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Senators at Canadiens
NHL

Ottawa Senators at Montréal Canadiens

NHL scoreboard
Ottawa Senators
▸6
Montréal Canadiens
3
FinalTV TSN2, TSN5·Centre Bell

Recap

written from the game data

The Ottawa Senators beat the Montréal Canadiens 6-3. The lead changed hands 3 times. It was tied 3-3 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Drake Batherson's goal at 0:29 of the third period, which took the Senators' chances from 50% to 72%. Expected goals favored the Senators, 4.0 to 2.6; shots on goal were OTT 32, MTL 30. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Senators win a replay of these chances 64% of the time. Anton Forsberg stopped 27 of 30 (.900); Jake Allen stopped 26 of 31 (.839), 1.4 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Brady Tkachuk (1 G, 2 A), 2. Justin Barron (1 G), 3. Drake Batherson (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    OTT
    B. Tkachuk1 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    MTL
    J. Barron1 G
  3. ★★★
    OTT
    D. Batherson1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
OTTOTT11129312632
MTLMTL11121108330

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. MTL
    B. Gallagher(6)
    J. Evans (13)
    wristxG 0.18win prob +11 pts
    0-1
    2:31
  2. OTT
    A. Watson(5)
    Unassisted
    slapxG 0.19win prob +14 pts
    1-1
    15:20

2nd period

  1. OTT
    T. Stützle(15)PPG
    B. Tkachuk (27), J. Norris (14)
    backhandxG 0.12win prob +13 pts
    2-1
    7:18
  2. MTL
    J. Barron(1)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.01win prob +18 pts
    2-2
    7:49
  3. OTT
    B. Tkachuk(24)
    M. Joseph (16), M. Del Zotto (8)
    wristxG 0.14win prob +21 pts
    3-2
    14:20
  4. MTL
    C. Caufield(16)PPG
    M. Hoffman (15), B. Gallagher (10)
    wristxG 0.08win prob +17 pts
    3-3
    16:25

3rd period

  1. OTT
    D. Batherson(14)PPG
    B. Tkachuk (28), J. Norris (15)
    tip-inxG 0.14win prob +22 pts
    4-3
    0:29
  2. OTT
    C. White(3)
    D. Batherson (24), N. Holden (12)
    wristxG 0.05win prob +14 pts
    5-3
    11:30
  3. OTT
    A. Watson(6)EN
    M. Joseph (17), E. Brannstrom (9)
    backhandxG 0.39win prob +1 pts
    6-3
    15:56

Penalties

OTT 16 PIM·MTL 28 PIM

1st

  • 2:31OTTserved by B. Tkachuk · Delaying game unsuccessful challenge2 min
  • 12:13MTLDavid Savard · Interferencedrawn by Colin White2 min

2nd

  • 7:12MTLCole Caufield · Interferencedrawn by Mathieu Joseph2 min
  • 15:40OTTConnor Brown · High stickingdrawn by Jordan Harris2 min
  • 18:48MTLNick Suzuki · Kneeingdrawn by Tim Stützle2 min

3rd

  • 12:03OTTTravis Hamonic · Trippingdrawn by Joel Armia2 min
  • 19:00MTLBrendan Gallagher · Roughingdrawn by Tim Stützle2 min
  • 19:00MTLBrendan Gallagher · Misconduct10 min
  • 19:00MTLJoel Edmundson · Misconduct10 min
  • 19:00OTTDrake Batherson · Misconduct10 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
MTL goalOTT goalFinal: MTL 0%

Biggest swing: Drake Batherson, 3rd 0:29 — OTT 50% → 72%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
R. Poehling · On goal · xG 0.27B. Gallagher · Goal · xG 0.19C. Caufield · On goal · xG 0.17J. Armia · On goal · xG 0.17M. Hoffman · Missed · xG 0.16J. Evans · Missed · xG 0.13M. Hoffman · Missed · xG 0.10J. Ylonen · On goal · xG 0.10J. Armia · Missed · xG 0.10N. Suzuki · Missed · xG 0.10R. Poehling · Missed · xG 0.09J. Harris · On goal · xG 0.09J. Evans · On goal · xG 0.09J. Evans · On goal · xG 0.09C. Caufield · Goal · xG 0.08A. Romanov · On goal · xG 0.07J. Ylonen · On goal · xG 0.06J. Ylonen · On goal · xG 0.05M. Hoffman · On goal · xG 0.05J. Ylonen · Missed · xG 0.05B. Gallagher · On goal · xG 0.04J. Anderson · Missed · xG 0.04J. Harris · On goal · xG 0.04J. Barron · On goal · xG 0.03D. Savard · On goal · xG 0.03J. Barron · On goal · xG 0.02D. Savard · On goal · xG 0.02C. Schueneman · Missed · xG 0.02J. Barron · On goal · xG 0.02J. Armia · Missed · xG 0.02J. Barron · On goal · xG 0.02J. Ylonen · On goal · xG 0.02J. Barron · Goal · xG 0.01J. Edmundson · On goal · xG 0.01J. Evans · On goal · xG 0.01C. Dvorak · On goal · xG 0.01R. Poehling · On goal · xG 0.01M. Hoffman · On goal · xG 0.00M. Hoffman · On goal · xG 0.00C. Schueneman · On goal · xG 0.00
MTL3 G · 2.6 xG · 40 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

OTTvsMTL
4.05 G
All situations
3 G2.6
2.53 G
Even strength
2 G2.2
1.12 G
Power play
1 G0.4

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 81 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
OTT64%36%MTL

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.44 – 2.58

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

OTTvsMTL
32
Shots on goal
30
51%
Faceoffs
49%
2/4
Power play
1/3
16
Penalty minutes
28
30
Hits
15
14
Blocked shots
11
19
Giveaways
21
3
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Ottawa Senators skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
22N. ZaitsevD000000.00110—20:23
23T. HamonicD000+120.08302—19:53
5N. HoldenD011+110.00120—19:14
15M. Del ZottoD011+200.00000—18:59
26E. BrannstromD011010.03030—18:58
2A. ZubD000000.01100—18:34
28C. BrownR000030.510026718:25
18T. StützleC101020.204203817:56
9J. NorrisC022+150.680103317:47
21M. JosephR022+200.0012010017:13
7B. TkachukL123+130.322004016:42
19D. BathersonR112+140.572110—15:25
36C. WhiteC101040.290105015:13
10A. FormentonL000-110.11100—14:36
45P. KellyC000-120.57110013:58
17A. GaudetteR000+210.00300—11:41
27D. GambrellC000+100.005008010:29
16A. WatsonL202+130.59500—10:03
Ottawa Senators goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31A. Forsberg(W)30273.9002.61-0.3959:46

Season series

Tied 2-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).