New York Rangers at Pittsburgh Penguins
Recap
written from the game dataThe New York Rangers beat the Pittsburgh Penguins 3-2. The Penguins scored first; the Rangers answered. The Rangers led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Braden Schneider's goal at 17:04 of the second period, which took the Rangers' chances from 47% to 70%. Expected goals favored the Rangers, 4.1 to 2.6; shots on goal were NYR 26, PIT 24. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Penguins win a replay of these chances 64% of the time. Igor Shesterkin stopped 22 of 24 (.917), 0.6 goals saved above expected; Tristan Jarry stopped 23 of 26 (.885), 1.1 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Chris Kreider (1 G, 1 A), 2. Braden Schneider (1 G), 3. Sidney Crosby (1 G).
Three stars
- ★C. Kreider1 G, 1 A

- ★★B. Schneider1 G

- ★★★S. Crosby1 G

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
5 goals1st period
0-114:24
2nd period
1-113:32
2-117:04
3rd period
3-11:06
3-210:37
Penalties
2nd
- 9:45
Ryan Lindgren · Holdingdrawn by Jake Guentzel2 min
- 20:00
Ryan Lindgren · Roughingdrawn by Jake Guentzel2 min
- 20:00
Mike Matheson · Roughingdrawn by Ryan Lindgren2 min
- 20:00
Jake Guentzel · Roughingdrawn by Ryan Lindgren2 min
3rd
- 5:02
Barclay Goodrow · Trippingdrawn by Bryan Rust2 min
- 10:04
Andrew Copp · Trippingdrawn by Chad Ruhwedel2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Braden Schneider, 2nd 17:04 — 47% → 70%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 4.13 G
- All situations
- 2 G2.6
- 1.42 G
- Even strength
- 1 G1.9
- 0.41 G
- Power play
- 1 G0.8
- 0.10 G
- Shorthanded
- 0 G0.0
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 74 unblocked attempts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 1.88 – 2.59
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 26
- Shots on goal
- 24
- 46%
- Faceoffs
- 54%
- 1/1
- Power play
- 1/3
- 8
- Penalty minutes
- 4
- 38
- Hits
- 32
- 13
- Blocked shots
- 19
- 2
- Giveaways
- 13
- 10
- Takeaways
- 11
Box score
every player line
Season series
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
