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Ducks at Flyers
NHL

Anaheim Ducks at Philadelphia Flyers

NHL scoreboard
Anaheim Ducks
▸5
Philadelphia Flyers
3
FinalTV NBCSP, KCOP-13·Wells Fargo Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Anaheim Ducks beat the Philadelphia Flyers 5-3. The Ducks came back from two goals down. The Ducks led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Trevor Zegras's goal at 11:38 of the third period, which took the Ducks' chances from 48% to 83%. Expected goals favored the Ducks, 3.1 to 1.8; shots on goal were ANA 34, PHI 33. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Ducks win a replay of these chances 62% of the time. Anthony Stolarz stopped 30 of 33 (.909), 1.2 goals below expected; Martin Jones stopped 29 of 34 (.853), 2.6 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Trevor Zegras (2 G), 2. Ronnie Attard (1 G), 3. Jamie Drysdale (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    ANA
    T. Zegras2 G
  2. ★★
    PHI
    R. Attard1 G
  3. ★★★
    ANA
    J. Drysdale2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
ANAANA06317211534
PHIPHI21604113333

Scoring

8 goals

1st period

  1. PHI
    T. Sanheim(7)
    M. Frost (9), T. Konecny (32)
    snapxG 0.04win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    1:39
  2. PHI
    R. Attard(1)
    H. Hodgson (2), S. Laughton (18)
    wristxG 0.02win prob +13 pts
    0-2
    2:28

2nd period

  1. ANA
    S. Milano(13)
    J. Drysdale (25), C. Fowler (30)
    wristxG 0.25win prob +15 pts
    1-2
    3:06
  2. ANA
    Z. Aston-Reese(4)
    A. Henrique (20), A. Sustr (2)
    tip-inxG 0.10win prob +17 pts
    2-2
    4:38
  3. ANA
    T. Zegras(19)PPG
    U. Vaakanainen (6), J. Drysdale (26)
    slapxG 0.03win prob +20 pts
    3-2
    14:13

3rd period

  1. PHI
    I. Provorov(8)
    N. Thompson (2), C. York (7)
    snapxG 0.13win prob +26 pts
    3-3
    3:53
  2. ANA
    T. Zegras(20)
    D. Grant (10)
    backhandxG 0.06win prob +34 pts
    4-3
    11:38
  3. ANA
    D. Grant(13)
    A. Sustr (3), D. Simon (8)
    tip-inxG 0.07win prob +12 pts
    5-3
    14:33

Penalties

ANA 4 PIM·PHI 4 PIM

1st

  • 4:11ANAMaxime Comtois · Trippingdrawn by Patrick Brown2 min
  • 8:16ANAJamie Drysdale · High stickingdrawn by Oskar Lindblom2 min

2nd

  • 12:30PHIScott Laughton · Slashingdrawn by Gerry Mayhew2 min

3rd

  • 11:53PHIRonnie Attard · Interferencedrawn by Trevor Zegras2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
PHI goalANA goalFinal: PHI 0%

Biggest swing: Trevor Zegras, 3rd 11:38 — ANA 48% → 83%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
T. Konecny · On goal · xG 0.19O. Tippett · Missed · xG 0.15I. Provorov · Goal · xG 0.13N. Cates · On goal · xG 0.10O. Tippett · Missed · xG 0.10C. York · On goal · xG 0.09T. Sanheim · On goal · xG 0.08J. van Riemsdyk · On goal · xG 0.06T. Konecny · Missed · xG 0.06T. Konecny · On goal · xG 0.05N. Thompson · On goal · xG 0.04K. Hayes · On goal · xG 0.04N. Thompson · On goal · xG 0.04T. Sanheim · Goal · xG 0.04O. Tippett · On goal · xG 0.04I. Provorov · On goal · xG 0.04K. Hayes · On goal · xG 0.03R. Attard · On goal · xG 0.03R. Attard · On goal · xG 0.03O. Tippett · Missed · xG 0.03O. Tippett · On goal · xG 0.03K. Hayes · On goal · xG 0.03C. York · On goal · xG 0.03N. Thompson · On goal · xG 0.03T. Konecny · On goal · xG 0.03K. Hayes · On goal · xG 0.03N. Thompson · On goal · xG 0.02K. Connauton · On goal · xG 0.02T. Konecny · On goal · xG 0.02R. Attard · Goal · xG 0.02T. Sanheim · On goal · xG 0.02T. Sanheim · Missed · xG 0.02I. Provorov · Missed · xG 0.02I. Provorov · On goal · xG 0.02R. Attard · Missed · xG 0.02M. Frost · On goal · xG 0.01S. Laughton · On goal · xG 0.01K. Hayes · Missed · xG 0.01N. Thompson · On goal · xG 0.01R. Ristolainen · On goal · xG 0.00O. Lindblom · Missed · xG 0.00M. Frost · On goal · xG 0.00
PHI3 G · 1.8 xG · 42 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

ANAvsPHI
3.15 G
All situations
3 G1.8
2.24 G
Even strength
3 G1.3
0.21 G
Power play
0 G0.5

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 90 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
ANA62%38%PHI

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.36 – 1.77

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

ANAvsPHI
34
Shots on goal
33
43%
Faceoffs
57%
1/2
Power play
0/2
4
Penalty minutes
4
24
Hits
22
14
Blocked shots
17
7
Giveaways
16
8
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Anaheim Ducks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
4C. FowlerD011010.07020—25:07
22K. ShattenkirkD000-150.11210—22:31
12S. MilanoL101+120.28010—20:57
34J. DrysdaleD022030.39202—20:51
19T. TerryR000+130.85010—20:34
5U. VaakanainenD011-110.03100—19:55
46T. ZegrasC202+120.122104018:54
14A. HenriqueC011010.211105017:03
92A. SustrD022+220.03110—16:52
21I. LundestromC000020.230103816:35
86S. BenoitD000+220.03210—15:06
38D. GrantC112+120.200104214:44
51D. SimonC011+140.2120010013:02
16Z. Aston-ReeseL101+110.10200—12:59
26G. MayhewC000010.20200012:54
39S. CarrickC000-110.053103011:18
23S. SteelC000-100.001006709:04
44M. ComtoisL000-110.02322—07:34
Anaheim Ducks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
41A. Stolarz(W)33303.9091.77-1.2360:00

Season series

ANA leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).