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Utah Mammoth at Edmonton Oilers

FinalTV BSAZ, SNW·Rogers Place

Recap

written from the game data

The Edmonton Oilers beat the Utah Mammoth 6-1. The Oilers scored first and never trailed. The Oilers led 5-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Ryan McLeod's goal at 10:24 of the first period, which took the Oilers' chances from 67% to 81%. Expected goals favored the Oilers, 4.7 to 2.2; shots on goal were ARI 32, EDM 42. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Oilers win a replay of these chances 84% of the time. Karel Vejmelka stopped 30 of 35 (.857), 0.9 goals below expected; Mikko Koskinen stopped 31 of 32 (.969), 1.2 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Ryan McLeod (2 G, 1 A), 2. Mikko Koskinen (31 saves, .969), 3. Jesse Puljujarvi (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    EDM
    R. McLeod2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    EDM
    M. Koskinen31 saves, .969
  3. ★★★
    EDM
    J. Puljujarvi2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
ARIARI110012010132
EDMEDM21631917642

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. EDM
    backhandxG 0.27win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    4:05
  2. EDM
    D. Nurse (22), D. Ryan (10)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +14 pts
    0-2
    10:24
  3. ARI
    C. Keller(28)PPG
    snapxG 0.12win prob +11 pts
    1-2
    15:52

2nd period

  1. EDM
    R. McLeod(8)PPG
    backhandxG 0.15win prob +13 pts
    1-3
    2:32
  2. EDM
    T. Barrie (26), R. McLeod (10)
    snapxG 0.13win prob +8 pts
    1-4
    12:28
  3. EDM
    snapxG 0.17win prob +3 pts
    1-5
    16:11

3rd period

  1. EDM
    tip-inxG 0.23
    1-6
    9:53

Penalties

ARI 8 PIM·EDM 10 PIM

1st

  • 7:50ARIDysin Mayo · Holding the stickdrawn by Kailer Yamamoto2 min
  • 14:51EDMWarren Foegele · Trippingdrawn by Anton Stralman2 min

2nd

  • 0:57ARINick Schmaltz · Closing hand on puck2 min
  • 6:14ARIVladislav Kolyachonok · High stickingdrawn by Ryan McLeod2 min
  • 19:06EDMEvander Kane · Roughingdrawn by Dysin Mayo2 min
  • 19:06ARIDysin Mayo · Roughingdrawn by Evander Kane2 min

3rd

  • 1:38EDMEvander Kane · Interferencedrawn by Cam Dineen2 min
  • 4:32EDMEvander Kane · Trippingdrawn by Barrett Hayton2 min
  • 6:47EDMEvander Kane · Trippingdrawn by Kyle Capobianco2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
EDM goalARI goalFinal: EDM 100%

Biggest swing: Ryan McLeod, 1st 10:24 — EDM 67% → 81%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
C. McDavid · Goal · xG 0.27K. Yamamoto · On goal · xG 0.26L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.25L. Draisaitl · Goal · xG 0.22C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.20J. Puljujarvi · Missed · xG 0.19Z. Hyman · Goal · xG 0.17C. McDavid · Missed · xG 0.16L. Draisaitl · Missed · xG 0.15L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.15R. McLeod · Goal · xG 0.15Z. Hyman · On goal · xG 0.15W. Foegele · Goal · xG 0.13L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.12J. Puljujarvi · On goal · xG 0.12L. Draisaitl · Missed · xG 0.12T. Barrie · On goal · xG 0.12J. Puljujarvi · Missed · xG 0.11C. McDavid · Missed · xG 0.10C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.10D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.10R. McLeod · Goal · xG 0.09D. Ryan · Missed · xG 0.07D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.07E. Kane · On goal · xG 0.07R. McLeod · On goal · xG 0.07E. Bouchard · On goal · xG 0.07R. McLeod · On goal · xG 0.06J. Puljujarvi · On goal · xG 0.06C. McDavid · Missed · xG 0.06E. Bouchard · On goal · xG 0.06R. McLeod · On goal · xG 0.06T. Barrie · On goal · xG 0.05T. Barrie · On goal · xG 0.05Z. Hyman · On goal · xG 0.05L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.05E. Kane · On goal · xG 0.04T. Barrie · On goal · xG 0.04J. Puljujarvi · On goal · xG 0.04E. Kane · Missed · xG 0.04C. McDavid · Missed · xG 0.04R. McLeod · On goal · xG 0.03C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.03Z. Hyman · On goal · xG 0.03T. Barrie · On goal · xG 0.03T. Barrie · Missed · xG 0.02D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.02T. Barrie · On goal · xG 0.01D. Nurse · Missed · xG 0.01D. Nurse · Missed · xG 0.01E. Bouchard · Missed · xG 0.01D. Nurse · Missed · xG 0.01C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.01J. Puljujarvi · On goal · xG 0.01E. Bouchard · On goal · xG 0.01R. Nugent-Hopkins · On goal · xG 0.00L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.00
EDM6 G · 4.7 xG · 57 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

ARIvsEDM
2.21 G
All situations
6 G4.7
1.50 G
Even strength
5 G3.1
0.61 G
Power play
1 G1.6

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 98 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
ARI16%84%EDM

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.16 – 4.58

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

ARIvsEDM
32
Shots on goal
42
52%
Faceoffs
48%
1/4
Power play
1/3
8
Penalty minutes
10
24
Hits
28
12
Blocked shots
9
13
Giveaways
20
7
Takeaways
13

Box score

every player line
Utah Mammoth skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
14S. GostisbehereD011-130.09330—25:10
9C. KellerR101-150.32000—23:38
8N. SchmaltzC000-150.350124322:53
86A. StralmanD000-310.09420—20:53
81P. KesselR011-210.25000—18:59
61D. MayoD000-100.00414—18:31
54C. DineenD000-230.21010—16:37
12N. RitchieL000000.07200—16:36
75K. CapobiancoD000-110.04110—16:22
92V. KolyachonokD000-210.01302—15:12
72T. BoydC000-110.222104714:42
29B. HaytonC000-110.040005314:35
67L. CrouseL000-210.13310—14:13
17A. GalchenyukC000-210.070105012:22
53M. CarconeL000-230.06000—10:56
63M. MaccelliL000-110.05000—10:35
21L. ErikssonL000-100.000006710:15
73J. JenikC000-140.152006709:56
Utah Mammoth goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
70K. Vejmelka(L)35305.8574.09-0.9140:00
32J. Korenar761.8570.63-0.3720:00

Season series

EDM leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).