goal · xG 0.02V. Arvidsson · On goal · xG 0.02P. Danault · On goal · xG 0.02M. Roy · Missed · xG 0.02M. Anderson · Missed · xG 0.02A. Athanasiou · Missed · xG 0.02D. Brown · Missed · xG 0.02A. Kopitar · On goal · xG 0.01M. Roy · On goal · xG 0.01D. Doughty · On goal · xG 0.01V. Arvidsson · Missed · xG 0.01A. Kempe · Missed · xG 0.01M. Anderson · Missed · xG 0.01D. Doughty · On goal · xG 0.01A. Kempe · On goal · xG 0.01T. Moore · Missed · xG 0.01T. Bjornfot · On goal · xG 0.01S. Durzi · On goal · xG 0.00V. Arvidsson · Missed · xG 0.00
LAK2 G · 3.7 xG · 58 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

MINvsLAK
2.51 G
All situations
2 G3.7
1.50 G
Even strength
2 G2.6
1.01 G
Power play
0 G1.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 100 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
MIN31%69%LAK

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.46 – 3.62

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

MINvsLAK
31
Shots on goal
37
36%
Faceoffs
64%
1/2
Power play
0/5
10
Penalty minutes
4
30
Hits
20
27
Blocked shots
8
7
Giveaways
5
0
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
Minnesota Wild skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
47A. GoligoskiD000030.05032—22:57
46J. SpurgeonD000010.01110—22:17
29D. KulikovD000010.10110—19:15
38R. HartmanR000050.201103319:12
97K. KaprizovL000050.54212—19:04
36M. ZuccarelloR000030.31110—18:39
4J. MerrillD000-200.00280—18:37
24M. DumbaD011-210.03322—18:19
14J. Eriksson EkC000060.673022817:39
22K. FialaL011-110.14000—16:20
17M. FolignoL101020.11330—16:13
8J. BennD000000.08110—15:11
18J. GreenwayL000010.083205015:10
21B. DuhaimeL000-100.0630010014:30
49V. RaskC000-100.071104412:54
7N. SturmC000-110.031004011:15
58M. ShawC000-110.021105007:10
27N. BjugstadC000-100.003102007:06
Minnesota Wild goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
34K. Kahkonen(L)37352.9463.66+1.6658:12

Season series

MIN leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).