Ottawa Senators at Montréal Canadiens
Recap
written from the game dataThe Montréal Canadiens beat the Ottawa Senators 5-1. The Canadiens scored first and never trailed. The Canadiens led 4-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Paul Byron's goal at 2:42 of the second period, which took the Canadiens' chances from 53% to 69%. Expected goals favored the Senators, 2.7 to 2.2; shots on goal were OTT 30, MTL 27. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Senators win a replay of these chances 61% of the time. Filip Gustavsson stopped 22 of 27 (.815), 2.8 goals below expected; Jake Allen stopped 29 of 30 (.967), 1.7 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Jake Evans (1 G, 1 A), 2. Joel Armia (1 G), 3. Jake Allen (29 saves, .967).
Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
6 goals1st period
0-116:32
1-118:51
2nd period
1-22:42
1-34:23
1-419:27
3rd period
1-58:14
Penalties
1st
- 7:34
Jeff Petry · Trippingdrawn by Victor Mete2 min
- 13:50
Tyler Ennis · Slashingdrawn by Corey Schueneman2 min
- 17:01
Jeff Petry · Hookingdrawn by Tim Stützle2 min
2nd
- 18:02
Brady Tkachuk · Holdingdrawn by Rem Pitlick2 min
- 19:06
Josh Norris · Unsportsmanlike conductdrawn by Chris Wideman2 min
- 19:06
Chris Wideman · Unsportsmanlike conductdrawn by Josh Norris2 min
3rd
- 20:00
Rem Pitlick · Cross checkingdrawn by Tyler Ennis2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Paul Byron, 2nd 2:42 — 53% → 69%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 2.71 G
- All situations
- 5 G2.2
- 2.10 G
- Even strength
- 4 G1.7
- 0.71 G
- Power play
- 1 G0.5
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 77 unblocked attempts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 2.73 – 2.16
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 30
- Shots on goal
- 27
- 34%
- Faceoffs
- 66%
- 1/2
- Power play
- 1/2
- 6
- Penalty minutes
- 8
- 32
- Hits
- 25
- 15
- Blocked shots
- 26
- 11
- Giveaways
- 24
- 1
- Takeaways
- 11
Box score
every player line
Season series
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
