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Flames at Canucks
NHL

Calgary Flames at Vancouver Canucks

NHL scoreboard
Calgary Flames
▸5
Vancouver Canucks
2
FinalTV CBC, SN·Rogers Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Calgary Flames beat the Vancouver Canucks 5-2. The Flames scored first and never trailed. The Flames led 4-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Matthew Tkachuk's goal at 7:46 of the first period, which took the Flames' chances from 59% to 74%. Expected goals favored the Flames, 4.6 to 1.8; shots on goal were CGY 44, VAN 25. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Flames win a replay of these chances 88% of the time. Dan Vladar stopped 23 of 25 (.920); Thatcher Demko stopped 25 of 29 (.862), 0.6 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Rasmus Andersson (1 G, 1 A), 2. Matthew Tkachuk (1 G, 2 A), 3. Matthew Highmore (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CGY
    R. Andersson1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    CGY
    M. Tkachuk1 G, 2 A
  3. ★★★
    VAN
    M. Highmore1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CGYCGY316113115544
VANVAN04010211225

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. CGY
    N. Hanifin(6)
    C. Jarnkrok (15)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    4:45
  2. CGY
    M. Tkachuk(29)
    M. Backlund (19)
    wristxG 0.20win prob +15 pts
    2-0
    7:46
  3. CGY
    R. Andersson(3)
    M. Tkachuk (44), D. Dube (11)
    snapxG 0.09win prob +12 pts
    3-0
    13:51

2nd period

  1. CGY
    E. Lindholm(31)
    T. Toffoli (24)
    snapxG 0.14win prob +6 pts
    4-0
    4:29

3rd period

  1. CGY
    J. Gaudreau(28)PPG
    M. Tkachuk (45), R. Andersson (36)
    wristxG 0.09
    5-0
    6:28
  2. VAN
    M. Highmore(4)
    J. Lammikko (7), B. Hunt (10)
    tip-inxG 0.12
    5-1
    7:37
  3. VAN
    B. Boeser(18)PPG
    E. Pettersson (25), Q. Hughes (45)
    wristxG 0.38
    5-2
    17:14

Penalties

CGY 4 PIM·VAN 4 PIM

2nd

  • 6:56CGYBlake Coleman · High stickingdrawn by Alex Chiasson2 min
  • 11:41VANLuke Schenn · Interferencedrawn by Andrew Mangiapane2 min

3rd

  • 4:45VANBrock Boeser · High stickingdrawn by Johnny Gaudreau2 min
  • 17:06CGYErik Gudbranson · Trippingdrawn by Tyler Motte2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
VAN goalCGY goalFinal: VAN 0%

Biggest swing: Matthew Tkachuk, 1st 7:46 — CGY 59% → 74%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
B. Boeser · Goal · xG 0.38J. Miller · On goal · xG 0.19B. Boeser · Missed · xG 0.15M. Highmore · Goal · xG 0.12T. Hamonic · Missed · xG 0.11B. Boeser · Missed · xG 0.09T. Motte · Missed · xG 0.08V. Podkolzin · On goal · xG 0.08B. Horvat · On goal · xG 0.07T. Hamonic · Missed · xG 0.06T. Pearson · On goal · xG 0.04Q. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.03B. Horvat · Missed · xG 0.03T. Hamonic · On goal · xG 0.03O. Ekman-Larsson · On goal · xG 0.03E. Pettersson · On goal · xG 0.03T. Myers · On goal · xG 0.03B. Horvat · Missed · xG 0.03B. Boeser · Missed · xG 0.02L. Schenn · On goal · xG 0.02T. Hamonic · On goal · xG 0.02M. Highmore · On goal · xG 0.02T. Myers · On goal · xG 0.02T. Hamonic · On goal · xG 0.02T. Hamonic · Missed · xG 0.02T. Motte · On goal · xG 0.01L. Schenn · On goal · xG 0.01Q. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.01B. Horvat · On goal · xG 0.01T. Hamonic · Missed · xG 0.01T. Motte · On goal · xG 0.01V. Podkolzin · On goal · xG 0.01B. Hunt · On goal · xG 0.01N. Petan · On goal · xG 0.01T. Motte · Missed · xG 0.01V. Podkolzin · On goal · xG 0.00
VAN2 G · 1.8 xG · 36 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CGYvsVAN
4.65 G
All situations
2 G1.8
3.74 G
Even strength
1 G1.3
0.91 G
Power play
1 G0.5

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 97 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CGY88%12%VAN

Flurry-adjusted xG 4.53 – 1.80

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CGYvsVAN
44
Shots on goal
25
51%
Faceoffs
49%
1/2
Power play
1/2
4
Penalty minutes
4
32
Hits
25
15
Blocked shots
12
4
Giveaways
5
4
Takeaways
10

Box score

every player line
Calgary Flames skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
44E. GudbransonD000000.00422—21:41
55N. HanifinD101+350.29020—20:39
58O. KylingtonD000050.09100—19:37
4R. AnderssonD112+320.37120—19:10
8C. TanevD000000.00110—19:08
16N. ZadorovD000010.11600—18:34
91C. JarnkrokC011+130.222106117:10
20B. ColemanL000+110.31102—16:47
19M. TkachukL123+120.44300—16:30
28E. LindholmC101+120.240203716:26
17M. LucicL000020.15510—15:22
13J. GaudreauL101+140.47100—15:07
11M. BacklundC011+150.302206715:05
29D. DubeC011+220.12200014:30
88A. MangiapaneL000030.46010—14:09
73T. ToffoliC011+130.77210013:30
22T. LewisC000020.18000012:35
23S. MonahanC000020.031005011:52
Calgary Flames goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
80D. Vladar(W)25232.9201.82-0.1860:00

Season series

CGY leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).