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New York Rangers at Pittsburgh Penguins

FinalTV ABC, ESPN+·PPG Paints Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Pittsburgh Penguins beat the New York Rangers 1-0. The Penguins scored first and never trailed. It was tied 0-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Evgeni Malkin's goal at 5:09 of the third period, which took the Penguins' chances from 57% to 79%. Expected goals were close — NYR 2.5, PIT 2.5; shots on goal were NYR 27, PIT 26. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Rangers win a replay of these chances 51% of the time. Igor Shesterkin stopped 25 of 26 (.962), 1.5 goals saved above expected; Tristan Jarry stopped 27 of 27 (1.000), 2.5 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Tristan Jarry (27 saves, 1.000), 2. Evgeni Malkin (1 G), 3. Igor Shesterkin (25 saves, .962).

Three stars

  1. ★
    PIT
    T. Jarry27 saves, 1.000
  2. ★★
    PIT
    E. Malkin1 G
  3. ★★★
    NYR
    I. Shesterkin25 saves, .962

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NYRNYR01205010027
PITPIT0609111126

Scoring

1 goal

3rd period

  1. PIT
    E. Malkin(8)PPG
    B. Rust (22), S. Crosby (34)
    slapxG 0.15win prob +22 pts
    0-1
    5:09

Penalties

NYR 10 PIM·PIT 10 PIM

1st

  • 1:50PITEvan Rodrigues · Holdingdrawn by Ryan Strome2 min
  • 13:43NYRChris Kreider · Holdingdrawn by Brian Boyle2 min
  • 20:00NYRKevin Rooney · Roughingdrawn by Evgeni Malkin2 min
  • 20:00PITEvgeni Malkin · Roughingdrawn by Kevin Rooney2 min

2nd

  • 2:48PITEvgeni Malkin · Trippingdrawn by Kevin Rooney2 min
  • 2:48NYRKevin Rooney · Cross checkingdrawn by Evgeni Malkin2 min
  • 12:33PITJohn Marino · Roughingdrawn by Dryden Hunt2 min
  • 12:33NYRDryden Hunt · Roughingdrawn by John Marino2 min

3rd

  • 4:35NYRRyan Lindgren · Hookingdrawn by Sidney Crosby2 min
  • 8:20PITMarcus Pettersson · Cross checkingdrawn by Dryden Hunt2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
PIT goalNYR goalFinal: PIT 100%

Biggest swing: Evgeni Malkin, 3rd 5:09 — PIT 57% → 79%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
S. Crosby · On goal · xG 0.25J. Guentzel · On goal · xG 0.20E. Malkin · Goal · xG 0.15J. Guentzel · On goal · xG 0.14D. Heinen · On goal · xG 0.13J. Guentzel · On goal · xG 0.13J. Carter · On goal · xG 0.11E. Malkin · On goal · xG 0.11D. Heinen · On goal · xG 0.11S. Crosby · Missed · xG 0.11J. Carter · On goal · xG 0.10J. Guentzel · On goal · xG 0.10D. Heinen · On goal · xG 0.10B. Rust · On goal · xG 0.08B. Rust · On goal · xG 0.08E. Malkin · On goal · xG 0.06B. Rust · On goal · xG 0.06S. Crosby · On goal · xG 0.05E. Rodrigues · On goal · xG 0.05K. Letang · Missed · xG 0.04B. Boyle · Missed · xG 0.04B. Rust · On goal · xG 0.04K. Letang · On goal · xG 0.04D. Heinen · Missed · xG 0.03E. Rodrigues · On goal · xG 0.03E. Rodrigues · Missed · xG 0.02M. Friedman · Missed · xG 0.02B. Rust · Missed · xG 0.02M. Pettersson · Missed · xG 0.02B. Dumoulin · Missed · xG 0.01S. Crosby · On goal · xG 0.01C. Ruhwedel · On goal · xG 0.01B. Boyle · On goal · xG 0.01B. McGinn · On goal · xG 0.01M. Friedman · On goal · xG 0.00
PIT1 G · 2.5 xG · 35 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NYRvsPIT
2.50 G
All situations
1 G2.5
1.60 G
Even strength
0 G2.1
0.90 G
Power play
1 G0.4
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 69 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NYR51%49%PIT

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.49 – 2.44

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NYRvsPIT
27
Shots on goal
26
54%
Faceoffs
46%
0/2
Power play
1/2
10
Penalty minutes
10
43
Hits
39
16
Blocked shots
19
5
Giveaways
9
9
Takeaways
10

Box score

every player line
New York Rangers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
23A. FoxD000010.03260—26:22
10A. PanarinL000020.11010—22:11
8J. TroubaD000040.19600—20:48
93M. ZibanejadC000040.612107120:34
79K. MillerD000020.04210—19:52
16R. StromeC000020.050003619:42
55R. LindgrenD000010.07512—19:37
20C. KreiderL000060.882023319:18
17K. RooneyC000000.001143816:21
21B. GoodrowC000010.062108015:20
13A. LafrenièreL000000.24000—14:51
6Z. JonesD000010.02110—14:51
45B. SchneiderD000000.00220—14:20
29D. HuntL000020.20402—14:04
75R. ReavesR000010.03400—11:18
14G. McKeggC000000.003106008:05
15J. GauthierR000000.00500—07:56
47M. BarronC000000.002005007:41
New York Rangers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31I. Shesterkin(L)26251.9622.47+1.4758:15

Season series

NYR leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).