Edmonton Oilers at Utah Mammoth
Recap
written from the game dataThe Edmonton Oilers beat the Utah Mammoth 5-3. The Coyotes scored first; the Oilers answered. The Oilers led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Leon Draisaitl's goal at 10:53 of the second period, which took the Oilers' chances from 47% to 67%. Expected goals favored the Oilers, 5.2 to 1.7; shots on goal were EDM 44, ARI 27. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Oilers win a replay of these chances 86% of the time. Mikko Koskinen stopped 24 of 27 (.889), 1.3 goals below expected; Scott Wedgewood stopped 39 of 43 (.907). Three stars: 1. Leon Draisaitl (2 G, 2 A), 2. Connor McDavid (2 G, 2 A), 3. Clayton Keller (1 G, 2 A).
Three stars
- ★L. Draisaitl2 G, 2 A

- ★★C. McDavid2 G, 2 A

- ★★★C. Keller1 G, 2 A

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
8 goals1st period
0-13:45
1-114:58
2nd period
2-110:53
3rd period
3-17:45
4-113:08
4-213:43
4-315:06
5-319:32
Penalties
1st
- 4:15
Philip Broberg · Cross checkingdrawn by Dysin Mayo2 min
- 5:27
Kyle Capobianco · Holdingdrawn by Ryan Nugent-Hopkins2 min
- 10:58
Zach Hyman · High stickingdrawn by Shayne Gostisbehere2 min
- 14:09
Antoine Roussel · Roughingdrawn by Evan Bouchard2 min
- 17:59
Travis Boyd · Slashingdrawn by Kailer Yamamoto2 min
3rd
- 12:01
Jakob Chychrun · Holdingdrawn by Leon Draisaitl2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Leon Draisaitl, 2nd 10:53 — 47% → 67%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 5.24 G
- All situations
- 3 G1.7
- 3.02 G
- Even strength
- 3 G1.2
- 1.22 G
- Power play
- 0 G0.5
- 0.10 G
- Shorthanded
- 0 G0.0
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 91 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 4.19 – 1.71
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 44
- Shots on goal
- 27
- 58%
- Faceoffs
- 42%
- 2/4
- Power play
- 0/2
- 4
- Penalty minutes
- 8
- 19
- Hits
- 22
- 7
- Blocked shots
- 8
- 4
- Giveaways
- 6
- 9
- Takeaways
- 5
Box score
every player line
Season series
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
