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Dallas Stars at Seattle Kraken

FinalTV BSSW, ROOT-NW·Climate Pledge Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Seattle Kraken beat the Dallas Stars 4-1. The Kraken scored first and never trailed. The Kraken led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Ryan Donato's goal at 4:53 of the third period, which took the Kraken's chances from 78% to 93%. Expected goals were close — DAL 2.7, SEA 2.9; shots on goal were DAL 30, SEA 29. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Stars win a replay of these chances 54% of the time. Jake Oettinger stopped 25 of 28 (.893), 0.6 goals below expected; Chris Driedger stopped 29 of 30 (.967), 1.7 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Chris Driedger (29 saves, .967), 2. Ryan Donato (1 G), 3. Jared McCann (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    SEA
    C. Driedger29 saves, .967
  2. ★★
    SEA
    R. Donato1 G
  3. ★★★
    SEA
    J. McCann1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
DALDAL06010114130
SEASEA1801536429

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. SEA
    J. McCann(25)SHG
    snapxG 0.07win prob +14 pts
    0-1
    3:55

3rd period

  1. SEA
    wristxG 0.05win prob +15 pts
    0-2
    4:53
  2. DAL
    J. Benn (23), J. Hanley (3)
    wristxG 0.05win prob +9 pts
    1-2
    14:25
  3. SEA
    wristxG 0.12win prob +7 pts
    1-3
    17:47
  4. SEA
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.43
    1-4
    19:19

Penalties

DAL 2 PIM·SEA 6 PIM

1st

  • 2:22SEAKole Lind · Trippingdrawn by Michael Raffl2 min

2nd

  • 12:22SEAAdam Larsson · Interferencedrawn by Joe Pavelski2 min

3rd

  • 12:31SEAJamie Oleksiak · Hookingdrawn by Tyler Seguin2 min
  • 12:52DALJason Robertson · Interferencedrawn by Carson Soucy2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
SEA goalDAL goalFinal: SEA 100%

Biggest swing: Ryan Donato, 3rd 4:53 — SEA 78% → 93%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
K. Kuhlman · Goal · xG 0.43R. Sheahan · On goal · xG 0.19J. Donskoi · On goal · xG 0.18D. Sprong · On goal · xG 0.17J. Donskoi · On goal · xG 0.15Y. Gourde · On goal · xG 0.15Y. Gourde · Missed · xG 0.13Y. Gourde · Goal · xG 0.12D. Pouliot · Missed · xG 0.11J. Oleksiak · On goal · xG 0.10J. McCann · Missed · xG 0.10D. Sprong · On goal · xG 0.09K. Kuhlman · On goal · xG 0.09R. Donato · Missed · xG 0.09V. Dunn · On goal · xG 0.08K. Lind · On goal · xG 0.08R. Donato · On goal · xG 0.07J. McCann · Goal · xG 0.07J. McCann · On goal · xG 0.05R. Donato · Goal · xG 0.05D. Sprong · On goal · xG 0.05R. Donato · On goal · xG 0.03J. Oleksiak · Missed · xG 0.03R. Donato · Missed · xG 0.03J. Eberle · Missed · xG 0.03K. Lind · On goal · xG 0.02J. Oleksiak · Missed · xG 0.02Y. Gourde · On goal · xG 0.02V. Rask · Missed · xG 0.02J. Eberle · On goal · xG 0.02D. Pouliot · On goal · xG 0.02V. Dunn · On goal · xG 0.02V. Dunn · On goal · xG 0.01M. Geekie · Missed · xG 0.01J. Oleksiak · On goal · xG 0.01A. Larsson · Missed · xG 0.01V. Dunn · Missed · xG 0.01A. Larsson · On goal · xG 0.01W. Borgen · Missed · xG 0.01W. Borgen · On goal · xG 0.01C. Soucy · On goal · xG 0.00J. Eberle · On goal · xG 0.00
SEA4 G · 2.9 xG · 42 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

DALvsSEA
2.71 G
All situations
3 G2.9
2.71 G
Even strength
2 G2.0
0.00 G
Power play
0 G0.0
0.00 G
Shorthanded
1 G0.4

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 88 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
DAL54%46%SEA

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.64 – 2.43

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

DALvsSEA
30
Shots on goal
29
59%
Faceoffs
41%
0/3
Power play
0/1
2
Penalty minutes
6
24
Hits
22
8
Blocked shots
14
3
Giveaways
8
0
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
Dallas Stars skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
4M. HeiskanenD000-220.26100—26:20
3J. KlingbergD101-130.10000—24:20
20R. SuterD000-320.02110—22:33
55T. HarleyD000010.11110—19:33
16J. PavelskiC000-140.651003618:48
21J. RobertsonL000-230.38012—18:26
14J. BennL011-120.101005717:30
91T. SeguinC000-340.162005417:20
34D. GurianovR000-210.15210—17:10
24R. HintzC000-120.280006016:54
11L. GlendeningC000020.014008614:37
44J. HanleyD011010.01400—13:44
40J. PetersonC000-110.09010013:19
92V. NamestnikovC000000.041005012:55
18M. RafflL000010.10210—12:31
12R. FaksaC000000.1020010012:30
5A. SekeraD000000.00020—11:47
25J. KivirantaL000010.12200—08:55
Dallas Stars goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
29J. Oettinger(L)28253.8932.45-0.5558:48

Season series

DAL leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).