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San Jose Sharks at Colorado Avalanche

FinalTV ALT, NBCSCA·Ball Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Colorado Avalanche beat the San Jose Sharks 6-2. The Sharks scored first; the Avalanche answered. The Avalanche led 4-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Alex Newhook's goal at 12:38 of the second period, which took the Avalanche's chances from 72% to 88%. Expected goals favored the Avalanche, 3.2 to 1.9; shots on goal were SJS 30, COL 31. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Avalanche win a replay of these chances 66% of the time. Adin Hill stopped 25 of 30 (.833), 2.3 goals below expected; Darcy Kuemper stopped 28 of 30 (.933). Three stars: 1. Samuel Girard (1 G, 3 A), 2. Nazem Kadri (1 G, 2 A), 3. Logan O'Connor (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    COL
    S. Girard1 G, 3 A
  2. ★★
    COL
    N. Kadri1 G, 2 A
  3. ★★★
    COL
    L. O'Connor1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
SJSSJS11208110230
COLCOL210211210631

Scoring

8 goals

1st period

  1. SJS
    wristxG 0.01win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    3:17
  2. COL
    D. Toews(2)PPG
    slapxG 0.04win prob +12 pts
    1-1
    10:10
  3. COL
    backhandxG 0.09win prob +14 pts
    1-2
    13:55

2nd period

  1. COL
    wristxG 0.10win prob +16 pts
    1-3
    12:38
  2. COL
    backhandxG 0.13win prob +10 pts
    1-4
    15:33

3rd period

  1. SJS
    wristxG 0.07win prob +3 pts
    2-4
    9:02
  2. COL
    wristxG 0.14win prob +3 pts
    2-5
    10:13
  3. COL
    wristxG 0.53
    2-6
    16:37

Penalties

SJS 10 PIM·COL 4 PIM

1st

  • 4:50SJSBrent Burns · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 8:30SJSKevin Labanc · Trippingdrawn by Tyson Jost2 min
  • 14:18SJSJake Middleton · Interferencedrawn by J.T. Compher2 min
  • 19:50SJSserved by N. Merkley · Too many men on the ice2 min

2nd

  • 14:54COLAlex Newhook · High stickingdrawn by Marc-Edouard Vlasic2 min
  • 17:07SJSBrent Burns · High stickingdrawn by Mikko Rantanen2 min

3rd

  • 7:46COLSamuel Girard · High stickingdrawn by Mario Ferraro2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
COL goalSJS goalFinal: COL 100%

Biggest swing: Alex Newhook, 2nd 12:38 — COL 72% → 88%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
S. Girard · Goal · xG 0.53M. Rantanen · Missed · xG 0.14A. Newhook · On goal · xG 0.14A. Burakovsky · Goal · xG 0.13C. Makar · On goal · xG 0.13L. O'Connor · Goal · xG 0.13S. Girard · On goal · xG 0.13A. Burakovsky · On goal · xG 0.12J. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.11A. Newhook · Goal · xG 0.10G. Landeskog · On goal · xG 0.10D. Helm · Missed · xG 0.10N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.10N. Kadri · Goal · xG 0.09G. Landeskog · Missed · xG 0.09M. Rantanen · Missed · xG 0.09R. Murray · On goal · xG 0.08A. Burakovsky · On goal · xG 0.08M. Rantanen · Missed · xG 0.07A. Newhook · On goal · xG 0.07M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.07A. Newhook · On goal · xG 0.06M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.06E. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.06A. Burakovsky · Missed · xG 0.05E. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.05D. Toews · Goal · xG 0.04E. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.04V. Nichushkin · Missed · xG 0.04M. Rantanen · Missed · xG 0.04S. Girard · On goal · xG 0.04E. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.03D. Toews · On goal · xG 0.03D. Toews · Missed · xG 0.02S. Girard · Missed · xG 0.02L. O'Connor · Missed · xG 0.02A. Burakovsky · On goal · xG 0.01C. Makar · On goal · xG 0.01D. Toews · On goal · xG 0.01S. Girard · On goal · xG 0.00D. Helm · On goal · xG 0.00S. Girard · On goal · xG 0.00
COL6 G · 3.2 xG · 42 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

SJSvsCOL
1.92 G
All situations
5 G3.2
1.61 G
Even strength
3 G1.7
0.31 G
Power play
1 G0.9
0.00 G
Shorthanded
1 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 75 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
SJS34%66%COL

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.85 – 2.70

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

SJSvsCOL
30
Shots on goal
31
52%
Faceoffs
48%
1/2
Power play
1/5
10
Penalty minutes
4
19
Hits
13
18
Blocked shots
11
2
Giveaways
4
9
Takeaways
10

Box score

every player line
San Jose Sharks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
38M. FerraroD011-110.00440—27:17
88B. BurnsD000-330.08114—26:01
39L. CoutureC101-220.132305219:31
65E. KarlssonD011-200.00000—19:09
48T. HertlC011-330.180104616:30
92R. BalcersL000-230.151105016:22
21J. MiddletonD000010.02102—16:00
28T. MeierR011-240.19000—15:54
44M. VlasicD000-100.11100—15:32
13N. BoninoC000-100.001205015:22
76J. DahlenC000-220.24000014:11
51R. SimekD000040.24010—13:43
94A. BarabanovL101-210.07230—13:39
83M. NietoL000010.09210—13:33
11A. CoglianoC000000.00210013:13
62K. LabancR000030.17002—12:09
10N. MerkleyR000010.04200—11:31
26J. WeatherbyC000010.170007110:49
San Jose Sharks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
33A. Hill(L)30255.8332.71-2.2959:54

Season series

COL leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).