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Philadelphia Flyers at Anaheim Ducks

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Recap

written from the game data

The Anaheim Ducks beat the Philadelphia Flyers 4-1. The Ducks scored first and never trailed. The Ducks led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Cam Atkinson's goal at 18:42 of the first period, which took the Flyers' chances from 17% to 32%. Expected goals were close — PHI 3.0, ANA 2.8; shots on goal were PHI 29, ANA 30. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Flyers win a replay of these chances 67% of the time. Carter Hart stopped 26 of 29 (.897), 1.0 goals below expected; John Gibson stopped 28 of 29 (.966), 2.0 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Troy Terry (3 G), 2. John Gibson (28 saves, .966), 3. Cam Fowler.

Three stars

  1. ★
    ANA
    T. Terry3 G
  2. ★★
    ANA
    J. Gibson28 saves, .966
  3. ★★★
    ANA
    C. Fowler

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
PHIPHI1509015129
ANAANA2919112430

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. ANA
    tip-inxG 0.05win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    3:21
  2. ANA
    backhandxG 0.14win prob +14 pts
    0-2
    9:41
  3. PHI
    tip-inxG 0.06win prob +14 pts
    1-2
    18:42

2nd period

  1. ANA
    S. Milano(9)PPG
    wristxG 0.12win prob +12 pts
    1-3
    17:49

3rd period

  1. ANA
    T. Terry(21)EN
    wristxG 0.50
    1-4
    19:11

Penalties

PHI 12 PIM·ANA 6 PIM

2nd

  • 6:07PHITravis Sanheim · Cross checkingdrawn by Buddy Robinson2 min
  • 6:48ANACam Fowler · Interferencedrawn by Joel Farabee2 min
  • 16:46PHIMorgan Frost · Interference goalkeeperdrawn by John Gibson2 min
  • 17:49PHIserved by Z. MacEwen · Delaying game unsuccessful challenge2 min

3rd

  • 11:56ANAMaxime Comtois · Roughingdrawn by Rasmus Ristolainen2 min
  • 11:56PHIRasmus Ristolainen · Roughingdrawn by Maxime Comtois2 min
  • 15:49ANAHampus Lindholm · Roughingdrawn by Travis Konecny2 min
  • 15:49PHITravis Konecny · Embellishmentdrawn by Hampus Lindholm2 min
  • 17:42PHIKeith Yandle · Trippingdrawn by Isac Lundeström2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
ANA goalPHI goalFinal: ANA 100%

Biggest swing: Cam Atkinson, 1st 18:42 — PHI 17% → 32%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
T. Terry · Goal · xG 0.50C. Fowler · Missed · xG 0.26V. Lettieri · On goal · xG 0.16I. Lundeström · On goal · xG 0.16T. Terry · Goal · xG 0.14R. Rakell · On goal · xG 0.13S. Milano · Goal · xG 0.12M. Comtois · On goal · xG 0.10S. Milano · On goal · xG 0.08V. Lettieri · Missed · xG 0.08V. Lettieri · On goal · xG 0.08S. Steel · On goal · xG 0.07S. Steel · On goal · xG 0.07J. Silfverberg · Missed · xG 0.06T. Terry · On goal · xG 0.06M. Comtois · On goal · xG 0.06J. Silfverberg · On goal · xG 0.05T. Terry · Goal · xG 0.05S. Benoit · Missed · xG 0.05B. Kindopp · On goal · xG 0.05V. Lettieri · On goal · xG 0.04I. Lundeström · On goal · xG 0.04S. Milano · Missed · xG 0.04J. Silfverberg · Missed · xG 0.03H. Lindholm · Missed · xG 0.03B. Kindopp · On goal · xG 0.03S. Benoit · On goal · xG 0.03H. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.03C. Fowler · Missed · xG 0.03S. Steel · On goal · xG 0.02R. Rakell · On goal · xG 0.02S. Benoit · On goal · xG 0.02J. Silfverberg · On goal · xG 0.02S. Steel · Missed · xG 0.01J. Drysdale · Missed · xG 0.01J. Silfverberg · On goal · xG 0.01B. Groulx · On goal · xG 0.01V. Lettieri · On goal · xG 0.00I. Lundeström · On goal · xG 0.00H. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.00
ANA4 G · 2.8 xG · 40 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

PHIvsANA
3.01 G
All situations
3 G2.8
2.31 G
Even strength
2 G1.6
0.50 G
Power play
1 G0.4
0.20 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 85 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
PHI67%33%ANA

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.92 – 1.99

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

PHIvsANA
29
Shots on goal
30
52%
Faceoffs
48%
0/1
Power play
2/4
12
Penalty minutes
6
24
Hits
16
18
Blocked shots
14
8
Giveaways
10
1
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Philadelphia Flyers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
6T. SanheimD000-100.00022—24:15
70R. RistolainenD000-120.20432—24:14
61J. BraunD000020.04220—21:00
45C. YorkD000020.07320—20:20
86J. FarabeeL011030.37400—19:15
11T. KonecnyR000-150.62212—18:54
89C. AtkinsonR101020.14020—17:58
21S. LaughtonC011000.181004716:20
48M. FrostC000-110.021123815:31
23O. LindblomL000-100.13010—14:58
3K. YandleD000010.02012—14:43
25J. van RiemsdykL000020.60000—14:34
8K. ConnautonD000000.00210—13:53
13K. HayesR000050.140006213:11
38P. BrownC000010.081107312:26
20G. MayhewC000010.2511010011:08
71M. WillmanC000010.06000010:06
17Z. MacEwenR000010.0430010009:16
Philadelphia Flyers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
79C. Hart(L)29263.8972.00-1.0057:26

Season series

ANA leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).