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Predators at Kings
NHL

Nashville Predators at Los Angeles Kings

NHL scoreboard
Nashville Predators
▸4
Los Angeles Kings
2
FinalTV BSSO, KCOP-13·Crypto.com Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Nashville Predators beat the Los Angeles Kings 4-2. The Predators scored first and never trailed. The Predators led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Matt Duchene's goal at 19:01 of the first period, which took the Predators' chances from 65% to 78%. Expected goals favored the Kings, 4.4 to 3.5; shots on goal were NSH 20, LAK 48. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Kings win a replay of these chances 84% of the time. Juuse Saros stopped 46 of 48 (.958), 2.4 goals saved above expected; Jonathan Quick stopped 16 of 19 (.842), 1.0 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Filip Forsberg (1 G, 1 A), 2. Dustin Brown (1 G), 3. Juuse Saros (46 saves, .958).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NSH
    F. Forsberg1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    LAK
    D. Brown1 G
  3. ★★★
    NSH
    J. Saros46 saves, .958

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NSHNSH261816420
LAKLAK013114121248

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. NSH
    F. Forsberg(18)PPG
    R. Josi (20), M. Granlund (26)
    snapxG 0.03win prob +9 pts
    1-0
    3:49
  2. NSH
    M. Duchene(14)PPG
    F. Forsberg (11), R. Josi (21)
    wristxG 0.18win prob +13 pts
    2-0
    19:01

2nd period

  1. NSH
    M. Luff(1)
    M. McCarron (1), N. Cousins (5)
    tip-inxG 0.17win prob +11 pts
    3-0
    2:49
  2. LAK
    D. Brown(5)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.17win prob +10 pts
    3-1
    9:37

3rd period

  1. LAK
    M. Frk(1)PPG
    D. Doughty (14), V. Arvidsson (11)
    slapxG 0.03win prob +11 pts
    3-2
    10:33
  2. NSH
    Y. Trenin(8)EN
    T. Jeannot (11), C. Sissons (11)
    wristxG 0.91win prob +7 pts
    4-2
    18:49

Penalties

NSH 15 PIM·LAK 13 PIM

1st

  • 2:53LAKAnze Kopitar · Holdingdrawn by Alexandre Carrier2 min
  • 5:42NSHAlexandre Carrier · Holding the stickdrawn by Martin Frk2 min
  • 18:32LAKAdrian Kempe · Interference goalkeeperdrawn by Juuse Saros2 min

2nd

  • 5:06NSHAlexandre Carrier · Ps holding on breakawaydrawn by Adrian Kempe0 min
  • 12:19LAKBrendan Lemieux · Slashingdrawn by Mark Borowiecki2 min
  • 12:19NSHMark Borowiecki · Roughingdrawn by Brendan Lemieux2 min
  • 16:02LAKBrendan Lemieux · Fightingdrawn by Mark Borowiecki5 min
  • 16:02NSHMark Borowiecki · Fightingdrawn by Brendan Lemieux5 min
  • 17:25NSHRyan Johansen · Roughingdrawn by Viktor Arvidsson2 min
  • 19:59NSHRyan Johansen · Roughingdrawn by Jonathan Quick2 min

3rd

  • 7:29LAKAdrian Kempe · High stickingdrawn by Mattias Ekholm2 min
  • 9:43NSHEeli Tolvanen · Hookingdrawn by Sean Durzi2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
LAK goalNSH goalFinal: LAK 0%

Biggest swing: Matt Duchene, 1st 19:01 — NSH 65% → 78%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Kopitar · On goal · xG 0.32A. Kempe · On goal · xG 0.30A. Kempe · On goal · xG 0.21A. Kopitar · On goal · xG 0.18D. Brown · Goal · xG 0.17M. Frk · On goal · xG 0.17T. Moore · On goal · xG 0.15A. Kopitar · Missed · xG 0.14P. Danault · On goal · xG 0.14M. Frk · Missed · xG 0.14M. Frk · Missed · xG 0.13M. Frk · On goal · xG 0.12B. Lemieux · On goal · xG 0.12M. Frk · On goal · xG 0.12M. Frk · On goal · xG 0.11T. Moore · Missed · xG 0.10R. Kupari · On goal · xG 0.09B. Lemieux · On goal · xG 0.09A. Kempe · Missed · xG 0.09B. Lemieux · On goal · xG 0.08A. Kempe · Missed · xG 0.08A. Kaliyev · On goal · xG 0.08P. Danault · On goal · xG 0.08R. Kupari · Missed · xG 0.07V. Arvidsson · On goal · xG 0.06P. Danault · On goal · xG 0.06D. Doughty · Missed · xG 0.06P. Danault · On goal · xG 0.06A. Kaliyev · On goal · xG 0.05A. Kopitar · On goal · xG 0.05M. Roy · On goal · xG 0.05T. Bjornfot · On goal · xG 0.05D. Doughty · On goal · xG 0.05T. Moore · Missed · xG 0.05P. Danault · On goal · xG 0.04A. Kaliyev · On goal · xG 0.04D. Doughty · On goal · xG 0.04B. Lizotte · On goal · xG 0.04J. Moverare · On goal · xG 0.03M. Frk · On goal · xG 0.03B. Lemieux · Missed · xG 0.03V. Arvidsson · On goal · xG 0.03A. Kempe · Missed · xG 0.03M. Frk · Goal · xG 0.03V. Arvidsson · Missed · xG 0.03D. Doughty · On goal · xG 0.02M. Anderson · On goal · xG 0.02M. Anderson · On goal · xG 0.02D. Doughty · Missed · xG 0.02A. Kopitar · Missed · xG 0.02D. Doughty · On goal · xG 0.02V. Arvidsson · On goal · xG 0.02D. Doughty · On goal · xG 0.01A. Kaliyev · On goal · xG 0.01S. Durzi · On goal · xG 0.01D. Brown · On goal · xG 0.01T. Moore · On goal · xG 0.01D. Brown · On goal · xG 0.01L. Andersson · On goal · xG 0.00A. Kopitar · On goal · xG 0.00D. Doughty · On goal · xG 0.00P. Danault · On goal · xG 0.00
LAK2 G · 4.4 xG · 62 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NSHvsLAK
3.53 G
All situations
2 G4.4
1.71 G
Even strength
1 G3.0
0.32 G
Power play
1 G1.4

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 90 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NSH16%84%LAK

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.99 – 4.35

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NSHvsLAK
20
Shots on goal
48
40%
Faceoffs
60%
2/3
Power play
1/4
15
Penalty minutes
13
32
Hits
31
10
Blocked shots
16
1
Giveaways
7
0
Takeaways
2

Box score

every player line
Nashville Predators skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
59R. JosiD022-100.00120—23:16
14M. EkholmD000+100.00100—22:48
5M. BenningD000020.11310—21:54
45A. CarrierD000030.20102—20:21
64M. GranlundC011000.001002520:02
95M. DucheneC101-110.750003317:19
10C. SissonsC011000.004004717:13
84T. JeannotL011+110.12320—16:46
9F. ForsbergL112020.22020—15:42
92R. JohansenC000000.050043315:25
90M. BorowieckiD000+100.07417—15:24
11L. KuninC000020.28300015:09
28E. TolvanenR000030.12312—15:02
55P. MyersD000+110.03210—14:45
13Y. TreninC101010.91200014:36
21N. CousinsC011+110.15100009:35
47M. McCarronC011+100.131008308:30
24M. LuffR101+130.3620010007:23
Nashville Predators goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
74J. Saros(W)48462.9584.40+2.4060:00

Season series

NSH leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).