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Kraken at Stars
NHL

Seattle Kraken at Dallas Stars

NHL scoreboard
Seattle Kraken
2
Dallas Stars
▸5
FinalTV BSSW+, ROOT-NW·American Airlines Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Dallas Stars beat the Seattle Kraken 5-2. The Stars scored first and never trailed. The Stars led 4-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Joe Pavelski's goal at 18:37 of the second period, which took the Stars' chances from 74% to 90%. Expected goals favored the Kraken, 2.7 to 2.4; shots on goal were SEA 25, DAL 25. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Kraken win a replay of these chances 63% of the time. Philipp Grubauer stopped 20 of 24 (.833), 2.0 goals below expected; Jake Oettinger stopped 23 of 25 (.920), 0.7 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Joe Pavelski (2 G, 3 A), 2. Roope Hintz (1 G, 2 A), 3. Esa Lindell (1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    DAL
    J. Pavelski2 G, 3 A
  2. ★★
    DAL
    R. Hintz1 G, 2 A
  3. ★★★
    DAL
    E. Lindell1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
SEASEA1516014225
DALDAL3101817525

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. DAL
    R. Hintz(14)
    J. Robertson (19), J. Pavelski (18)
    deflectedxG 0.13win prob +11 pts
    0-1
    0:50
  2. SEA
    C. Jarnkrok(5)PPG
    M. Johansson (6), J. McCann (8)
    snapxG 0.17win prob +10 pts
    1-1
    8:25
  3. DAL
    J. Pavelski(14)
    M. Heiskanen (18), R. Suter (12)
    wristxG 0.17win prob +13 pts
    1-2
    11:00
  4. DAL
    J. Robertson(13)PPG
    R. Hintz (11), J. Pavelski (19)
    backhandxG 0.17win prob +13 pts
    1-3
    13:01

2nd period

  1. SEA
    J. McCann(15)
    J. Eberle (12), V. Dunn (11)
    snapxG 0.15win prob +15 pts
    2-3
    5:38
  2. DAL
    J. Pavelski(15)
    E. Lindell (6)
    tip-inxG 0.09win prob +17 pts
    2-4
    18:37

3rd period

  1. DAL
    J. Hakanpää(1)EN
    R. Hintz (12), J. Pavelski (20)
    wristxG 0.43win prob +1 pts
    2-5
    18:18

Penalties

SEA 4 PIM·DAL 6 PIM

1st

  • 7:29DALRoope Hintz · Cross checkingdrawn by Vince Dunn2 min
  • 11:53SEAAdam Larsson · Delaying game2 min
  • 12:45SEACarson Soucy · Hookingdrawn by Roope Hintz2 min

2nd

  • 16:28DALJamie Benn · Hookingdrawn by Jared McCann2 min

3rd

  • 3:37DALTyler Seguin · Hookingdrawn by Ryan Donato2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
DAL goalSEA goalFinal: DAL 100%

Biggest swing: Joe Pavelski, 2nd 18:37 — DAL 74% → 90%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Hakanpää · Goal · xG 0.43J. Robertson · Goal · xG 0.17R. Hintz · On goal · xG 0.17J. Pavelski · Goal · xG 0.17R. Hintz · On goal · xG 0.14R. Hintz · Goal · xG 0.13J. Kiviranta · Missed · xG 0.11J. Peterson · On goal · xG 0.11J. Peterson · On goal · xG 0.11L. Glendening · On goal · xG 0.09J. Pavelski · Goal · xG 0.09J. Pavelski · On goal · xG 0.09J. Peterson · On goal · xG 0.07E. Lindell · On goal · xG 0.06J. Robertson · On goal · xG 0.06J. Pavelski · On goal · xG 0.06J. Benn · Missed · xG 0.05J. Kiviranta · On goal · xG 0.05T. Seguin · On goal · xG 0.04E. Lindell · On goal · xG 0.03M. Heiskanen · Missed · xG 0.03R. Faksa · Missed · xG 0.02R. Faksa · On goal · xG 0.02J. Hakanpää · On goal · xG 0.01A. Sekera · Missed · xG 0.01J. Klingberg · On goal · xG 0.01J. Klingberg · On goal · xG 0.01J. Peterson · Missed · xG 0.01M. Heiskanen · On goal · xG 0.01J. Benn · On goal · xG 0.00J. Robertson · On goal · xG 0.00
DAL5 G · 2.4 xG · 31 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

SEAvsDAL
2.72 G
All situations
4 G2.4
1.71 G
Even strength
3 G1.6
0.91 G
Power play
1 G0.4
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 73 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
SEA63%37%DAL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.64 – 1.95

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

SEAvsDAL
25
Shots on goal
25
52%
Faceoffs
48%
1/3
Power play
1/2
4
Penalty minutes
6
28
Hits
22
12
Blocked shots
13
6
Giveaways
12
7
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Seattle Kraken skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
5M. GiordanoD000-220.06100—22:09
24J. OleksiakD000-210.08540—21:15
29V. DunnD011-110.06210—20:54
7J. EberleR011020.26100—20:29
16J. McCannL112-140.812104019:42
90M. JohanssonL011-120.16110—19:04
6A. LarssonD000000.02202—18:44
19C. JarnkrokC101040.461006717:01
21A. WennbergC000-200.001206216:42
3W. BorgenD000010.02110—16:29
9R. DonatoC000-220.18200016:13
37Y. GourdeC000000.071103615:17
22M. AppletonC000-120.13200014:52
28C. SoucyD000000.00202—14:27
43C. BlackwellC000-310.1120010012:32
72J. DonskoiR000-120.21000—11:36
15R. SheahanC000010.031104411:19
71M. McCormickL000000.0110010009:17
Seattle Kraken goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31P. Grubauer(L)24204.8331.96-2.0458:44

Season series

DAL leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).