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Sharks at Avalanche
NHL

San Jose Sharks at Colorado Avalanche

NHL scoreboard
San Jose Sharks
2
Colorado Avalanche
▸4
FinalTV ALT, NBCSCA·Ball Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Colorado Avalanche beat the San Jose Sharks 4-2. The Avalanche scored first and never trailed. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Mikko Rantanen's goal at 12:17 of the third period, which took the Avalanche's chances from 56% to 86%. Expected goals favored the Avalanche, 4.2 to 1.6; shots on goal were SJS 27, COL 46. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Avalanche win a replay of these chances 88% of the time. Kaapo Kahkonen stopped 42 of 46 (.913); Pavel Francouz stopped 25 of 27 (.926). Three stars: 1. Mikko Rantanen (1 G), 2. Darren Helm (1 G), 3. Nazem Kadri (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    COL
    M. Rantanen1 G
  2. ★★
    COL
    D. Helm1 G
  3. ★★★
    COL
    N. Kadri2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
SJSSJS0711515227
COLCOL016112318446

Scoring

6 goals

2nd period

  1. COL
    A. Newhook(12)
    K. MacDermid (3), E. Johnson (14)
    wristxG 0.05win prob +16 pts
    0-1
    1:54
  2. SJS
    T. Meier(31)
    T. Hertl (30), A. Barabanov (27)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +19 pts
    1-1
    12:09

3rd period

  1. COL
    D. Helm(6)
    V. Nichushkin (21)
    wristxG 0.20win prob +25 pts
    1-2
    3:05
  2. SJS
    B. Burns(8)
    T. Hertl (31)
    wristxG 0.03win prob +27 pts
    2-2
    6:29
  3. COL
    M. Rantanen(34)PPG
    N. Kadri (56), C. Makar (51)
    wristxG 0.18win prob +29 pts
    2-3
    12:17
  4. COL
    A. Burakovsky(19)
    E. Johnson (15), N. Kadri (57)
    wristxG 0.14win prob +9 pts
    2-4
    15:16

Penalties

SJS 10 PIM·COL 6 PIM

1st

  • 8:28SJSRyan Merkley · Hookingdrawn by Nathan MacKinnon2 min

2nd

  • 1:54SJSserved by J. Leonard · Delaying game unsuccessful challenge2 min
  • 8:06COLDevon Toews · Hookingdrawn by Erik Karlsson2 min
  • 15:43COLJ.T. Compher · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

3rd

  • 11:09SJSNicolas Meloche · Slashingdrawn by Nazem Kadri2 min
  • 17:30SJSAlexander Barabanov · Roughingdrawn by Mikko Rantanen2 min
  • 17:30COLCale Makar · Roughingdrawn by Alexander Barabanov2 min
  • 17:30SJSTomas Hertl · Roughingdrawn by Cale Makar2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
COL goalSJS goalFinal: COL 100%

Biggest swing: Mikko Rantanen, 3rd 12:17 — COL 56% → 86%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
V. Nichushkin · On goal · xG 0.26A. Burakovsky · On goal · xG 0.23L. O'Connor · Missed · xG 0.22D. Helm · Goal · xG 0.20M. Rantanen · Goal · xG 0.18N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.15A. Burakovsky · Goal · xG 0.14V. Nichushkin · On goal · xG 0.13C. Makar · On goal · xG 0.13V. Nichushkin · Missed · xG 0.13L. O'Connor · On goal · xG 0.12N. MacKinnon · Missed · xG 0.11V. Nichushkin · Missed · xG 0.11L. O'Connor · On goal · xG 0.11N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.10A. Cogliano · On goal · xG 0.10N. Sturm · On goal · xG 0.09M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.09V. Nichushkin · Missed · xG 0.09N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.08V. Nichushkin · On goal · xG 0.08N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.08A. Lehkonen · Missed · xG 0.07N. Kadri · Missed · xG 0.07A. Newhook · On goal · xG 0.07N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.07N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.07M. Rantanen · Missed · xG 0.07A. Lehkonen · On goal · xG 0.07M. Rantanen · Missed · xG 0.06N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.06A. Newhook · Goal · xG 0.05N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.05A. Newhook · On goal · xG 0.04A. Burakovsky · On goal · xG 0.04J. Compher · Missed · xG 0.04A. Cogliano · On goal · xG 0.03M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.03C. Makar · On goal · xG 0.03M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.03C. Makar · On goal · xG 0.03C. Makar · On goal · xG 0.03D. Toews · Missed · xG 0.03E. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.03N. Kadri · Missed · xG 0.03A. Burakovsky · On goal · xG 0.02D. Toews · Missed · xG 0.02N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.02A. Lehkonen · On goal · xG 0.02E. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.02C. Makar · On goal · xG 0.02M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.01V. Nichushkin · On goal · xG 0.01D. Toews · On goal · xG 0.01N. MacKinnon · Missed · xG 0.01J. Manson · On goal · xG 0.01K. MacDermid · On goal · xG 0.01C. Makar · On goal · xG 0.01K. MacDermid · Missed · xG 0.01N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.00N. Kadri · Missed · xG 0.00K. MacDermid · On goal · xG 0.00
COL4 G · 4.2 xG · 62 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

SJSvsCOL
1.62 G
All situations
4 G4.2
1.22 G
Even strength
3 G3.0
0.40 G
Power play
1 G1.2
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 95 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
SJS12%88%COL

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.58 – 4.21

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

SJSvsCOL
27
Shots on goal
46
37%
Faceoffs
63%
0/2
Power play
1/4
10
Penalty minutes
6
22
Hits
20
15
Blocked shots
9
5
Giveaways
2
6
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
San Jose Sharks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
88B. BurnsD101+230.12230—26:28
24J. MegnaD000030.04040—22:33
65E. KarlssonD000-110.09010—21:27
48T. HertlC022+220.052025321:26
28T. MeierR101+220.1130010019:18
39L. CoutureC000030.360103519:14
53N. MelocheD000-210.01502—17:35
94A. BarabanovL011+230.30002—17:30
6R. MerkleyD000-100.00102—16:02
83M. NietoL000000.00010—15:47
44M. VlasicD000000.00010—14:42
55S. ChmelevskiC000010.032005014:13
13N. BoninoC000-200.00010014:03
73N. GregorL000-200.00310—12:45
92R. BalcersL000-140.34100—11:32
43J. LeonardL000-220.01010—10:20
54S. ReedyC000-110.07110009:49
63J. VielL000-110.08200—08:17
San Jose Sharks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
34K. Kahkonen(L)46424.9134.23+0.2359:51

Season series

COL leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).