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Nashville Predators at Los Angeles Kings

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Recap

written from the game data

The Los Angeles Kings beat the Nashville Predators 6-1. The Kings scored first and never trailed. The Kings led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Adrian Kempe's goal at 3:26 of the first period, which took the Kings' chances from 54% to 66%. Expected goals favored the Kings, 3.4 to 2.5; shots on goal were NSH 25, LAK 35. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Kings win a replay of these chances 57% of the time. David Rittich stopped 29 of 34 (.853), 2.1 goals below expected; Jonathan Quick stopped 24 of 25 (.960), 1.5 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Trevor Moore (1 G, 1 A), 2. Jonathan Quick (24 saves, .960), 3. Rasmus Kupari (1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    LAK
    T. Moore1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    LAK
    J. Quick24 saves, .960
  3. ★★★
    LAK
    R. Kupari1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NSHNSH0811007125
LAKLAK314011310635

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. LAK
    snapxG 0.17win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    3:26
  2. LAK
    A. Kaliyev(12)PPG
    snapxG 0.06win prob +12 pts
    0-2
    6:36
  3. LAK
    T. Moore(12)SHG
    wristxG 0.25win prob +11 pts
    0-3
    10:39

2nd period

  1. NSH
    R. Josi (60), R. Johansen (31)
    wristxG 0.13win prob +9 pts
    1-3
    3:33

3rd period

  1. LAK
    snapxG 0.19win prob +5 pts
    1-4
    5:59
  2. LAK
    A. Kempe(28)EN
    wristxG 0.53
    1-5
    13:18
  3. LAK
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.01
    1-6
    13:46

Penalties

NSH 9 PIM·LAK 9 PIM

1st

  • 5:11NSHColton Sissons · Cross checkingdrawn by Gabriel Vilardi2 min
  • 6:36NSHMikael Granlund · Trippingdrawn by Gabriel Vilardi2 min
  • 8:48LAKserved by C. Grundstrom · Too many men on the ice2 min

3rd

  • 6:37LAKSean Durzi · Fightingdrawn by Yakov Trenin5 min
  • 6:37NSHYakov Trenin · Fightingdrawn by Sean Durzi5 min
  • 15:01LAKTrevor Moore · Cross checkingdrawn by Mikael Granlund2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
LAK goalNSH goalFinal: LAK 100%

Biggest swing: Adrian Kempe, 1st 3:26 — LAK 54% → 66%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Kempe · Goal · xG 0.53T. Moore · Goal · xG 0.25Q. Byfield · Goal · xG 0.19L. Andersson · On goal · xG 0.17A. Kempe · Goal · xG 0.17A. Kaliyev · On goal · xG 0.16R. Kupari · On goal · xG 0.15A. Kempe · On goal · xG 0.13A. Edler · On goal · xG 0.13C. Grundstrom · On goal · xG 0.13T. Moore · Missed · xG 0.12G. Vilardi · On goal · xG 0.11T. Moore · On goal · xG 0.10R. Kupari · On goal · xG 0.09P. Danault · Missed · xG 0.09A. Kopitar · Missed · xG 0.09Q. Byfield · Missed · xG 0.08B. Lizotte · On goal · xG 0.07C. Grundstrom · Missed · xG 0.07A. Kaliyev · Goal · xG 0.06J. Spence · On goal · xG 0.05A. Kempe · Missed · xG 0.05S. Durzi · On goal · xG 0.05A. Kaliyev · On goal · xG 0.04A. Kaliyev · On goal · xG 0.04O. Maatta · On goal · xG 0.03T. Moore · On goal · xG 0.03A. Kaliyev · Missed · xG 0.03A. Iafallo · Missed · xG 0.02A. Kaliyev · On goal · xG 0.02T. Stecher · On goal · xG 0.02A. Iafallo · Missed · xG 0.01A. Kaliyev · Missed · xG 0.01T. Moore · Missed · xG 0.01A. Kaliyev · Missed · xG 0.01A. Kopitar · On goal · xG 0.01R. Kupari · On goal · xG 0.01A. Edler · On goal · xG 0.01A. Kaliyev · Missed · xG 0.01A. Iafallo · Missed · xG 0.01J. Spence · Missed · xG 0.01A. Kempe · On goal · xG 0.01R. Kupari · On goal · xG 0.01T. Stecher · On goal · xG 0.01O. Maatta · On goal · xG 0.01Q. Byfield · Goal · xG 0.01T. Stecher · On goal · xG 0.00T. Moore · On goal · xG 0.00T. Moore · On goal · xG 0.00A. Kaliyev · On goal · xG 0.00
LAK6 G · 3.4 xG · 50 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NSHvsLAK
2.51 G
All situations
5 G3.4
2.31 G
Even strength
3 G2.1
0.20 G
Power play
1 G0.5
0.00 G
Shorthanded
1 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 93 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NSH43%57%LAK

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.47 – 2.87

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NSHvsLAK
25
Shots on goal
35
51%
Faceoffs
49%
0/2
Power play
1/2
9
Penalty minutes
9
35
Hits
18
13
Blocked shots
16
5
Giveaways
4
2
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Nashville Predators skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
59R. JosiD011-120.16110—28:01
14M. EkholmD000-310.09120—23:20
45A. CarrierD000010.02030—22:27
72J. LauzonD000000.00300—19:52
95M. DucheneC000-220.091005017:29
64M. GranlundC000-120.041025717:03
9F. ForsbergL000-210.41100—16:50
84T. JeannotL000-300.00900—16:40
92R. JohansenC011010.340103816:40
7M. TennysonD000-210.05100—16:19
28E. TolvanenR000-120.25220—15:37
47M. McCarronC000-210.094106214:15
13Y. TreninC000-140.29205013:54
21N. CousinsC000-210.11200013:54
10C. SissonsC000-130.183025813:27
26P. TomasinoR101010.31110—12:58
11L. KuninC000020.05310012:34
90M. BorowieckiD000000.00010—05:53
Nashville Predators goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
33D. Rittich(L)34295.8532.89-2.1159:22

Season series

NSH leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).