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Canadiens at Panthers
NHL

Montréal Canadiens at Florida Panthers

FinalTV BSFL, TSN2·FLA Live Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Florida Panthers beat the Montréal Canadiens 5-2. The lead changed hands 2 times. The Panthers led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Frank Vatrano's goal at 17:30 of the second period, which took the Panthers' chances from 53% to 74%. Expected goals favored the Panthers, 5.1 to 2.8; shots on goal were MTL 31, FLA 48. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Panthers win a replay of these chances 80% of the time. Samuel Montembeault stopped 43 of 48 (.896); Sergei Bobrovsky stopped 29 of 31 (.935), 0.8 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Sam Bennett (2 G), 2. Jonathan Huberdeau (3 A), 3. Sam Reinhart (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    FLA
    S. Bennett2 G
  2. ★★
    FLA
    J. Huberdeau3 A
  3. ★★★
    FLA
    S. Reinhart2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
MTLMTL11516010231
FLAFLA115221212548

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. FLA
    slapxG 0.17win prob +11 pts
    0-1
    0:32
  2. MTL
    tip-inxG 0.10win prob +12 pts
    1-1
    3:48

2nd period

  1. MTL
    snapxG 0.24win prob +16 pts
    2-1
    9:29
  2. FLA
    A. Barkov(12)PPG
    snapxG 0.17win prob +19 pts
    2-2
    15:02
  3. FLA
    slapxG 0.19win prob +22 pts
    2-3
    17:30

3rd period

  1. FLA
    tip-inxG 0.11win prob +15 pts
    2-4
    0:15
  2. FLA
    wristxG 0.09win prob +2 pts
    2-5
    13:04

Penalties

MTL 15 PIM·FLA 11 PIM

1st

  • 4:48FLARadko Gudas · Fightingdrawn by Michael Pezzetta5 min
  • 4:48MTLMichael Pezzetta · Fightingdrawn by Radko Gudas5 min
  • 10:13FLABrandon Montour · Slashingdrawn by Nick Suzuki2 min

2nd

  • 5:41MTLDavid Savard · Hookingdrawn by Jonathan Huberdeau2 min
  • 8:24MTLDavid Savard · Trippingdrawn by Sam Reinhart2 min
  • 8:39FLAAaron Ekblad · Interferencedrawn by Nick Suzuki2 min
  • 13:56MTLCorey Schueneman · Hookingdrawn by Jonathan Huberdeau2 min
  • 18:00MTLKale Clague · High stickingdrawn by Anthony Duclair2 min

3rd

  • 0:53MTLDavid Savard · Slashingdrawn by Sam Bennett2 min
  • 4:17FLARadko Gudas · High stickingdrawn by Ryan Poehling2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
FLA goalMTL goalFinal: FLA 100%

Biggest swing: Frank Vatrano, 2nd 17:30 — FLA 53% → 74%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Duclair · Missed · xG 0.21S. Reinhart · On goal · xG 0.20F. Vatrano · Goal · xG 0.19C. Verhaeghe · On goal · xG 0.18O. Tippett · On goal · xG 0.17A. Barkov · Goal · xG 0.17S. Bennett · Goal · xG 0.17L. Carlsson · On goal · xG 0.16M. Mamin · On goal · xG 0.16G. Forsling · On goal · xG 0.16J. Huberdeau · On goal · xG 0.15A. Duclair · On goal · xG 0.15A. Barkov · On goal · xG 0.13J. Huberdeau · On goal · xG 0.12M. Mamin · On goal · xG 0.12C. Verhaeghe · On goal · xG 0.12C. Verhaeghe · Missed · xG 0.12S. Reinhart · On goal · xG 0.12S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.11S. Bennett · Goal · xG 0.11A. Barkov · On goal · xG 0.10S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.10F. Vatrano · Missed · xG 0.09M. Marchment · Goal · xG 0.09S. Reinhart · Missed · xG 0.09G. Forsling · On goal · xG 0.09A. Lundell · On goal · xG 0.09S. Bennett · Missed · xG 0.09P. Hornqvist · On goal · xG 0.08S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.08C. Verhaeghe · On goal · xG 0.08G. Forsling · On goal · xG 0.07P. Hornqvist · On goal · xG 0.07A. Duclair · Missed · xG 0.07O. Tippett · On goal · xG 0.06S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.06A. Lundell · Missed · xG 0.06F. Vatrano · On goal · xG 0.06A. Ekblad · On goal · xG 0.05B. Montour · Missed · xG 0.05R. Gudas · On goal · xG 0.05S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.05S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.05P. Hornqvist · On goal · xG 0.05J. Huberdeau · On goal · xG 0.04O. Tippett · On goal · xG 0.04F. Vatrano · On goal · xG 0.04O. Tippett · Missed · xG 0.03S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.03A. Lundell · Missed · xG 0.03A. Duclair · On goal · xG 0.03S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.02A. Lundell · On goal · xG 0.02M. Weegar · On goal · xG 0.02S. Reinhart · On goal · xG 0.02M. Marchment · On goal · xG 0.02C. Verhaeghe · Missed · xG 0.01B. Montour · On goal · xG 0.01F. Vatrano · On goal · xG 0.01
FLA5 G · 5.1 xG · 59 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

MTLvsFLA
2.82 G
All situations
5 G5.1
2.02 G
Even strength
4 G3.9
0.60 G
Power play
1 G1.1
0.20 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 94 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
MTL20%80%FLA

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.75 – 5.00

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

MTLvsFLA
31
Shots on goal
48
44%
Faceoffs
56%
0/3
Power play
1/5
15
Penalty minutes
11
25
Hits
29
16
Blocked shots
15
13
Giveaways
16
10
Takeaways
15

Box score

every player line
Montréal Canadiens skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
43K. ClagueD000010.05102—27:34
77B. KulakD000-410.03330—25:35
58D. SavardD011-230.29116—24:46
14N. SuzukiC101+150.702004824:41
92J. DrouinL101-130.30000—23:10
15S. NikuD022+220.02020—20:40
22C. CaufieldR000-130.34120—19:09
64C. SchuenemanD000000.02032—18:25
25R. PoehlingC000-210.011104718:15
49R. Harvey-PinardL000-130.31430—17:59
60A. BelzileR000-110.0841010016:58
56J. YlonenR011010.11100—14:44
42L. VejdemoC000-140.291002213:46
55M. PezzettaL000-110.21505—10:28
88C. HillisC000020.040005010:15
13C. PaquetteC000000.00100004:53
Montréal Canadiens goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35S. Montembeault(L)48435.8965.10+0.1059:39

Season series

FLA leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).