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Panthers at Canadiens
NHL

Florida Panthers at Montréal Canadiens

FinalTV BSFL, TSN2·Centre Bell

Recap

written from the game data

The Florida Panthers beat the Montréal Canadiens 4-3. The lead changed hands 2 times. The Panthers led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Anthony Duclair's goal at 7:06 of the second period, which took the Panthers' chances from 47% to 65%. Expected goals favored the Panthers, 3.7 to 3.2; shots on goal were FLA 42, MTL 31. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Panthers win a replay of these chances 51% of the time. Spencer Knight stopped 28 of 31 (.903); Jake Allen stopped 38 of 42 (.905), 0.7 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Jonathan Huberdeau (2 A), 2. Claude Giroux (2 A), 3. Jake Allen (38 saves, .905).

Three stars

  1. ★
    FLA
    J. Huberdeau2 A
  2. ★★
    FLA
    C. Giroux2 A
  3. ★★★
    MTL
    J. Allen38 saves, .905

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
FLAFLA115216111442
MTLMTL17114110331

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. MTL
    N. Suzuki(18)PPG
    wristxG 0.09win prob +8 pts
    0-1
    0:29
  2. FLA
    R. Hagg (8), C. Giroux (25)
    wristxG 0.03win prob +11 pts
    1-1
    0:36

2nd period

  1. FLA
    Unassisted
    wrap-aroundxG 0.16win prob +16 pts
    2-1
    1:12
  2. MTL
    tip-inxG 0.08win prob +17 pts
    2-2
    5:59
  3. FLA
    tip-inxG 0.07win prob +18 pts
    3-2
    7:06

3rd period

  1. FLA
    wristxG 0.08win prob +12 pts
    4-2
    7:20
  2. MTL
    wristxG 0.15win prob +9 pts
    4-3
    16:20

Penalties

FLA 10 PIM·MTL 12 PIM

1st

  • 0:20FLAJonathan Huberdeau · Roughingdrawn by David Savard2 min
  • 2:35MTLLaurent Dauphin · Holdingdrawn by Noel Acciari2 min
  • 8:19MTLCorey Schueneman · Roughingdrawn by Mason Marchment2 min
  • 13:22MTLNick Suzuki · Trippingdrawn by MacKenzie Weegar2 min

2nd

  • 10:08FLAAnthony Duclair · Slashingdrawn by Cole Caufield2 min
  • 10:48MTLJosh Anderson · Trippingdrawn by Eetu Luostarinen2 min
  • 18:15FLABen Chiarot · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

3rd

  • 4:38FLASam Bennett · Interferencedrawn by Jake Evans2 min
  • 7:00MTLJosh Anderson · Trippingdrawn by Robert Hagg2 min
  • 17:05FLACarter Verhaeghe · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 19:51MTLserved by M. Pezzetta · Too many men on the ice2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
MTL goalFLA goalFinal: MTL 0%

Biggest swing: Anthony Duclair, 2nd 7:06 — FLA 47% → 65%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
R. Pitlick · On goal · xG 0.28T. Pitlick · On goal · xG 0.26C. Caufield · Missed · xG 0.25J. Armia · On goal · xG 0.20P. Byron · Missed · xG 0.17J. Anderson · On goal · xG 0.16P. Byron · Goal · xG 0.15R. Pitlick · On goal · xG 0.14J. Evans · On goal · xG 0.13M. Hoffman · On goal · xG 0.13N. Suzuki · Missed · xG 0.12N. Suzuki · Missed · xG 0.11J. Anderson · On goal · xG 0.10C. Caufield · Missed · xG 0.10N. Suzuki · Goal · xG 0.09J. Armia · On goal · xG 0.09J. Evans · Goal · xG 0.08J. Armia · Missed · xG 0.07J. Evans · Missed · xG 0.07M. Hoffman · On goal · xG 0.06C. Caufield · On goal · xG 0.06C. Caufield · On goal · xG 0.05L. Dauphin · On goal · xG 0.05C. Caufield · On goal · xG 0.04N. Suzuki · On goal · xG 0.03C. Schueneman · On goal · xG 0.03T. Pitlick · On goal · xG 0.02N. Suzuki · On goal · xG 0.02J. Petry · On goal · xG 0.02A. Romanov · On goal · xG 0.02M. Hoffman · On goal · xG 0.02J. Edmundson · On goal · xG 0.02J. Edmundson · Missed · xG 0.01A. Romanov · On goal · xG 0.01C. Caufield · On goal · xG 0.01J. Petry · On goal · xG 0.01J. Anderson · On goal · xG 0.01T. Pitlick · Missed · xG 0.01J. Armia · On goal · xG 0.00J. Edmundson · On goal · xG 0.00
MTL3 G · 3.2 xG · 40 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

FLAvsMTL
3.74 G
All situations
3 G3.2
3.03 G
Even strength
2 G2.5
0.31 G
Power play
1 G0.6
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 92 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
FLA51%49%MTL

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.21 – 3.15

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

FLAvsMTL
42
Shots on goal
31
46%
Faceoffs
54%
1/6
Power play
1/5
10
Penalty minutes
12
20
Hits
26
13
Blocked shots
24
18
Giveaways
15
1
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Florida Panthers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
52M. WeegarD000+120.17320—25:30
16A. BarkovC101+130.080105022:34
8B. ChiarotD011+130.03032—22:09
11J. HuberdeauL022010.18002—18:55
42G. ForslingD000-120.01010—18:49
28C. GirouxR022+240.371004617:13
13S. ReinhartC101020.601006716:56
10A. DuclairL101020.21002—16:22
62B. MontourD000+110.11100—15:59
7R. GudasD000-110.02320—15:51
27E. LuostarinenC000+130.141202215:43
17M. MarchmentL101+160.80110—15:01
9S. BennettC000000.000025414:38
23C. VerhaegheC000+140.33102014:37
18R. HaggD011+110.01100—11:44
70P. HornqvistR000-150.56200—10:36
94R. LombergL000-110.07200—10:18
55N. AcciariC000-110.033105008:56
Florida Panthers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30S. Knight(W)31283.9033.21+0.2160:00

Season series

FLA leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).