Skip to content
Lightning at Islanders
NHL

Tampa Bay Lightning at New York Islanders

NHL scoreboard
Tampa Bay Lightning
▸4
New York Islanders
1
FinalTV TNT, SN360·UBS Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Tampa Bay Lightning beat the New York Islanders 4-1. The Islanders scored first; the Lightning answered. The Lightning led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Alex Killorn's goal at 9:47 of the second period, which took the Lightning's chances from 47% to 66%. Expected goals favored the Lightning, 3.7 to 3.3; shots on goal were TBL 34, NYI 24. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Lightning win a replay of these chances 55% of the time. Andrei Vasilevskiy stopped 23 of 24 (.958), 2.3 goals saved above expected; Ilya Sorokin stopped 18 of 20 (.900). Three stars: 1. Mikhail Sergachev (1 G, 1 A), 2. Victor Hedman (1 G), 3. Ross Colton (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    TBL
    M. Sergachev1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    TBL
    V. Hedman1 G
  3. ★★★
    TBL
    R. Colton1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
TBLTBL09211214434
NYINYI1110706124

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. NYI
    B. Nelson(31)
    A. Pelech (20)
    wristxG 0.11win prob +15 pts
    0-1
    18:14

2nd period

  1. TBL
    V. Hedman(18)PPG
    B. Point (25), A. Vasilevskiy (1)
    wristxG 0.11win prob +15 pts
    1-1
    1:10
  2. TBL
    A. Killorn(20)
    A. Cirelli (21)
    tip-inxG 0.12win prob +19 pts
    2-1
    9:47

3rd period

  1. TBL
    R. Colton(12)
    M. Sergachev (27)
    wristxG 0.21win prob +15 pts
    3-1
    9:10
  2. TBL
    M. Sergachev(6)
    S. Stamkos (41), N. Kucherov (24)
    wristxG 0.08win prob +2 pts
    4-1
    16:56

Penalties

TBL 15 PIM·NYI 17 PIM

1st

  • 2:32NYIRoss Johnston · Fightingdrawn by Patrick Maroon5 min
  • 2:32TBLPatrick Maroon · Fightingdrawn by Ross Johnston5 min
  • 2:32TBLCorey Perry · Roughingdrawn by Matt Martin2 min
  • 2:32NYIMatt Martin · Roughingdrawn by Corey Perry2 min
  • 11:55TBLErik Cernak · Trippingdrawn by Anders Lee2 min
  • 13:05NYIKyle Palmieri · Interferencedrawn by Mikhail Sergachev2 min
  • 19:15NYIZdeno Chara · Trippingdrawn by Corey Perry2 min

2nd

  • 5:24NYIAnders Lee · Trippingdrawn by Alex Killorn2 min
  • 10:37NYIMatt Martin · Roughingdrawn by Jan Rutta2 min
  • 10:37TBLJan Rutta · Roughingdrawn by Matt Martin2 min
  • 10:37TBLCorey Perry · Interferencedrawn by Zdeno Chara2 min

3rd

  • 11:55NYIKyle Palmieri · Trippingdrawn by Steven Stamkos2 min
  • 13:59TBLBrayden Point · Holding the stickdrawn by Zach Parise2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NYI goalTBL goalFinal: NYI 0%

Biggest swing: Alex Killorn, 2nd 9:47 — TBL 47% → 66%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Lee · On goal · xG 0.40A. Lee · On goal · xG 0.26M. Barzal · Missed · xG 0.20M. Barzal · Missed · xG 0.16Z. Parise · On goal · xG 0.16J. Pageau · On goal · xG 0.13Z. Parise · Missed · xG 0.13C. Cizikas · Missed · xG 0.12B. Nelson · On goal · xG 0.12J. Pageau · Missed · xG 0.12B. Nelson · Goal · xG 0.11J. Bailey · On goal · xG 0.10K. Palmieri · Missed · xG 0.10B. Nelson · On goal · xG 0.10K. Palmieri · On goal · xG 0.09B. Nelson · On goal · xG 0.09J. Pageau · Missed · xG 0.08A. Lee · On goal · xG 0.07A. Lee · Missed · xG 0.07A. Beauvillier · On goal · xG 0.07J. Bailey · Missed · xG 0.07J. Bailey · Missed · xG 0.06O. Wahlstrom · Missed · xG 0.06A. Lee · On goal · xG 0.04K. Palmieri · On goal · xG 0.04A. Lee · On goal · xG 0.04K. Palmieri · Missed · xG 0.04N. Dobson · On goal · xG 0.03M. Martin · On goal · xG 0.03R. Pulock · On goal · xG 0.03Z. Parise · On goal · xG 0.03R. Pulock · On goal · xG 0.03O. Wahlstrom · On goal · xG 0.03N. Dobson · On goal · xG 0.02R. Pulock · Missed · xG 0.02M. Martin · On goal · xG 0.02R. Pulock · Missed · xG 0.02N. Dobson · Missed · xG 0.02A. Greene · On goal · xG 0.00
NYI1 G · 3.3 xG · 39 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

TBLvsNYI
3.74 G
All situations
1 G3.3
3.23 G
Even strength
1 G1.9
0.51 G
Power play
0 G1.3
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 87 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
TBL55%45%NYI

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.56 – 3.24

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

TBLvsNYI
34
Shots on goal
24
46%
Faceoffs
54%
1/4
Power play
0/3
15
Penalty minutes
17
17
Hits
13
15
Blocked shots
16
5
Giveaways
13
2
Takeaways
11

Box score

every player line
Tampa Bay Lightning skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
77V. HedmanD101060.32030—24:34
98M. SergachevD112+220.20310—22:03
17A. KillornL101+120.28200—18:53
86N. KucherovR011040.31000—18:39
81E. CernakD000+110.02132—17:42
91S. StamkosC011+220.370004517:37
21B. PointC011010.33002017:35
44J. RuttaD000010.03022—16:58
52C. FooteD000010.02410—16:14
71A. CirelliC011+110.010005916:01
24Z. BogosianD000+100.00220—15:36
41P. BellemareL000+100.001003815:17
38B. HagelL000+110.01000—14:23
10C. PerryR000030.47104—13:55
18O. PalatL000-100.09000—13:00
20N. PaulL000010.080204012:20
79R. ColtonC101+150.660105011:49
14P. MaroonL000030.50305—11:24
Tampa Bay Lightning goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
88A. Vasilevskiy(W)24231.9583.31+2.3160:00

Season series

TBL leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).